Source: TEXAS TECH UNIVERSITY submitted to NRP
INTEGRATING A RESILIENT CROPPING SYSTEM AND PRECISION CONSERVATION FOR SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE IN A SEMI-ARID REGION
Sponsoring Institution
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Project Status
ACTIVE
Funding Source
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
1028437
Grant No.
2022-67013-36992
Cumulative Award Amt.
$294,000.00
Proposal No.
2021-11381
Multistate No.
(N/A)
Project Start Date
Mar 15, 2022
Project End Date
Mar 14, 2026
Grant Year
2022
Program Code
[A1811]- AFRI Commodity Board Co-funding Topics
Recipient Organization
TEXAS TECH UNIVERSITY
(N/A)
LUBBOCK,TX 79409
Performing Department
Plant and Soil Science
Non Technical Summary
The goal of the proposed project is to develop strategies for precision irrigation management and assess more sustainable and resilient cropping systems for cotton grown in the southwest by integrating precision conservation and climate-smart agriculture (CSA) practices. Specifically, the objectives are to: 1) Develop and test precision water management algorithms and strategies that integrate resilient cropping systems for sustainable agricultural production in a semi-arid and water-limited agroecosystem; 2) Build a simulation system to assess and predict the resilience of different cropping systems under various combinations of climate change scenarios and irrigation rates. An on-farm experiment will focus on developing and validating an algorithm and strategy for precision water management, incorporating a resilient cropping system. The Decision Support for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) modeling program will be applied to simulate crop yield, water use, and irrigation rates for assessing the cropping systems involving cotton, wheat, and sorghum under four projected climate scenarios by the Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), representative concentration pathways (RCPs) - RCPs 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5. The implementation of the on-farm trial provides essential knowledge and information for the adoption of precision irrigation technology that helps to increase WUE, improve crop yield and economic return. The simulation results facilitate critical information for stakeholders to proactively adapt to the new environment and cropping systems, including planning and balancing urban and agricultural water use, prioritizing research to address water availability and climate change issues, breeding for drought-resistant cultivars, and adopting soil health-friendly management practices. The concepts, data sources, and algorithms developed in this study will be largely applicable to other crops and agricultural regions where water supplies are increasingly constrained.
Animal Health Component
20%
Research Effort Categories
Basic
60%
Applied
20%
Developmental
20%
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
1110210107030%
1021710106040%
1320199301030%
Goals / Objectives
The goal of the proposed project is to develop strategies for precision irrigation management and assess more sustainable and resilient cropping systems for cotton grown in the southwest by integrating precision conservation and climate-smart agriculture (CSA) practices. Specifically, the objectives are to: 1) Develop and test precision water management algorithms and strategies that integrate resilient cropping systems for sustainable agricultural production in a semi-arid and water-limited agroecosystem; 2) Build a simulation system to assess and predict the resilience of different cropping systems under various combinations of climate change scenarios and irrigation management.
Project Methods
An on-farm experiment will focus on developing and validating an algorithm and strategy for precision water management, incorporating resilient cropping systems. The Decision Support for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) modeling program will be applied to simulate crop yield, water use, and irrigation rates for assessing the cropping systems involving cotton, wheat, and sorghum under four projected climate scenarios, representative concentration pathways (RCPs).

