Source: UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA submitted to NRP
UTILIZING ATTRIBUTION AND PROJECTION BIAS TO IMPROVE THE MARKETING OF HEALTHY FOODS: A NEUROBEHAVIORAL STUDY
Sponsoring Institution
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Project Status
ACTIVE
Funding Source
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
1029873
Grant No.
2023-67023-39112
Cumulative Award Amt.
$645,743.00
Proposal No.
2022-10641
Multistate No.
(N/A)
Project Start Date
May 1, 2023
Project End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Grant Year
2023
Program Code
[A1641]- Agriculture Economics and Rural Communities: Markets and Trade
Recipient Organization
UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA
G022 MCCARTY HALL
GAINESVILLE,FL 32611
Performing Department
(N/A)
Non Technical Summary
Consumers' strong desire to indulge in unhealthy foods, and consequent overconsumption of these foods, carry significant negative impacts on public health, healthy food marketing, and sustainability of the food system. Soft-end policy measures, namely nudges, have shown more promising potential than hard-end policies in promoting healthy food decisions. However, the efficacy of nudges in eliciting and maintaining healthy food choices is limited by consumers' strong motivations to consume unhealthy foods, which is driven mainly by the strong positive consumption experience associated with such foods. It is therefore necessary to design behavioral nudges that can shift consumers' perceptions of the tastiness of healthy foods, thus addressing one of the root causes of unhealthy eating. The proposed project utilizes two well-established biases in the experimental economics literature, attribution bias and projection bias, to investigate how induced positive consumption experience and memory with a healthy food impact consumers' preferences for this product when making current and future decisions, as well as choices between the healthy product and an equivalent, unhealthy alternative. We adopt a neurobehavioral approach to improve understanding of the mechanism (attention vs. motivation) through which induced positive taste perceptions increase consumer preferences for healthy foods. By determining the neurobehavioral factors elicited by an induced positive consumption experience with a healthy food, this project will provide a strong conceptual framework for the subsequent design of effective behavioral nudges that can deliver sustained improvements in consumers' dietary choices. This project therefore provides benefits to policymakers, food marketers, and the general public.
Animal Health Component
20%
Research Effort Categories
Basic
60%
Applied
20%
Developmental
20%
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
6075010301070%
7245010301030%
Knowledge Area
724 - Healthy Lifestyle; 607 - Consumer Economics;

Subject Of Investigation
5010 - Food;

