Source: TENNESSEE STATE UNIVERSITY submitted to NRP
RESILIENCE CAPACITY OF RURAL HOUSEHOLDS POST COVID-19 PANDEMIC IN TENNESSEE: FOOD SECURITY POLICY IMPLICATIONS
Sponsoring Institution
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Project Status
ACTIVE
Funding Source
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
1032085
Grant No.
2024-67024-42617
Cumulative Award Amt.
$289,065.00
Proposal No.
2023-09935
Multistate No.
(N/A)
Project Start Date
Jul 15, 2024
Project End Date
Jul 14, 2026
Grant Year
2024
Program Code
[A1661]- Innovation for Rural Entrepreneurs and Communities
Recipient Organization
TENNESSEE STATE UNIVERSITY
3500 JOHN A. MERRITT BLVD
NASHVILLE,TN 37209
Performing Department
(N/A)
Non Technical Summary
The research project aims to address the issue of food insecurity in rural households in the United States, particularly in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic has caused widespread economic hardships, job losses, and rising food prices, leading to increased levels of food insecurity among rural communities. The termination of government stimulus packages, which provided crucial financial aid during the pandemic, has further exacerbated the food insecurity challenges faced by these households who already face difficulties such as limited access to affordable and nutritious food. It is important to research this issue to understand the relationship between post-pandemic rural household resilience and food security, and the consequences of ending government assistance programs. This will help inform policy and intervention strategies to improve food security and build resilience in rural communities. By conducting this research, we seek to understand the relationship between rural household resilience and food security in the post-pandemic period. The importance of this topic extends beyond the primary end-users of the research, by improving food security and resilience in rural areas, we can contribute to the overall prosperity and well-being of these communities, and reduce socio-economic disparities.The research project will employ a two-phase qualitative and quantitative methodology. In the first phase, qualitative research methods, such as focus group discussions and an extensive literature review, will be used to identify the key factors influencing the resilience capacity of rural households and their coping strategies in the face of food insecurity. This phase will help develop a comprehensive questionnaire for the second phase.The second phase will focus on quantifying the impacts of resilience capacity on food security through data collection and analysis. Five rural counties in Tennessee will be selected for the study, and factors such as socio-economic conditions will be considered. The research team comprises experts who will collaborate to ensure a comprehensive understanding of the issue. The data will be analyzed using advanced statistical techniques, such as Structural Equation Modeling and Ordinal Logistic Regression, to quantify the relationship between resilience capacity and food security levels among these households.By analyzing the factors affecting resilience capacity and quantifying the relationship between resilience and food security, we aim to inform policy-making and intervention strategies. The research findings can guide the development of targeted economic policies, agricultural interventions, and food assistance programs that support sustainable recovery and uplift rural economies. The societal benefits include a more resilient and self-sufficient agricultural and food system, reduced socio-economic disparities, and improved community well-being. By addressing the research gaps and providing actionable insights, this project has the potential to create a positive and lasting impact on rural communities andthe economy.
Animal Health Component
(N/A)
Research Effort Categories
Basic
100%
Applied
(N/A)
Developmental
(N/A)
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
60760103010100%
Knowledge Area
607 - Consumer Economics;

Subject Of Investigation
6010 - Individuals;

Field Of Science
3010 - Economics;
Goals / Objectives
The long-term goal of this project is to improve rural household prosperity and well-being, and reduce food insecurity post COVID-19 pandemic by changing in absorptive, adaptive and transformative capacity. The aim is to address resilience capacity of rural households post COVID-19 pandemic for food security policy implication.In this study, we hypothesize that the COVID-19 pandemic creates economic hardships, including job losses, food price increases, and income reductions,that results in high challenges of food security and rural households have activated their capacity in absorptive, adaptive and transformative to improve their food security status.The specific objectives of this study are:(1) to analyze the factors affecting resilience capacity of rural households in Tennessee post COVID-19 pandemic; and(2) to quantify the relationship between resilience capacity and food security post COVID-19 pandemic of rural households in Tennessee.
