Source: RUTGERS, THE STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW JERSEY submitted to
DEVELOPMENT OF A WEED EMERGENCE MODEL FOR THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
Sponsoring Institution
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Project Status
COMPLETE
Funding Source
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
1018460
Grant No.
(N/A)
Cumulative Award Amt.
(N/A)
Proposal No.
(N/A)
Multistate No.
NE-1838
Project Start Date
Dec 3, 2018
Project End Date
Sep 30, 2023
Grant Year
(N/A)
Program Code
[(N/A)]- (N/A)
Recipient Organization
RUTGERS, THE STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW JERSEY
3 RUTGERS PLZA
NEW BRUNSWICK,NJ 08901-8559
Performing Department
Plant Biology
Non Technical Summary
Weed management is a priority issue for Northeastern farmers, particularly with the increasing prevalence of organic production, the rise of herbicide resistant weeds, and the recent increase in small farms and urban farming. Providing seedling emergence information so that farmers can effectively time their weed management operations can increase efficacy of control, reduce labor costs, and minimize any negative environmental impacts. Therefore, there is an urgent need for the development of time-specific weed management tools to help address the frequently asked, yet to be answered, question ofwhen is the "right" time to control weeds? Weed seedling emergence is a complex process regulated by a multitude of internal (e.g. species-specific parameters such as base temperature, base water potential) and environmental (e.g. soil temperature and moisture) factors. No weed management decision support tool exists for the Northeastern region of the United States, despite recent advances in our understanding of regional weed emergence patterns and developments in fine-scale weather prediction and soil moisture modeling. Therefore, there is a need for collecting weed emergence data across the region to validate and refine existing weed emergence models in order to produce a web-hosted weed emergence predictive tool for use by farmers, extension personnel, crop consultants, and the general public.Research plots will be established in various sites across the northeastern US. Each site will include two treatments, one with initial tillage in a field with a history of tillage and one with no tillage in a field with a history of no-till agriculture. Eight 1 m2 plots for each treatment will be established, for a total of sixteen plots per site. All emerged weeds of the selected species of interest will be identified and counted on a weekly basis and emerged plants will be removed. Simultaneously, environmental data (precipitation, air and soil temperature) will be collected at each experimental site. Collection of these data for the targeted weed species will help to validate/refine the preliminary emergence prediction tool developed by Cornell University.Ultimately, our goal is to develop and validate a user-friendly, online decision support tool for the real time prediction of weed emergence in the northeastern US. The decision support tool will consider GPS location, soil type, tillage, crop data, and accesses weather history to provide percent emergence of the farmer's problem weeds at that location.
Animal Health Component
100%
Research Effort Categories
Basic
0%
Applied
100%
Developmental
0%
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
21323001140100%
Knowledge Area
213 - Weeds Affecting Plants;

Subject Of Investigation
2300 - Weeds;