Progress 03/15/24 to 03/14/25

Outputs
Target Audience:The target audience is primarily farmers and the scientific community. The project benefits farmers by promoting water conservation practices and sustainable cropping systems in the face of climate change. The scientific community is a significant audience since the project's results contribute to the body of knowledge on precision water application, water conservation and resilient cropping systems in semi-arid regions. Efforts involved in achieving the objectives: On-farm Research: The project is conducted on commercial farms to understand the effects of site-specific water management practices on crop yields and water use efficiency. Data are also collected from farms regarding crop yield, management practices, and economic returns. We collaborated directly with producers and crop consultants to implement these experiments and collect the data. Therefore, the knowledge gained from these studies is directly applicable to real-world farming. Conferences: The project team presented preliminary research findings on precision irrigation and crop modeling at three conferences targeting the scientific community and farmers. Changes/Problems:The project has been extended to March 2026. What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Three graduate students, two in Agronomy and one in Agricultural and Applied Economics, have been involved in this project. They have developed skills through conducting research, including collecting and analyzing data, and presenting preliminary results at various conferences. These training and professional development activities will help these students achieve their educational and career goals. One M.S. student graduated in August 2024 and produced a thesis on the economic analysis of cropping systems in response to climate change scenarios. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?In the past year, we focused on disseminating preliminary results to the scientific community. The team presented 12 abstracts at three conferences. We have also published two articles on Crop and Environment and Advances in Agronomy. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?We will participate in or organize field days to distribute the on-farm trial results to growers, crop consultants, and extension agents. We will disseminate our work to scientific peers and communities through national and international conferences, as well as presentations and refereed journal articles. ?

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? 1). We developed an algorithm to identify optimal irrigation rates that minimize water use while maximizing cotton yield at the within-field scale in the Southern High Plains. Random Forest (RF) models were employed to identify key factors influencing yield and WUE based on a dataset encompassing soil properties, topographic attributes, and irrigation rates. Soil properties such as apparent electrical conductivity (ECa) and topography, including elevation and slope, were measured to understand their contribution to spatial variability. Optimized and site-specific irrigation strategies improved WUE by up to 21.4% compared to conventional methods, while increasing cotton yields by 31%. 2). We developed a Python-based framework to simulate and predict crop yield for three cropping systems: cotton-cotton, cotton-sorghum, and cotton-wheat. This framework can help producers and stakeholders make informed decisions on crop production based on local soil and climate interactions.

Publications

  • Type: Theses/Dissertations Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Reymark Alcantara. 2024. An Economic Analysis of Climate Resilience of Irrigated Cotton-Based Cropping Systems in the Texas High Plains Region. Major: Agricultural and Applied Economics. Graduation time: August 2024.
  • Type: Peer Reviewed Journal Articles Status: Accepted Year Published: 2025 Citation: Ghimire, B., Adedeji, O., Ritchie, G., & Guo, W. (2025). Simulating crop yields and water productivity for three cotton-based cropping systems in the Texas High Plains. Crop and Environment (Elsevier)
  • Type: Peer Reviewed Journal Articles Status: Accepted Year Published: 2024 Citation: Karn, R., Rabia, A.H., Lewis, K., Siebecker, M.G., Guo, W. (2025). Principles and application of nitrogen management in precision agriculture: A review.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2025 Citation: Guo, W. (2025). Advanced technologies for precision water management. Beltwide Cotton Conference. January 14-16, 2025. New Orleans, Louisiana
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2025 Citation: Alcantara, R. T., Wang, C., Guo, W., Johnson, P., Che, Y. (2025). An Economic Analysis of Climate Resilience of Irrigated Cotton-Based Cropping Systems in the Texas High Plains Region. January 14-16, 2025. New Orleans, Louisiana
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2025 Citation: Li, S., Guo, W. (2025). Machine Learning-Based Cotton lint Yield Estimation Using Satellite Imagery. Beltwide Cotton Conference. January 14-16, 2025. New Orleans, Louisiana.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2025 Citation: Wieber, E., Guo, W., Adedeji, O., Karn, R., Ghimire, B. (2025). Using UAV Remote Sensing to Assess Cotton Cultivars for Water Stress Resistance in West Texas. Beltwide Cotton Conference. January 14-16, 2025. New Orleans, Louisiana.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Guo, W., Ghimire, B., Alcantara, R., Wang, C., Ritchie, G., & Lege, K. (2024). A DSSAT-based framework for simulating resilience of cropping systems under climate change. ASA, CSSA, SSSA International Annual Meeting. ASA-CSSA-SSSA. San Antonio, Texas. November 9-12, 2024
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Karn, R., Ritchie, G., Lewis, K. L., Adedeji, O., Ghimire, B., & Guo, W. (2024). Cotton yield and fiber quality response to nitrogen rates, soil physicochemical, and topography attributes. ASA, CSSA, SSSA International Annual Meeting. ASA-CSSA-SSSA. San Antonio, Texas. November 9-12, 2024.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Ghimire, B., Guo, W., Karn, R., Adedeji, O., Ritchie, G., Wieber, E., & Chowdhury, T. (2024). Modeling future climate change impacts on cotton production in Texas High Plains. ASA, CSSA, SSSA International Annual Meeting. ASA-CSSA-SSSA. San Antonio, Texas. November 9-12, 2024.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Karn, R., Hassan, A. A. M., Adedeji, O., Ghimire, B., & Guo, W. (2024). Within-field cotton yield prediction using temporal satellite imagery combined with deep learning. ASA, CSSA, SSSA International Annual Meeting. ASA-CSSA-SSSA. San Antonio, Texas. November 9-12, 2024.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Wieber, E., Adedeji, O., Karn, R., Ghimire, B., & Guo, W. (2024). Evaluating the Impact of Irrigation Rate, Timing, and Maturity-Based Cotton Cultivars on Yield and Fiber Quality in West Texas. 16th International Conference on Precision Agriculture, July 21-24, 2024. Manhattan, KS
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Adedeji, O., & Guo, W. (2024). Assessing Precision Water Management in Cotton using Unmanned Aerial Systems and Satellite Remote Sensing. 16th International Conference on Precision Agriculture, July 21-24, 2024. Manhattan, KS.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Adedeji, O., Ghimire, B., & Guo, W. (2024). Predicting Within-field Cotton Yield Variability Using DSSAT for Decision Support in Precision Agriculture. 16th International Conference on Precision Agriculture, July 21-24, 2024. Manhattan, KS.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Karn, R., Adedeji, O., Ghimire, B., Abdalla, A., Sheng, V., Ritchie, G., & Guo, W. (2024). Within-field cotton yield prediction using temporal satellite imagery combined with deep learning. 16th International Conference on Precision Agriculture, July 2124, 2024. Manhattan, KS.


