Source: UNIVERSITY OF WYOMING submitted to
IMPACT ANALYSES AND DECISION STRATEGIES FOR AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH (NC1034)
Sponsoring Institution
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Project Status
TERMINATED
Funding Source
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
1014618
Grant No.
(N/A)
Project No.
WYO-594-18
Proposal No.
(N/A)
Multistate No.
NC-_old1034
Program Code
(N/A)
Project Start Date
Oct 19, 2017
Project End Date
Sep 30, 2021
Grant Year
(N/A)
Project Director
Andersen, MA.
Recipient Organization
UNIVERSITY OF WYOMING
1000 E UNIVERSITY AVE DEPARTMENT 3434
LARAMIE,WY 82071-2000
Performing Department
Agricultural And Applied Economics
Non Technical Summary
NC-1034 participants are either agricultural economists, resource economists or rural sociologists. Most are also part of multi-disciplinary and multi-state research teams addressing important issues in agricultural technology development, adoption, and impact assessment. As part of those multi-state or multi-disciplinary teams, NC-1034 participants take the lead in research problems associated with socio-economic causes and consequences of technological change. NC-1034 allows participants to share in developing the latest social science methods in evaluating returns to agricultural research and the socio-economic impacts of innovations. Further, NC-1034 allows participants to take these new evaluation methods back to their state and regional teams and apply them to local problems of interest. NC-1034 allows members to benefit indirectly from knowledge gained directly by other members from multi-disciplinary projects. For example, one NC-1034 member may gain valuable knowledge from working on a project with weed scientists or entomologists. Knowledge is thus shared so that social and agricultural scientists may work more effectively together.
Animal Health Component
0%
Research Effort Categories
Basic
(N/A)
Applied
70%
Developmental
30%
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
60161993010100%
Goals / Objectives
Measure trends, patterns, and sources of agricultural productivity growth. Estimate the net benefits of public and private investments in agricultural research and characterize the nature of those benefits to consumers, producers, and the environment. Analyze decision strategies for funding, planning, managing, and evaluating agricultural research by public and private organizations. Analyze opportunities, risks, and net benefits from public-private sector linkages and technology transfer arrangements, including joint ventures, partnering, consortia, specialty research centers, start-up companies, and intellectual property arrangements.
Project Methods
Research will continue to refine measurement of agricultural productivity, which measures how much output one can obtain from a given quantity of inputs, or conversely, the resource requirements to generate a given quantity of output. Measuring productivity accurately is a non-trivial issue, as one must determine how to measure changes in the quality of inputs. Although economists are not in complete agreement, there is new and troubling evidence that agricultural productivity growth is slowing down. This leads to policy questions of what has accounted for this slowdown and what might be done to reverse it. Productivity growth has implications for U.S. agricultural exports, world commodity prices, and food security. Agricultural productivity growth accounts for a rising share of the increase in agricultural production, easing pressure on natural resources to supply the rising demand for food. New econometric methods will be combined with conventional and improved measures of agricultural inputs and outputs and the climate to improve assessments of productivity trends.Econometric methods will be employed to estimate what factors account for differences across space and over time in public agricultural research funding and productivity growth. Thus, research will examine the linkages from agricultural R&D investment, to productivity growth, and to food security. Returns to research will be evaluated using a broader set of metrics than just agricultural production. The influence on other outcomes such as nutrition, health, climate, and the environment will be measured and assessed.The Wyoming PI and colleagues at UC Davis and the University of Minnesota have recently developed new techniques for detecting gradual changes in long run time-series data and applied them to data on U.S. agricultural productivity.

Progress 10/19/17 to 09/30/21

Outputs
Target Audience: Nothing Reported Changes/Problems:The faculty member is no longer at University of Wyoming. What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided? Nothing Reported How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest? Nothing Reported What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals? Nothing Reported

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? n/a

Publications


    Progress 10/01/19 to 09/30/20

    Outputs
    Target Audience: Policymakers, academics, agribusinesses. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided? Nothing Reported How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest? Nothing Reported What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Finish the update and revision of a database on U.S. agricultural productivity.

    Impacts
    What was accomplished under these goals? My research efforts were focusedon updating and revising a large database on U.S. agricultural productivity.

    Publications


      Progress 10/01/18 to 09/30/19

      Outputs
      Target Audience:Policymakers, academics, agribusinesses. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided? Nothing Reported How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest? Nothing Reported What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals? Nothing Reported

      Impacts
      What was accomplished under these goals? I continue to research U.S. agricultural productivity and the possibility of a slowdown in productivity growth. I currently have a paper under review at PLOS One titled, U.S. Field Crop Yields, 1866-2050, where I examine long run trends in crop yields and forecast the yields to the year 2050.

      Publications

      • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Andersen, M.A. (2019), Knowledge productivity and the returns to agricultural research: a review. Aust J Agric Resour Econ, 63: 205-220. doi:10.1111/1467-8489.12296
      • Type: Journal Articles Status: Under Review Year Published: 2020 Citation: Andersen, M.A. 2020. U.S. Field Crop Yields, 1866-2050. PLOS One.


      Progress 10/19/17 to 09/30/18

      Outputs
      Target Audience:Policy makers, academics, agribusinesses. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided? Nothing Reported How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Peer-reviewed publications. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?I will continue to study changes in agricultural productivity, the sources of those changes, and the returns to agricultural R&D. I recently had a review paper accepted (2019) in the Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics that summarizes the literature on estimating the economic returns to agricultural research. I have another study near completion that examines long run trends in U.S. labor productivity. The findings of the labor productivity study are similar to my previous analysis of multi-factor productivity, indicating a long and gradual slowdown in agricultural labor productivity since the early 1980s.

      Impacts
      What was accomplished under these goals? In 2018, we completed a multi-year effort to measure long run trends in U.S. agricultural productivity growth. The study was published in the American Journal of Agricultural Economics. In this study we found that U.S. agricultural productivity growth has slowed in recent decades, since around the early 1980s. This finding has important implications for our ability to meet future demand for food. In another study, published in the Review of Economics and Finance, I describe the construction of measures of capital services and the appropriate method for incorporating depreciation in these measures. This is important for obtaining accurate measures of productivity growth.

      Publications

      • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Andersen MA, 2018. Age-Efficiency and replacement requirements for measures of capital services. Review of Economics and Finance 13(3) p. 55-61
      • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Andersen MA, Alston JM, Pardey PG, Smith A, 2018. A century of U.S. farm productivity growth: A surge then a slowdown. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 100(4) p. 1072-1090