Project Methods
This study employs a two-phase qualitative and quantitative research methodology.Investigated geography areas: Five selected rural counties across Tennessee namely Union, Trousdale, Johnson, Meigs, and Chester will be chosen for the study. Rated by Stacker company using data from the U.S. Census Bureau, these counties covered 100% rural areas and are deemed "highly vulnerable", in terms of socioeconomic conditions, as per the Center for Disease Control and Prevention's Social Vulnerability Index.Phase 1: Qualitative research focuseson discerning the factors that influence the resilience capacity of rural households post COVID-19 pandemic, coping strategies, and how these factors impact their food security status. To gain insights, the team will first embark on an extensive literature review, drawing from the Calloway's measurementand the FAO's 2016 resilience framework. This literary groundwork will then set the stage for a series of group discussions, which will strive to validate Calloway's measurement of household resilience to food insecurity: absorptive, adaptive, and transformative capacity.For group discussions, we will employ open discussion questions with an IRB-approved semi-structured guide. For participant involvement, we will recruit 60 participants from five counties, each county's focus group will comprise 12 participants and is projected to last around 45 minutes. Prospective participants must be at least 18 years old, have been residents of the selected counties post-pandemic. Before the discussions kick-off, each participant will be asked to sign a consent form. As an appreciation for their involvement, each participant will receive a $50 gift card. Qualitative data collected will then be meticulously analyzed using the NVivo software. Phase 1 will be completed within 6 months.Phase 2: Quantitative research drawsfrom insights garnered in Phase 1. Acomprehensive questionnaire will be constructed to meet objectives 1 and 2. This questionnaire will undergo a stringent review and approval process by the TSU's IRB. For data collection, we will procure a targeted email list of 20,000 potential respondents of the five counties from Exact Data, a leading multichannel marketing firm. The initial plan involves disseminating survey invitations to the purchased email list via the Qualtrics platform. The aim is to secure participation from 300 respondents of mail surveys, incentivizing participation with a $50 gift card.A pivotal role will be played by the MS student, who will take charge of email communications and send reminder calls to ensure robust participation.The questionnaire is structured in three main sections. (1) Socio-Economic-Demographic Information: This captures basic details such as participants' gender, age, educational background, family size, and employment. (2) Resilience Capacity Post COVID-19: This segment delves into the determinants affecting rural households' resilience amid the economic hardships of the COVID-19 pandemic, particularly regarding food security. Here, participants will address issues like job losses, income reductions, and food price inflation. This section aims to explore how these challenges impact the three pillars of resilience capacity and how often certain coping strategies are employed. Moreover, participants will evaluate the effectiveness of these strategies, identifying which are deemed most successful in combatting food insecurity. (3) Food security information: Central to Objective 2, this section evaluates the interplay between the three resilience pillars, coping strategies, and the likelihood of households experiencing various levels of food security. Here, participants' food security status will be gauged using the USDA's six-item module, classifying them into specific categories such as high food security or very low food security. The Ordinal Logistic Regression Model (OLRM) will further explore the degree to which each resilience pillar influences these food security classifications. Lastly, participants will discuss the coping strategies they have adopted to navigate food security challenges.Data analysis tool:For Objective 1, which seeks to analyze the resilience capacity of rural households post-COVID-19 pandemic, the methodology harnesses Structural Equation Modelling (SEM). SEM uncovers relationships between observed and latent variables, streamlining vast data into manageable components via Principal Component Analysis. Factor scores will be computed using Bartlett's method to ensure unbiased estimates. An overarching Resilience Capacity Index (RCI), alongside indices for three resilience pillars, will be calculated using Min-Max scaling transformation. A series of validation checks, such as the Bartlett Test of Sphericity, Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin (KMO) statistic, and the determinant of the R-Matrix, will be undertaken to confirm the model's robustness. The Varimax Rotation methodwill then be employed to refine factor loadings and aid data interpretation.For Objective 2, the focus is on quantifying the impacts of rural households' resilience capacity on food security post-COVID-19, utilizing the Ordinal Logistic Regression Model. The model effectively captures the ordinal nature of food security levels, categorizing them into "High or marginal food security," "Low food security," and "Very low food security." The main independent variables to be considered include the index of absorptive, adaptive, and transformative capacities, coping strategies, and various socio-economic markers. Within the OLRM, the latent variable represents the household's food security levels. To ensure model accuracy, the Brant test will be deployed, examining the proportionality assumption. The model's final goal is to determine the probability of households falling into specific food security levels based on their resilience capacity and coping strategies.