Progress 03/15/23 to 03/14/24

Outputs
Target Audience:The target audience is primarily farmers and the scientific community. The project benefits farmers as it aims to promote water conservation practices and sustainable cropping systems under climate change. The scientific community is a significant audience since the project's results contribute to the body of knowledge on precision water application, water conservation and climate-smart agriculture. Efforts involved to achieve the objectives: On-farm Research: The project is conducted on commercial farms to understand the effects of site-specific water management practices on crop yields and water use efficiency. We collaborated directly with producers and crop consultants to implement these experiments. Therefore, knowledge learned from the studies is directly applicable to real-world farming. Conferences: The project team presented preliminary research findings on precision irrigation and crop modeling at four conferences targeting the scientific community and farmers. Changes/Problems:Dr. Ken Lege has agreed to serve as a co-PI to replace Dr. Murilo Maeda. Dr. Lege is an assistant professor and Extension Cotton Specialist with Texas A&M AgriLife Research and Extension. He will be responsible for extension and outreach efforts. What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Three graduate students, two in agronomy and one in agricultural economics, are involved in this project. They have developed research skills through conducting research, including collecting and analyzing data, and presenting preliminary results at various conferences. These training and professional development activities will facilitate these students to achieve their education and career goals. One graduate student will produce a thesis on the economic analysis of cropping systems in response to climate change scenarios. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?In the second year, we focused on disseminating preliminary results to the scientific community. The team presented nine abstracts at four conferences as follows: 1) Beltwide Cotton Conference, Fort Worth, TX. January 3-5, 2024. 2) ASA, CSA, SSA Annual Conference. St. Louis, MO. October 29 - November 1, 2023. 3) International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium. Pasadena, CA. July 16 - 21 2023. 4) Data-Intensive Farm Management- NC1210-CIGOFT Conference. South Padre Island, TX. Jan. 10, 2024. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?1). Build models to predict crop yield in response to irrigation amount, planting time, and variety (maturity group) as affected by environmental factors for adaptation strategies to climate change. 2). Perform yield prediction using climate data from 19 climate models, integrating them into an ensemble to simulate and predict the resilience of cropping systems to different climate change scenarios at a regional scale. 3). Perform economic analysis of cropping systems and different soil types under various climate change scenarios for the ensemble of 19 climate models.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? 1). A framework consisting of Python scripts was built to integrate soil, weather, genotype, and management data into DSSAT simulations. This framework has the potential to perform simulations at within-field, regional, and national scales under various climate change scenarios. 2). An economic analysis algorithm was developed to assess the resilience of cropping systems to climate change.

