Source: UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS submitted to NRP
HIGH-RESOLUTION INTEGRATED ASSESSMENTS OF TILLAGE PRACTICE IMPACTS ON CROP PRODUCTION AND AGROECOSYSTEM SUSTAINABILITY IN THE US MIDWEST - COMBINING META-ANALYSIS, AIRBORNE-SATELLITE SENSING, AND PROC
Sponsoring Institution
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Project Status
ACTIVE
Funding Source
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
1029809
Grant No.
2023-67013-39046
Cumulative Award Amt.
$649,950.00
Proposal No.
2022-09891
Multistate No.
(N/A)
Project Start Date
Feb 15, 2023
Project End Date
Feb 14, 2026
Grant Year
2023
Program Code
[A1102]- Foundational Knowledge of Agricultural Production Systems
Recipient Organization
UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS
2001 S. Lincoln Ave.
URBANA,IL 61801
Performing Department
(N/A)
Non Technical Summary
Tillage is an essential farming practice that is closely tied to production cost, crop yield, and environmental sustainability. The U.S. Midwest has seen a recent trend of shifting from conventional tillage to more conservation tillage (e.g., no-till), though the adoption rate of no-till is still low (~35% by 2017) and its change is relatively stagnant. However, there is still no consensus in the existing scientific literature about the impacts of changing tillage practices on crop production and environmental sustainability, mainly because of the spatially varying soil, weather, and management conditions. High-resolution spatially-explicit assessments of tillage impacts are mostly lacking in the U.S. Midwest, and are critically needed for farmers to make the most informed decisions for their fields.In this project, we aim to innovatively integrate meta-analysis, airborne and satellite data, and process-based modeling to conduct high spatiotemporal assessments of tillage impacts on crop productivity and environmental sustainability in the U.S. Midwest. The following four major Midwest states will be included as our study domain: Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, and Minnesota. In particular, we will study the tillage impacts on crop yield of corn and soybean (the two dominant crops grown in the U.S. Midwest), and several environmental sustainability metrics: greenhouse gas emission, nitrogen leaching, changes in soil organic carbon, and soil erosion. We aim to achieve the following objectives: (1) Collect historical field data from the literature to conduct meta-analyses to quantify impacts of various tillage practices on crop yield and environmental sustainability metrics; (2) Use airborne hyperspectral imaging data, multi-sensor fused satellite data, and machine-learning algorithms to map field-scale tillage practices for the historical period (2000-2023) for the four major Midwest states, and quantify temporal trends of tillage practices at the field scale; (3) Use long-term experimental data, meta-analysis results, and satellite-based measurements to constrain and validate the Ecosys model simulation on tillage impacts for crop yield and environmental sustainability; and (4) Quantify the impacts of tillage practices on crop production and environmental sustainability using the constrained Ecosys model and satellite-based tillage maps for the major Midwest states and conduct suitability assessment of tillage practices to support policy design and farmers' decision making.
Animal Health Component
50%
Research Effort Categories
Basic
50%
Applied
50%
Developmental
(N/A)
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
20572102020100%
Goals / Objectives
In this project, we aim to integrate meta-analysis, airborne and satellite remote sensing, and process-based modeling to perform high-resolution, spatiotemporal assessments of tillage impacts on crop productivity and environmental sustainability in the U.S. Midwest across field scale to regional scale. We will include Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, and Minnesota as our study region. This project will primarily focus on the impacts of tillage practice on yield, GHG emission (CO2 and N2O in particular), N leaching, and changes in soil organic carbon (SOC). The meta-analysis will provide the most updated information on the different types of tillage on crop yield and various environmental sustainability metrics based on data synthesized from historical field observations from literature, and it will also provide important baseline data to model validation. The airborne hyperspectral imaging and satellite remote sensing will provide long-term and accurate mapping of tillage practices at the field level. Site observations, meta-analysis, and airborne-satellite sensing data will then be seamlessly integrated with an advanced agroecosystem model (Ecosys) to fulfill the related modeling tasks.
Project Methods
Key innovations in the project methodology include:We will conduct the first bottom-up modeling assessment of the spatial heterogeneity of tillage impacts from field to regional scales.We will use an integrated system approach in this project by combining meta-analysis, airborne-satellite sensing, and process-based modeling. Data from site observations, meta-analysis and airborne-satellite remote sensing will be seamlessly integrated with the model to generate an observation-constrained assessment of tillage impacts.We will assess multi-facet tillage impacts on crop productivity and environmental sustainability, including changes in crop yield, net GHG emission, and soil carbon change.We will utilize the advanced airborne hyperspectral imaging and satellite monitoring capacity to allow a retrospective evaluation of the historical trend of tillage practices at the field scale.We will work closely with the farmer groups to disseminate our research outcomes to farmers and to maximize the impact of our research outcomes.

