Source: HUMBOLDT STATE UNIV submitted to NRP
PREDICTING POST-FIRE CONIFER REGENERATION DENSITY
Sponsoring Institution
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Project Status
COMPLETE
Funding Source
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
1021886
Grant No.
(N/A)
Cumulative Award Amt.
(N/A)
Proposal No.
(N/A)
Multistate No.
(N/A)
Project Start Date
Jan 1, 2020
Project End Date
Dec 31, 2022
Grant Year
(N/A)
Program Code
[(N/A)]- (N/A)
Recipient Organization
HUMBOLDT STATE UNIV
(N/A)
ARCATA,CA 95521
Performing Department
Forestry
Non Technical Summary
Given the sharp increase in the frequency of severe wildfire in California in the last few decades, there is a great deal of interest in post-fire regeneration. In particular, one asks if our non-serotinous species can persist in an era of short return times. Unfortunately, we have only a handful of case studies of post-fire regeneration, not a general theory of the regeneration process. This project will develop a theoretical framework based on the three recruitment mechanisms: dispersal from the edge, dispersal from old closed cones (serotiny), and dispersal in situ from current seeds surviving passage of the flaming front (facultative serotiny). The latter mechanism requires a late summer fire during a good seed crop. Additionally, we will conduct a novel experiment where the water receipt for germinants of several commercially valuable conifer species is varied in absolute amount and in the timing over the summer. We seek to know the critical absolute summer rain amount and critical between-event interval for germinants to survive in this Mediterranean climate.
Animal Health Component
50%
Research Effort Categories
Basic
50%
Applied
50%
Developmental
(N/A)
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
10206121070100%
Goals / Objectives
There are two main goals. The first is to examine the three mechanisms by which conifer seed is made available after fire: dispersal from living trees at the edge, serotiny, and what we are calling facultative serotiny. The second objective is to determine the how the summer precipitation amount and its intra-summer temporal variation govern the survivorship of conifer germinants in burns.
Project Methods
Precipitation experiment. (2000-2002)We will establish common gardens in a severely burned area at three 2018 fires: the Carr fire in the Klamath region, the Camp fire in the northern Sierras, and a third fire in the central Sierras. We will use seeds of the commercial species Ponderosa pine, gray pine, Douglas fir, incense cedar, and white fir. All plots will have the same soil, a well-mixed layer of three parts sand, three parts clay, and one part humus. This "A horizon" will be placed above the native mineral soil exposed by smoldering combustion, and will be 10 cm thick. Seeds will be sown off-site in flats, and transplanted into the experimental plots as they begin to germinate. The first watering will occur during the transplantation. To retard lateral diffusion from the plot, it will be sited on flat ground, and water will be added, not just to the plot 1 m2 area of germinants, but also to the adjacent area extending 1 m in all directions.There will be a transparent plastic canopy 40 cm above each plot except for the control. Only the control will receive the actual rainfall registered in the summer of the experiment. Netting to keep out vertebrate herbivores will be placed around each plot. At each site the watering regime will consist of the mean annual local summer precipitation amount (x) divided over the summer (May 1 to September 30) into 2, 4, or 8 events (n). Thus, the watering amount becomes x/n, and so a plot can have a few large amounts or many smaller ones, more equitably distributed. Additionally, two other arrays of plots at each garden will have either x/2n (half the total expected amount) or 2x/n (double the normal precipitation amount). Altogether then, there will be 12 plots (including the controls) at each garden. The final proportion of germinants surviving will be tallied in late September. This procedure will be repeated each summer from 2020 to 2022. There will be 100 germinants annually of each species at each garden for each rainfall regime.Facultative serotiny in Ponderosa pine and Douglas fir. (2000)As part of my ARI grant (continuing into the 2000 field season) we have examined regeneration of Ponderosa pine at the 2017 Helena fire and the 2018 Carr fire. The latter occurred in late July. We intend to extend that analysis to other 2018 fires that burned at other dates: Klamathon (July 5), Natchez (July 15), Hirz (Aug 9), Stone (Aug 15), Delta (Sept 5) and Camp (Nov 8). We expect no seeds to have been germinable in early July. Subsequently the ratio of seedlings to cones should increase with fire date as more seeds mature. (However, the Camp fire is expected to provide no recruits as the cones would have already been open by that fire date and thus the seeds should have been consumed.) Given an extra assistant hired using M-S funds, we can extend this analysis at multiple 2018 fires to Douglas fir.At each fire for each species, we select 10 m radius circular plots that contained at least one burnt pine canopy tree. Plots must be at least 100 m from any living conspecific source tree. Within each plot we enumerate fallen cones and recruits. A positive correlation among plots at a fire between cone number and recruit number will demonstrate that the seed source must be local. We will also collect data on scorch height on the burnt trees. Finally, these data allow us to see if these two species have, on average across the landscape, replaced themselves.Immaturity Risk and Facultative Serotiny. (2000-2002)An older (about 100 years) forest in Kootenay National Park burned in 2002 (Shanks fire) and 2007 (Tokum fire). The early August 2018 Wardle fire then burned through both the older fire and much of the two newer fires. We predict that spruce in the post-2006 burn and post-2007 fire will be extirpated, despite 2018 being a mast year, because they were still a few years too early to produce their first crop. Meanwhile, pine will be reduced to very low levels (especially in the 2007 fire) because they had only begun to produce a few cones. Finally, it is predicted that facultative serotiny will be observed (Engelmann spruce, subalpine fir, and Douglas-fir; all three had good crops in 2018) where the older forest was burned in 2018.Methods will be similar to the ponderosa pine study with 10 m radius circular plots for enumerating cone and recruit density in the burned older forest. At the two younger, recently burned areas however we will use transects. Along each 200 m long, 1 m wide transect we will tally all recruits, cones (no spruce cones are expected), and burnt stems.