Field Of Science
1140 - Weed science;
Goals / Objectives
Link Northeastern weed emergence timing data to existing weed emergence models and modern weather prediction models to create an online tool for farmers that will help them plan their weed management for optimal weed control. This tool will include three weeds that are problematic across the region: common lambsquarters (Chenopodium album), redroot pigweed (Amaranthus retroflexus) and large crabgrass (Digitaria sanguinalis). Common ragweed (Ambrosia artemisiifolia) will also be included in the northern portion of the Northeast and morningglory species (Ipomoea spp.) in the southern portion of the region. Individual participating states may also include one additional species of particular interest to their state. Collect weed emergence data across the region to validate and refine the existing weed emergence models to fit Northeastern data, and refine the decision support tool through testing by select farmers and extension staff.
Project Methods
The overarching goal of the project is to work collaboratively across the Northeast to optimize the ability of farmers to manage weeds in agricultural systems, despite the challenges of a changing climate and increasing prevalence of herbicide resistant weeds. Recent advances in weed ecological research and technology in general have opened the door to more targeted weed management decision support tools, and developing such tools will bring weed management in the Northeast into the 21stcentury.Objective 1.The emergence model equations published in Myers et al. (2005) were used to create a preliminary emergence prediction tool by fitting existing weed emergence data to precipitation, temperature and soil data for two research farm locations central in New York State. This prediction tool uses the soil temperature model of Bittelli et al. (2015) as presented in their book [Soil Physics with Python, 1st Edition Oxford University Press]. The model is linked to gridded daily temperature and precipitation data via the Applied Climate Information System (DeGaetano et al. 2014).The temperature grid is based on the methods ofDeGaetano & Belcher (2007) and the precipitation grid uses the procedure outlined in DeGaetano & Wilks (2009). The model also requires daily evapotranspiration for which we use DeGaetano et al. (1994) to compute pan evaporation, which is then adjusted to bare soil evaporation using Allen et al. (2006). The forecast data are extracted from the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) (Glahn & Ruth 2003). The resulting pilot model is available athttps://alexsinfarosa.github.io/weed-modelV2/. While the pilot lacks the ability to alter soil characteristics and soil moisture cutoff mechanisms, it serves as a proof-of-concept for the proposed tool. We have tested the resulting tool against data collected by DiTommaso's research group in two extreme precipitation years (2016, 2017) in New York State (DiTommaso et al. 2018), and incorporated soil moisture cutoffs from WeedCast (Forcella et al. 1998). At the end of Year 1, data from the Multistate project will be used to test both the emergence equations and assumptions made in the decision support tool and those on which WeedCast was based. We will use the equations for each species with the closest fit and modify them as needed to fit the emergence patterns observed across the Northeast. Data from Year 2 will be used to validate the resulting tool and refine its fit across the region. In addition, a select subset of cooperating farmers and extension educators from each participating state will test a draft of the online decision support tool in year 2. Their qualitative feedback will be used to refine the online interface. In Year 3, data from research and farmer input will be used to further validate and refine the model, and a fully functional version will be installed on the NEWA site (http://newa.cornell.edu/.Objective 2.All regional collaborators will establish research plots to validate/refine the emergence model. This proposal focuses on warm season annual weeds, which are difficult to control and are projected to become more problematic with climate change. Data will be collected from earliest available crop planting date until the regional date of soybean canopy closure. Dates will vary by site, as the study area extends from Virginia to Maine and annual weather patterns influence planting date. Each site will include two treatments, one with initial tillage in a field with a history of tillage and one with no tillage in a field with a history of no-till agriculture. Eight 1 m2plots for each treatment will be established, for a total of sixteen plots per site. Either 0.25 or 0.5 m2subplots will be sampled per plot, depending on the density of weed seedlings. Data will be collected weekly; all emerged weeds of the selected species of interest will be identified and counted, and all emerged plants removed without disrupting the soil (clipped or pinched). Each participating institution will plant a mixture of three species of common interest across the region, selected by the collaborators: common lambsquarters (Chenopodium album), redroot pigweed (Amaranthusretroflexus) and large crabgrass (Digitaria sanguinalis). In addition, southern states will also incorporate morningglories (Ipomoeaspp.) into the weed mix, while northern states will plant common ragweed (Ambrosia artemisiifolia). These species were selected by requesting the top five most problematic weeds from the collaborating weed scientists, and selecting the species that appeared most frequently in their lists. All species except large crabgrass are among the Weed Science Society of America's (WSSA) top ten most troublesome or common weeds, and three species (common ragweed, common lambsquarters, and redroot pigweed) currently have herbicide resistant biotypes in the participating states. Finally, each location will add an additional species critical for their state that is not part of the larger study; these species will be added to the decision support tool for that state.The cooperating researchers from across the Northeast will meet annually to share data and experiences, refine the study design as necessary, and plan for the upcoming year.