Progress 02/15/24 to 02/14/25

Outputs
Target Audience:The target audience of this project include farmers, researchers, NGOs, privivate industries who are interested in soil and water conservation, soil health, and regernerative agriculture. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?The project has trained 2 graduate students, 2 postdoc scholars, and 1 undergraduate interns relatated meta-analysis, satellite remote sensing, and ecosystem process-based modeling. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?The research outcome and results have been diseminated to the communities through academic conferences and extension/outreach activities. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?In the next year, we will focus on analyzing the process-based model simulation results of tillage practices on soil carbon squestration and GHG emission and prepare the related mansucripts on process-based model simulation. We will also focus on extension and outreach activities related to regerative agriculture management.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? To address objective 1, a meta-analysis was conducted to quantify the tillage effects on nitrogen loss. 151 peer-reviewed publications were collected using a specific filter condition on the Web of Science. These results were further refined to ensure each crop yield data is obtained from field experiments, and the yield records are comparable between tillage treatments. The supporting information such as crop species and fertilization was also collected for the sub-scenario analysis. More than 151 articles and 604 nitrogen loss records were collected in the meta-analysis. The results show that compared to conventional tillage, conservation tillage has differential effects on nitrogen loss. Nitrate load (RR = 1.0018) shows no significant change, indicating no substantial difference in total nitrogen loss between the two tillage practices. However, nitrate concentration (RR = 1.1420) increases by 14.2%, potentially enhancing nitrification and resulting in higher nitrate accumulation in soil solution. Meanwhile, N?O flux (RR = 0.8157) decreases by 18.43%, suggesting that by reducing soil disturbance, conservation tillage improves soil aeration, which in turn limits denitrification under oxygen-deficient conditions and reduces N?O emissions. Additionally, cumulative N2O emission increases slightly by 3.31% (RR = 1.0331), suggesting that conservation tillage has a relatively minor effect on total N2O emission. If the primary goal is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (N?O), conservation tillage proves to be more effective than conventional tillage. However, if water pollution due to increased nitrate concentration is a concern, additional management practices such as cover cropping and precision fertilization should be implemented to mitigate nitrate accumulation. While conservation tillage has a limited impact on total nitrogen loss, further optimization is required to mitigate localized nitrate accumulation. To address objective 2, we built a dynamic feature threshold framework utilizing satellite data, environmental variables, and machine learning to map out tillage practices for corn and soybean fields in the Midwest from 2000 to 2022. The framework can effectively consider the confounding impact from local soil, vegetation, and environmental effects on crop residues. We compared tillage mapping accuracy using dynamic feature threshold or fixed feature threshold with either broadband angle index (BAI) or normalized difference tillage index (NDTI) as the key feature for tillage. The results showed that the dynamic feature threshold framework paired with BAI feature can accurately estimate tillage percentage for three categorical practices (no-till, reduced-till, and conventional-till), with a R2 value of 0.84, 0.62, and 0.76 for no-till, reduced-till, and conventional-till in corn fields, and a corresponding R2 value of 0.84, 0.52, and 0.70 in soybean fields, respectively. Dynamic feature threshold framework paired with BAI feature led to slightly better performance than that paired with NDTI feature. The fixed feature threshold framework has a much lower performance, with a R2 value compared to the latter increased by 0.41, 0.42, and 0.61 for no-till, reduced-till, and conventional-till in corn fields, and 0.35, 0.23, and 0.50 in soybean fields, mainly because it does not consider the confounding factors. We found significant regional differences of tillage adoption in the US Midwest. We also found that the adoption of conservation tillage (no-till or reduced-till) increases slowly from 2000 to 2022. Northern counties in Dakotas, southern Minnesota, eastern Nebraska, and Iowa showed an increase trend in no-till percentage, which largely comes from the decreased adoption of reduced-till percentage. Some counties in Indiana and Ohio owed an increase trend in reduced-till percentage, which is mainly contributed by thedecrease of conventional- and no-till practices. This study provides a highly applicable and cost-effective way for regional tillage practice mapping. The manuscript is under-review now. To address objective 3, we have been conducting ecosys simulations of different tillage practices over the US Midwest to quantify their impacts on soil carbon sequestration and GHG emissions. The model runs have been finished and we are now analysing the results to generate the impact quantification results. The project team has also been actively participating in extension/outreach activities at University of Illinois and Indiana University Indianapolis.