Progress 07/15/24 to 07/14/25

Outputs
Target Audience:The target audience of this project includes the following groups: One Graduate Studentengaged in project activities with a focus on qualitative data collection for food security, gaining valuable research experience to support their academic and professional development. One Undergraduate Students involved in the project through senior-level research, including data analysis and project presentations, preparing them for future careers in agriculture and food security. County Extension Agentscctively participating in qualitative data collection from rural households, leveraging their local expertise to enhance the project's insights and outreach. Key Stakeholders whocurrently aremembers of the Food Policy Council, and faculty from the College of Agriculture at Tennessee State University, who contribute to shaping and implementing food security policies informed by the project's findings. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?The project has provided an invaluable opportunity for an undergraduate student from the Department of Agricultural Business and Education at Tennessee State University to validate the conceptual model using data collected by the United Way Greater Knoxville. The student analyzed factors affecting the food security resilience capacity of rural households in Tennessee as part of their senior project. This work culminated in a presentation of the findings at a meeting with food security experts from the Food Policy Council, where constructive feedback was received to improve the results. The revised findings were subsequently presented at the 47th Annual University-Wide Symposium at Tennessee State University. Notably, the student plans to continue this research for their Master's degree in Agribusiness at TSU, starting in Fall 2025. As a graduate student, they will remain actively involved in the project, contributing to the second objective of the study. The project has provided anopportunity for a graduate studentfrom the Department of Agricultural Business and Education at Tennessee State University to actively participate in the monthly meetings of the Food Policy Council at United Way Greater Knoxville alongside the PIs. Through these meetings, the student gained practical insights into real-world food security activities and engaged with a diverse range of stakeholders. Additionally, the student enhanced their research skills by participating in qualitative data collection, including group discussions. These experiences have significantly contributed to the student's qualifications and preparedness for conducting research as part of their master's degree program. The project has also created an invaluable opportunity for the PIs to establish a robust research network with food security experts from a wide range of disciplines. This includes experts from Jackson State University, the University of Tennessee in Knoxville, and various colleges within Tennessee State University. Additionally, the PIs have actively engaged with the Food Policy Council, building connections with local authorities, stakeholders, and extension agents. This involvement has also allowed the PIs to contribute to the Council's initiatives by volunteering in related programs. Furthermore, by presenting research findings at the annual meetings of the Southern Agricultural Economics Association and the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, the PIs have expanded their research network to include other experts in the field. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest? Nothing Reported What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?To date, tasks and activities have successfully been alignedto achieve Objective 1, which lays the foundation for Objective 2: quantifying the relationship between resilience capacity and food security among rural households in Tennessee post-COVID-19. In the next period, we plan to finalize the quantitative questionnaire and begin data collection and analysis for policy implications. Additionally, the PIs plan to attend the PI meeting for this seed grant project to share research findings with fellow researchers. Furthermore, the PIs intend to present the project's findings at 2026 SAEA annual meeting, 1890 ARD meeting in 2026; and an international food security conference.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? I. RELEVANCE This project addresses the issue of food security resilience among rural households in Tennessee, emphasizing their ability to cope with and recover from food insecurity in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. The study focuses on analyzing the factors influencing household resilience capacities--absorptive,adaptive, andtransformative--to identify barriers, design interventions, and enhance long-term food security resilience. By integrating and refining existing frameworks, this research aims to develop a comprehensive tool for assessing resilience and guiding targeted interventions. This reporting period focuses on achieving the first objective of the project: analyzing the factors affecting the resilience capacity of rural households in Tennessee post-COVID-19 pandemic. To accomplish this, the project began with an extensive literature review, utilizing Calloway's measurement framework and the FAO's 2016 resilience framework to identify potential factors influencing food security resilience and the coping strategies households employ when facing food insecurity. A conceptual model was then developed to quantify the relationship between resilience capacity and food security among rural households. Finally, a quantitative questionnaire is being developed to collect the necessary data for the model. The outputs of the second and third activities will serve as the foundation for addressing the project's second objective. II. RESPONSE 2.1 Major Activities Completed 2.1.1 Literature Review The literature review focused on theCalloway resilience measurement framework, theFAO's resilience framework, and commonfood security coping strategies. Calloway's Framework: Calloway introducedthree resilience capacities: Absorptive Capacitycombines financial wellbeing, income stability, and housing stability into one measure, making it harder to pinpoint specific areas of need. Separating these into distinct categories was recommended for clearer insights. Adaptive Capacityincludes financial stress and social support but also unrelated items like job skills and internet use, which dilute its focus. Refining it to measure financial confidence and decision-making improves