Progress 10/01/19 to 09/30/20

Outputs
Target Audience:Because of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, no field day was organized in 2020. An update on the project was given at an extension vegetable meeting in May 2020 with an audience of 32 New Jersey growers and county extension agents. Changes/Problems:Provided that most of the Universities involved in the project did not allow field work between March and May 2020 when data should start being collected for the project, the project coordinator (Dr Caroline Marschner at Cornell University) decided to suspend the field trials for this prokect in 2020 and to resume the study in 2021 (see email below). From: Caroline A. Marschner Sent: Friday, April 3, 2020 5:42 PM Subject: RE: COVID-19 and field trials Hello all, We heard back from most of our partners, and so far the tally is six sites probably will not be able to get into the field this spring to catch weed emergence, and two or 2.5 may be able to. We heard back from our field station director that we could extend our funding for a year, so we could use our current funding for the 2021 and 2022 field seasons. The overarching multistate weed emergence project window (through which we could apply for additional funding for the project) will still expire in 2023, so if we opt to continue our partnership beyond that we will have to reapply with a new or expanded project. Here is my proposal: For the most part, let's pass on this field season. If you are going to be in the field anyway and it's easy to collect this data, that would be great; let me know and I'll ship you the field sensors. Please to NOT collect data if it means additional risk for you or your field crews. If you could reply-all with whether you're okay with this plan, we'll know the will of the group. Our field sensor setups are on their way to my house. I can send them to you if you need them this season; otherwise, I'll wait until we're ready to collect more data. Sincerely, Caroline (Carri) Marschner Invasive Species Specialist College of Agriculture and Life Sciences Cornell University cam369@cornell.edu 360-915-4778 What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided? Nothing Reported How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest? Nothing Reported What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Collection of weed emergence data will resume in 2021 with an earlier start (early April) to ensure that the entire seedling emergence period is fully covered for each species investigated through this study. A presentation of emergence data collected in 2019 and 2021 for 5 troublesome weed species and how they related to soil conditions will be given at two different fields days on each of the research sites (southern and northern New Jersey).

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? In Fall 2019, we kept extracting, formatting, and analyzing some of the data we collected in spring and summer 2019. We also had an in-person team meeting in January 2020 to discuss the 2019 data and how they would be analyzed by the team as well as modification of the protocol for the 2020 season. We still spent a fair amount of time in May and June to discuss and decide what kind of automatic recording equipment we wanted to buy to replace the equipment that USDA loaned to us in 2019 (and that did not function as we would have expected). No data were collected in 2020 because of University restrictions imposed by the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. From April to June 2020, the research sites dedicated to this project were not accessible to researchers. It was decided to cancel the study for 2020 because emergence data for early emerging species would be missed or because data for other species would only be partial.

Publications


    Progress 12/03/18 to 09/30/19

    Outputs
    Target Audience:Vegetable growers and county extension agents participated in field days where the weed emergence project takes place and received a 15 min presentation of the objectives, methodology, and intermediary results that were obtained in 2019. A total of 61 people participated in these 2 field days. Since this is the first year collecting data for this project, no presentation at scientific conference or industry professional meeting with larger audience has been yet conducted. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?An undergraduate intern who helped with our research work during the 2019 summer decided to perfect the remote sensor system by automatically measuring soil parameters and making it more reliable as part of an engineering applied project that is part of his training course at Rowan University in New Jersey. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Results collected in 2019 in New Jersey were disseminated to people coordinating the multistate project and responsible for the modeling component of this research project. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Weed emergence data will be collected again in 2020 with an earlier start to ensure that the entire seedling emergence period is fully covered for each species investigated through this study.

    Impacts
    What was accomplished under these goals? Over 3,800 weed emergence data were generated at two New Jersey locations over a period of twelve weeks. These data will help by refining and adapting current weed emergence models of local environmental and soil conditions of the Mid-Atlantic region, allowing growers to optimize their weed control strategies and reduce the occurrence of unnecessary pesticide applications. Goal 1: Approximately 11,000 individual data points measuring three soil parameters (temperature, moisture content, electrical conductivity) were recorded at one of the two locations in New Jersey. Equipment at the second location suffered from frequent malfunctioning that prevented the capture of the data. The collected data were transmitted to the project coordinator and will be used to refine weed emergence prediction for the five weed species considered in New Jersey (common lamsquarters, large crabgrass, smooth pigweed, common ragweed, and hairy galinsoga). Goal 2: 3,840 individual weed emergence data were collected from two locations in New Jersey and were shared with other participants to the projects who have responsibilities for creating/updating the weed emergence models.

    Publications