Publications

  • Type: Peer Reviewed Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Huang, Yawen, Wei Ren, Laura E. Lindsey, Lixin Wang, Dafeng Hui, Bo Tao, Pierre-Andre Jacinthe, and Hanqin Tian. "No-tillage farming enhances widespread nitrate leaching in the US Midwest." Environmental Research Letters 19, no. 10 (2024): 104062.
  • Type: Peer Reviewed Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Peng, Yu, Lixin Wang, Pierre-Andr� Jacinthe, and Wei Ren. "Global synthesis of cover crop impacts on main crop yield." Field Crops Research 310 (2024): 109343.
  • Type: Peer Reviewed Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Wang, Lixin. "Global plant nitrogen use is controlled by temperature." nature communications 15.1 (2024): 7651.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Hu, Tongxi, Kaiyu Guan, Bin Peng, Robert F. Grant, Ziqi Qin, Ziyi Li, and Rongzhu Qin. "Modeling impacts of climate-smart practices on soil carbon sequestration in the US Midwest at field scales." AGU24 (2024).


Progress 02/15/23 to 02/14/24

Outputs
Target Audience:The target audience of this project include farmers, researchers, NGOs, privivate industries who are interested insoil and water conservation, soil health, and regernerative agriculture. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?We provide trainning to 1 postdoc, 2 graduate students, and 1 undergraudate student in Year 1 in this project. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?The research results have been communicated to local farmers through extension activities. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?The project team will continue to work on meta analysis, remote sensing detection of tillage practices, and modeling tillage impacts with ecosys model.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? In objective 1, the project team conducted a meta-analysis to quantify the tillage effects on crop yield. 3275peer-reviewed publications were collected using a specific filter condition on the Web of Science. These results were further refined to ensure each crop yield data is obtained from field experiments, and the yield records are comparable between tillage treatments. Specifically, the text string "TI =(mulch-till or mulch tillage or ridge tilling or ridge-till or reduced tillage or Intensive tillage or soil management or cover crop* or tillage practice or residue or residues or fertilizer or manure or amendment or liming or compost or biochar or intercropping or conservation tillage or crop rotat* or no tillage or no-till or no-tillage) AND TS= agriculture AND TS= (soil NOT forest NOT urban) AND (TI=(yield OR fertil* OR irrgat* OR product*)" was used to search the published literature using Web of Science. This search returned 3284 results. After removing duplicates, we got 3275 articles. However, only 718 of these articles obtained data from field experiments so these articles were used in the data collection and subsequent meta-analysis. The supporting information such as crop species and fertilization were also collected for the sub-scenario analysis. We also tried to geo-reference these studies whenever possible. In Objective 2, the project team workedonbuildinga dynamic feature threshold framework utilizing satellite data, environmental variables, and machine learning to map out tillage practices for corn and soybean fields in the Midwest from 2000 to 2022. The framework can effectively consider the confounding impact from local soil, vegetation, and environmental effects on crop residues. We are comparingtillage mapping accuracy using dynamic feature threshold or fixed feature threshold with either broadband angle index (BAI) or normalized difference tillage index (NDTI) as the key feature for tillage. In Objective 3, the project team worked on testing the ecosys model performance on simulating the impacts of tillage onon yield, GHG emission (CO2 and N2O in particular), N leaching, and changes in soil organic carbon (SOC).

Publications