clarity. Transformative Capacityfocuses on long-term resilience through factors like community resources, financial outlook, and neighborhood safety. This measure is well-structured and does not need major revisions. FAO's Resilience Framework: The FAO framework views resilience as adynamic and cyclical process, emphasizing both short-term responses and long-term strategies to overcome shocks. Key insights include: Resilience evolves over time, and households' ability to recover from one shock affects their capacity to handle future challenges. Strategies such as food assistance (short-term) and education (long-term) are essential for resilience building. The framework underscores the importance of capturing fluctuations in well-being and stability over time. Coping Strategies: Households employ both short-term and long-term strategies to address food insecurity. Short-term strategies include cutting meals, using food banks, and relying on social support. Long-term strategies, such as saving money and investing in education or skill-building, reflect efforts to build resilience over time. 2.1.2 Development of a Conceptual Model Insights from the literature review were used to create aconceptual modelfor evaluating food security resilience. This model integrates therevised Calloway measureswith theFAO frameworkand links household coping strategies to the three resilience capacities. Key features of the model include: Separating absorptive capacity intofinancial wellbeing,income stability, andhousing stabilityfor greater specificity. Refining adaptive capacity to focus onfinancial stress,social support, anddecision-making confidencewhile excluding unrelated variables. Aligning transformative capacity with long-term resilience factors likecommunity resources,financial outlook, andneighborhood safety. Emphasizing thedynamic and cyclical processof resilience and how households' recovery from one shock influences their ability to handle future challenges. The model was presented at the1890 ARD Research Symposium (2024)and theNetwork for Transformative Research Workshops (2025). Feedback from researchers and policymakers emphasized the importance of household self-evaluation and the inclusion of a food security resilience index. The model was revised accordingly and validated using food security assessment data from 500 households surveyed by United Way Greater Knoxville. 2.1.3 Development of a Quantitative Questionnaire A quantitative questionnaire has beendesigned to measure resilience capacity and its relationship with food security. Group discussions were conducted with theFood Policy Council in Knoxville, Tennessee, focusing on absorptive, adaptive, and transformative capacities. Participants contributed valuable feedback based on their expertise in food security and direct work with food-insecure households. Additionally, qualitative questions have also beendistributed to rural households, with assistance fromextension agents from Tennessee State University (TSU) and the University of Tennessee (UT). This ensured the questionnaire reflected real-world experiences and was grounded in practical insights. Feedback from stakeholders and households improved the questionnaire's clarity and relevance. 2.2 Summary Statistics and Results The conceptual model highlighted the interdependence of resilience capacities and food security. Key findings include: Resilience Capacities: Absorptive Capacity: Food-secure households scored0.62, while food-insecure households scored0.53. Adaptive Capacity: Food-secure households scored0.67, while food-insecure households scored0.55. Transformative Capacity: Food-secure households scored0.64, while food-insecure households scored0.60. Food Insecurity Prevalence: 53.4% of households experienced food insecurity, with 20.6% reportingvery low food security. Barriers to Resilience: Income instability, limited access to food assistance, high stress levels, and systemic discrimination. Coping Strategies: Short-term strategies included cutting meals and using food banks, while long-term strategies focused on saving money and investing in education. III. OUTCOMES During this reporting period, significant progress was made in analyzing factors affecting resilience capacity. The conceptual model integrated the revised Calloway measures into the FAO framework, providing a comprehensive tool for assessing food security resilience. The model emphasizes the dynamic and cyclical nature of resilience, linking household coping strategies to resilience capacities. Presentations at key events and stakeholder discussions refined the model and informed the development of a quantitative questionnaire, which is now ready for further testing and validation. IV. IMPACT This research will benefit rural households in Tennessee by providing a framework to identify barriers to resilience and prioritize interventions. Policymakers, extension agents, and community organizations can use the conceptual model and questionnaire to design evidence-based programs that strengthen resilience capacities. For example, targeted support forincome stability, improvedaccess to food assistance, and enhancedmental health resourcescan help households better cope with food insecurity. By addressing systemic barriers and promoting long-term resilience, this project aims to reduce food insecurity and improve the well-being of vulnerable rural populations.

Publications

  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Other Year Published: 2024 Citation: Tran, D.L., Illukpitiya, P., Khanal, A., & Lawani, A. (2024). Changes in Rural Households' Food Consumption Patterns Coping with Food Security Post COVID-19 Pandemic in Tennessee. Poster presented at the 2024 ARD Biennial Research Symposium, Gaylord Opryland, Nashville, Tennessee.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Other Year Published: 2024 Citation: Illukpitiya, P., Tran, D.L., Khanal, A., & Lawani, A. (2024). Resilience Capacity of Rural Households Post COVID-19 Pandemic in Tennessee: Food Security Implication. [Poster presentation]. Presented at the 2024 ARD Biennial Research Symposium, Gaylord Opryland, Nashville, Tennessee.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Other Year Published: 2025 Citation: Bolton, M., Tran, D.L., Pettigrew, K., Rose, E., Marincic, M., Howe, M., McEwan, J., & Bryant, J. (2025). Food Security Resilience Among Tennessee Households Post-COVID-19: Exploring Absorptive, Adaptive, and Transformative Capacity. [Poster presentation]. Presented at the 47th Annual University-Wide Research Symposium, Tennessee State University, Nashville, TN, March 2427, 2025.