Field Of Science
3010 - Economics;
Goals / Objectives
This project utilizes two well-established biases in the experimental economics literature, attribution bias and projection bias, to investigate how induced positive consumption experience and memory with a healthy food impact consumers' preferences for this product when making current and future decisions, as well as choices between the healthy product and an equivalent, unhealthy alternative. We adopt a neurobehavioral approach to improve understanding of the mechanism (attention vs. motivation) through which induced positive taste perceptions increase consumer preferences for healthy foods. The following objectives will be pursued:Aim 1: Determine the effectiveness of utilizing attribution bias to promote higher current preferences for healthy food products.Aim 2: Determine the effectiveness of utilizing projection bias to promote higher future preferences for healthy food products.Aim 3: Determine the applicability of attribution and projection bias in nudging mechanisms to shift consumer preferences in favor of healthy food options compared to equivalent, unhealthy alternatives.
Project Methods
The proposed project activities will be carried out over four experimental studies that will be used to collect behavioral and psychophysiological outcomes to determine the effect of induced positive consumption experience and memory with a healthy food product on subsequent preferences for this product when making current and future decisions, as well as when choosing between the healthy product and an equivalent unhealthy alternative.Overview of Experimental DesignIn the experimental studies, participants will be randomly assigned to a control and treatment groups, where each will participate over 2 days. On day 1, subjects in both groups will consume a healthy snack product, however, those in the treatment group will be induced with a positive consumption experience with the healthy snack, while those in the control group will not. The positve consumption experience inducement will be hunger-based, where subjects in the treatment group will consume the healthy snack under a hunger state, while those in the control group will consume the snack under a neutral (not hungry) state. Hunger manipulation will be achieved by asking all subjects to fast for 5 hours prior to their participation in day 1 (to balance initial hunger levels upon arrival) and providing subjects in the control group with a pre-snack (to offset their hunger levels and put them in a neutral state) before consumption of the healthy snack. Subjects will then participate in a cue exposure task and a preference elicitation task to measure their behavioral and neurophysiological indicators of preferences. In the cue exposure task, subjects will be presented with non-target (non-food) and target (healthy snack they consumed) images in a random order. Psychophysiological outcomes related to attention, motivation, and approach/withdrawal will be collected using an electroencephalogram (EEG) to measure electrical brain activity and an eye-tracker to measure pupil dilation. In the preference elicitation task, subjects will report their willingness-to-pay (WTP) for the healthy snack in an incentive-compatible setting, where there is a probability of making a purchase based on their decision.In the first experimental study, the cue exposure and preference elicitation tasks will be completed on day 2 to investigate attribution bias, which is the tendency to rely on past consumption memory when making current decisions. In the second experimental study, the cue exposure and preference elicitation tasks will be completed on day 1 to investigate projection bias, which is the tendency to rely on current consumption experience when making decisions about the future. The third and fourth experimental studies will replicate experiments 1 and 2, respectively, with the additional layer of including an equivalent unhealthy alternative to the healthy product that subjects consumed in day 1. This will assess the effectiveness of utilizing attribution and projection bias to shift consumer taste perceptions and preferences away from unhealthy products and towards healthier alternatives. The cue exposure in experiments 3 and 4 will additionally include images of the equivalent unhealthy alternative (in addition to the target and non-target images). The preference elicitation task will also be replaced with a choice task that asks subjects to choose the product they prefer between the healthy product they consumed in day 1 and the equivalent, unhealthy alternative.Data AnalysisTo confirm success of our positive consumption experience inducement procedure, we will first compare subjects' reported hunger levels between control and treatment immediately prior to consumption of the healthy product. Subjects in the treatment are expected to report higher hunger levels compared to the control. The subjects' reported enjoyment levels during consumption of the healthy product will also be compared between control and treatment. We expect subjects in the treatment group to report higher enjoyment levels compared to the control.The treatment effect of inducing a positive consumption experience/memory with the healthy product on subjects' preferences for the product will be evaluated using behavioral and psychophysiological outcomes. Subjects' WTP and choices for the healthy product will be used as the behavioral outcome and compared across control and treatment. We expect average WTP and choices for the healthy product to be higher in the treatment than the control.Multiple psychophysiological outcomes will be collected from the eye-tracker and EEG headset during the cue exposure stage. The EEG data will be used to measure Event-Related-Potentials (ERPs). The ERP waves will be examined at two time windows post stimulus onset to evaluate two ERP components. Specifically, the P200 (200-300 milliseconds) and P300 (300-400 milliseconds) components will be measured to examine motivation and attention, respectively. To extract the ERP components, the EEG data will be segmented into 2.5-second epochs (one for each image) spanning 800 milliseconds pre-stimulus and 1700 milliseconds post-stimulus. Correction for eye-movement and blinking will be performed following the Gratton and Coles algorithm (Gratton et al., 1983), after which EEG activity above + or - 100 microvolts will be removed to further correct for artifacts (e.g., head or body movements). The pre-stimulus data will be used for baseline correction and the resulting EEG data will be averaged separately over the target (food) and non-target (non-food) stimuli for each subject to generate the ERP components. The difference in those ERP components between the target and non-target stimuli will then be calculated and compared between control and treatment to examine subjects' attention and motivation to the images of the healthy food product. We expect subjects in the treatment group to exhibit higher P200 and P300 waves in response to images of the healthy food product, indicating higher motivation and attention towards the product.The EEG data will also be used to measure brain oscillations, which will be used to calculate the Frontal Asymmetry Index (FAI). The FAI measures differences in alpha wave activity between the left and right sides of the prefrontal cortex (PFC) and indicates approach (higher FAI/higher left PFC activity) or withdrawal (lower FAI/higher right PFC activity) behavior in response to a product stimulus. To extract the FAI, the EEG data will be filtered using a 0.1-40 Hz band-pass filter, after which each epoch will be Fast Fourier transformed to generate the alpha power band (7.75-13.75 Hz). The FAI will be calculated by subtracting the natural log of alpha power between the right and left PFC regions. The difference in FAI between the target and non-target stimuli will be calculated and compared between the control and treatment conditions. We expect subjects in the treatment group to exhibit higher FAI towards the images of the healthy food product, indicating higher approach behavior towards this product.Pupil dilation will also be measured in millimeters using the eye-tracker. More dilated pupils indicate higher approach/arousal towards a product stimulus. The difference in pupil dilation between the target and non-target stimuli will be compared between the control and treatment conditions. We expect subjects in the treatment group to exhibit higher pupil dilation in response to the target stimuli, indicating higher approach/arousal towards the images of the healthy food product.To measure the treatment effects, parametric (t-test) and nonparametric (Mann-Whitney test) comparison tests will be used to examine differences in outcome variables across the control and treatment. Additionally, regression analysis will be conducted to ensure robustness of the findings, and to control for important sociodemographic and behavioral factors.