Publications

  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2023 Citation: Ghimire, B., Karn, R., Adedeji, O., & Guo, W. (2023). Integration of remote sensing data into crop model for estimating cotton growth and yield in West Texas. Paper presented at the ASA, CSA, SSA Annual Conference, St. Louis, MO. October 29 - November 1, 2023.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2023 Citation: Adedeji, O., Abdalla, A., Karn, R., Ghimire, B., Wieber, E., & Guo, W. (2023). Retrieving surface soil water content using Sentinel-1 microwave remote sensing. Paper presented at the ASA, CSA, SSA Annual Conference, St. Louis, MO. October 29 - November 1, 2023.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2023 Citation: Ghimire, B., Adedeji, O., Karn, R., Ritchie, G., & Guo, W. (2023). Predicting within-field cotton yield variability using DSSAT for decision support in precision agriculture. Paper presented at the ASA, CSA, SSA Annual Conference, St. Louis, MO. October 29 - November 1, 2023.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2023 Citation: Adedeji, O., Hassan, A., Ghimire, B., Wieber, E., Karn, R., & Guo, W. (2023). Cotton yield prediction using satellite remote sensing and machine learning. Paper presented at the International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, Pasadena, CA. July 16-21, 2023.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Guo, W. (2024). Precision irrigation for sustainable agriculture in the Southern High Plains. Paper presented at the Data-Intensive Farm Management-NC1210-CIGOFT Conference, South Padre Island, TX. January 10, 2024.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Ghimire, B., Adedeji, O., Karn, R., Ritchie, G., & Guo, W. (2024). Prediction of cotton yield under a changing climate using DSSAT in Texas High Plains. Paper presented at the Beltwide Cotton Conference, Fort Worth, TX. January 3-5, 2024.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Ghimire, B., Adedeji, O., Karn, R., Ritchie, G., & Guo, W. (2024). Application of DSSAT model to assess climate resilient cropping systems in West Texas. Paper presented at the Beltwide Cotton Conference, Fort Worth, TX. January 3-5, 2024.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2024 Citation: Adedeji, O., Abdalla, A., Karn, R., Ghimire, B., Wieber, E., & Guo, W. (2024). Assessing precision irrigation management using satellite remote sensing. Paper presented at the Beltwide Cotton Conference, Fort Worth, TX. January 3-5, 2024.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2023 Citation: Ghimire, B., Adedeji, O., Karn, R., Hassan, A., Wieber, E., & Guo, W. (2023). Simulation of regional cotton growth and yield using remote sensing data and crop model in West Texas. Paper presented at the International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, Pasadena, CA. July 16-21, 2023.