Progress 10/01/20 to 09/30/21

Outputs
Target Audience:target audience at this point equals other researchers Changes/Problems:because of the pandemic: 1. we still have not succeeded at the irigation experiment in common gardens. We will try one last time this semester 2. because of the pandemic we could not travle to canada to do the planned field work What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?1. Threeundergraduate field assistants were hired in summer 2021. 2. Of two graduate students, one graduated in December 2021. She will be replaxed by a new studentstarting January 2022. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Thus far, via conference presentations. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?1. Write up the paper about chaparral competition. 2. Do the Canadian field work. 3. Finish collecting data for the post-fire juvenile surivvorship paper.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? 1. We finished the stduy on the probability (8%) of a fire recuring before a serotinous species (Pinus attenuata) can produce its first cone. 2. We finished the study of the effect (they havenone) of regenerating chaparral shrubs on the survival and growth of post-fire Pinus attenuata recruits. 3. We wasted a second summer trying to do the experimental common gardens to detect the minimum amount of summer rainfall needed for gerimant survival. It was too hard to do during a pandemic. 4. We now can show that sugar pine and douglas fir both had great seed crops in 2020 which led to excellent recruitment in the late summer 2020 fires. 5. We now have direct proof (germinable seeds recoved from burnt cones) that seeds can survive fire and remain viable. 6. because of the pandemic we could not do the work in Canda. 7. We began amassing a data set to show that the window of opportunity to invade following fire near a forest edge is about 5 years, the age-specific survivorship declining each year. We have done three fires so far.

Publications

  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2022 Citation: LaMontagne, J.M., M.D. Redmond, A.P. Wion, and D.F. Greene. Patterns of reproductive variability in North American conifers (1960-2014). Presented at the British Ecological Society Meeting, Liverpool, Great Britain. 2022.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2021 Citation: LaMontagne, J.M., M.D. Redmond, A.P. Wion, and D.F. Greene. Temporal variability in mast seeding patterns of North American conifers. Presented at the Canadian Society for Ecology & Evolution meeting. Vancouver, B.C. August 2021.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2021 Citation: Lindley, S., Greene, D.F., and Kane, J. The effect of chaparral competiton on juvenile survivorship of Pinus attenuata. Invited paper. Special session on Post-fire Regeneration for the Annual Conference of the Association of Fire Ecology.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2021 Citation: Greene, D.F., and Kane, J. 2021. Seed production in serotinous species. The effect of chapparal competiton on juvenile survivorship of Pinus attenuata. Invited paper. Special session on Post-fire Regeneration for the Annual Confernece of the Association of Fire Ecology.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2021 Citation: Kane, D.F., and Greene, D.F. 2001. Cone morphology and the probability of a seed surviving fire. Invited paper. Special session on Post-fire Regeneration for the Annual Conference of the Association of Fire Ecology. On-line.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2021 Citation: Lopez, M., Kane, J.F., and Greene, D.F. 2001. Conifer seed maturation schedules and the time of fire. Special session on Post-fire Regeneration for the Annual Conference of the Association of Fire Ecology. On-line.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2021 Citation: Fletterick, K., Greene, D.F., and Kane, J. 2001. The decline of age-specific juvenile survivorship with increasing post-fire cohort age. Special session on Post-fire Regeneration for the Annual Conference of the Association of Fire Ecology. On-line.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Under Review Year Published: 2022 Citation: Marlin, K., Greene, D.F., and Kane, J. Under review. The probability of a fire recurring prior to reproductive onset in Pinus attenuata. Submitted to Ecosphere.


Progress 01/01/20 to 09/30/20

Outputs
Target Audience:foresters; academic forest ecologists Changes/Problems:the main problem was the pandemic. It made the Kootenay work impossible, and the Calfornia work much more difficult. What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?We trained two undergraduate stduents and one graduate student. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?one paper has been submitted What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?1. Conduct the watering experiment at all four common gardens. 2. Tabulate germinant numbers along the transect. 3. Continue adding to the time-to-first-reproductionand temporalvariation data sets.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? 1. We could not do the work at Kootenay National park because of the pandemic. 2. In northern Califonia, we worked primarily on the watering experiment, building the plantersfor all four common gardens. Much time was spent trying out materials to stay within budget. We only however ran the experiment a single time last summer (Kobcone pine; only at the Schatz site) as we were not permitted to leave the county. During the nexttwo summers we will do the full experiment. 3. We obtained seed for all the species we will use for the next two sumemrs. 4. We added 7 tree species to our study of temproal variation in seed production of conifers and 6 tree species for the study of time to first reproduction. 5. We placed several thousand knobcone pine (a species locally absent) seeds along a transect extending form the fire edge 1 km into a severe 2020 fire near the Oregon border, an area primarily made of Douglas fir and sugar pine. Seedbeds are excellent along the transect. We expect to see much poorer regeneration within the first 100 m from the edge due to heightended granivory as rodents reinvade.

Publications

  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Under Review Year Published: 2020 Citation: Age to first reproduction of Pinus attenuata