Progress 05/01/24 to 04/30/25

Outputs
Target Audience: Nothing Reported Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?The PI and Co-PI used their extensive experience to provide thorough training to the PhD student in experimental and neuro- economics methods, as well as software tools needed for the project. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest? Nothing Reported What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?During the next reporting period, the project team will continue data collection for experimental studies 1 and 2. The data collected from these experiments will be analyzed and synethized intro results, manuscripts will be prepared for submission to academic journals. Additionally, the project team will prepare all materials to gear up for data collection for experimental studies 3 and 4.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? During this reporting period, the project PI and Co-PI worked with the PhD student to build a database including thousands of previous articles on projection bias. This database is currently being inspected to select previous publications that would be built into a scoping review to improve scientific understanding of projection bias, present themes from previous results, and discuss the applicability and implications of this bias to consumer behavior. The project team also worked on designing and programming the first two experimental studies. A pre-registration was created for each study, which will be submitted to AEA RCT Registry website to improve transparency of the research work. IRB approvals were also renewed to gear up for data collection. Finally, all supporting materials to conduct the experiments (i.e., invitation emails, experimental instructions, consent forms, payment receipts, etc.) have been prepared. Data collection for the first experimental study has already commenced.

Publications


    Progress 05/01/23 to 04/30/24

    Outputs
    Target Audience: Nothing Reported Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?The PI and Co-PI used their extensive experience to provide thorough training to the PhD student in experimental and neuro-economics methods, as well as software tools needed for the project. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest? Nothing Reported What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?During the next reporting period, the PI and Co-PI will work with the PhD student to conduct two of the four experimental studies described in the project initiation report. Data collected will be analyzed and disseminated through academic journal publications. Findings will also be disseminated to the wider public through mutliple media outlets (e.g., press releases, magazine articles, Youtube videos).

    Impacts
    What was accomplished under these goals? This project aims to conduct four experimental studies to examine the effectiveness of utilizing behavioral biases related to consumption experience and memory on idividual's preferences for healthy products. We aim at examining the influence of inducing a positive consumption experience/memory with a healthy product on consumer preferences for the product. We also aim to evaluate the effect of induced positive consumption experience/memory with a healthy product on consumers' preferences and choices between this product and an equivalent, unhealthy alternative. The results and findings will be useful to policymakers, health program administrators, and the wide public as they will offer insights on strategies that can be used to improve food choices and promote healthier diets. During this reporting period, a PhD student was hired to work on the project. The PhD student was trained in experimental economics and neuro-economics methods, both of which are critical skills that directly relate to the work being done. The PhD student also received training in the software tools needed to conduct the four experimental studies. The project PI and Co-PI worked with the PhD student to conduct an extensive literature review for both behavioral biases (attribution and projection bias) that will be used as the main treatments in all experimental studies. They also worked with the PhD student on designing and programming the first experimental study to gear up for data collection over the Summer/Fall of 2024.

    Publications