Progress 03/15/22 to 03/14/23

Outputs
Target Audience:The target audience for this project was primarily farmers and the scientific community. The farmers were the primary audience since the project aimed to promote water conservation practices and sustainable cropping systems. The scientific community was also a significant audience since the project's results would contribute to the body of knowledge on precision water application, water conservation and climate-smart agriculture. Efforts involved to achieve the objectives: On-farm Research: The project conducted on-farm research to understand the effects of site-specific water management practices on crop yields and water use efficiency. We collaborated directly with producers or crop consultants to implement these experiments. Conferences: The project team presented preliminary research findings on precision irrigation and crop modeling at four conferences targeting the scientific community and farmers. Changes/Problems:Co-PI Dr. Murilo Maeda with Texas A&M AgriLife Extension, responsible for extension and outreach efforts, left his position in November 2022. This unexpected change in the research team will likely delay activities related to extension and outreach. What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Three graduate students, two in agronomy and one in agricultural economics, are involved in this project. They have developed research skills through conducting research, including collecting and analyzing data, and presenting preliminary results at various conferences. These training and professional development activities will facilitate these students to achieve their education and career goals. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?In the first year, we focused on disseminating preliminary results to the scientific community. The team presented eight abstracts at four conferences. The variable rate irrigation results were also shared with the participating producer and a crop consultant directly involved in this study. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?1). Implement the on-farm precision irrigation experiments and data collection for crop modeling in 2023. 2). Build models to predict crop yield in response to irrigation amounts as affected by environmental factors for within-field precision irrigation management. 3). Develop Python scripts to enable automation of DSSAT to simulate crop resilience to different climate change scenarios at a regional scale. 4). Identify a replacement scientist at Texas A&M AgriLife Extension to engage in extension and outreach activities.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? On-farm precision irrigation research was conducted in Parmer County, Texas in 2022. The first year's data facilitated modeling cotton yield responses to irrigation rates at various landscape positions and soil properties. The analysis of this dataset provided insights into precision irrigation management in a drought year. This will help develop within-field precision water management to improve water use efficiency and water conservation and protect the environment. Plant and soil data collected from more than 40 fields in 2022 and a historical dataset on cropping systems and associated water use, crop yield, and economic returns under various cropping systems helped calibrate a crop model (DSSAT) to simulate the resilience of cropping systems under different climate change scenarios. Enterprise budgets are the primary framework adopted in this study to assess the profitability of an economic enterprise. We developed enterprise budget templates for several crops under dryland and irrigated scenarios, including corn, cotton, sorghum, and wheat. Each enterprise budget will be extended into a cropping system budget on a per acre-year basis. The evaluation of cropping system resilience will be performed using simulation analyses with yield data derived from the DSSAT under various climatic conditions.

Publications

  • Type: Book Chapters Status: Published Year Published: 2023 Citation: Guo, W., Gu, H., Adedeji, O., Ghimire, B. (2023). Advances in remote/aerial sensing of crop water status. In: Lobsey, C. and Biswas, A. (ed.), Advances in Sensor Technology for Sustainable Crop Production. Burleigh Dodds Scientific Publishing, Cambridge, United Kingdom. p. 1-39.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2023 Citation: Ghimire, B., Guo, W. (2023). Application of DSSAT model to simulate cotton yield response to different irrigation systems in the Southern High Plains of Texas. New Orleans, LA: Beltwide Cotton Conference.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2022 Citation: Ghimire, B., Karn, R., Gu, H., Guo, W. (2022). Simulation of nitrogen uptake and yield in dryland cotton using DSSAT crop modeling. Baltimore, MD: ASA-CSSA-SSSA.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2022 Citation: Adedeji, O., Guo, W. (2022). Estimation of cotton biomass using unmanned aerial systems and satellite-based remote sensing. Minneapolis, MN: International Society of Precision Agriculture.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2022 Citation: Ghimire, B., Adedeji, O., Lin, Z., Guo, W. (2022). Modeling spatial and temporal variability of cotton yield using DSSAT for decision support in precision agriculture. Minneapolis, MN: International Society of Precision Agriculture.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2022 Citation: Guo, W. (2022). On-farm Research on Precision Irrigation  Opportunities and Challenges in a Semi-arid Environment. Data-Intensive Farm Management- NC1210-CIGOFT Conference. Corpus Christi, TX: University of Illinois.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2023 Citation: Adedeji, O., Ghimire, B., Karn, R., Wieber, E., Guo, W. (2023). Estimation of Cotton Plant height using UAS and RTK-GNSS technology. New Orleans, LA: Beltwide Cotton Conference.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2022 Citation: Adedeji, O., Wieber, E., Karn, R., Ghimire, B., Guo, W. (2022). Assessment of within-field spatial variabilities and management zones for precision Irrigation in the Southern High Plains. Baltimore, MD: ASA-CSSA-SSSA.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2022 Citation: Ghimire, B., Karn, R., Adedeji, O., Guo, W. (2022). Integration of remote sensing data into crop model for estimating cotton growth and yield in West Texas. Baltimore, MD: ASA-CSSA-SSSA.