Source: UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, DAVIS submitted to NRP
A DECISION SUPPORT TOOL FOR PREDICTING ALFALFA YIELD AND QUALITY TO ENHANCE RESOURCE USE EFFICIENCY
Sponsoring Institution
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Project Status
COMPLETE
Funding Source
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
1014125
Grant No.
2017-70005-27191
Cumulative Award Amt.
$253,825.00
Proposal No.
2017-04148
Multistate No.
(N/A)
Project Start Date
Sep 1, 2017
Project End Date
Aug 31, 2020
Grant Year
2017
Program Code
[AFRP]- Alfalfa and Forage Program
Recipient Organization
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, DAVIS
410 MRAK HALL
DAVIS,CA 95616-8671
Performing Department
(N/A)
Non Technical Summary
Alfalfa hay is among the top five cash crops in the United States due to its high demand among diary feeders. However, most of the alfalfa is produced in arid and semi-arid western United States where water for crop production is limited. Making optimum production and marketing decisions under limited resources is not trivial and requires decision support tools that can help farmers predict alfalfa yield and quality as affected by management decisions. Currently there is no supported alfalfa crop simulation model or web based decision support tool that crop consultants and farmers can use to predict alfalfa yield and quality. The goal of this project will be to develop an alfalfa crop simulation model for predicting alfalfa yield and quality. Specific objectives will be to: 1) develop an alfalfa crop growth model within an established an agricultural systems platform called DSSAT, 2) design and implement experiments to generate new data for model development, calibration and evaluation, 3) integrate the new alfalfa crop model into a web-based decision support tool and 4) disseminate information and technology through extension programming to growers, crop consultants and extension professionals and nationally through eXtension. The project will be implemented in Montana, Arizona, and California with technical support from Florida. Expected outcomes will include: 1) alfalfa crop simulation model developed, 2) enhancement of resource use efficiency, 3) optimized marketing decisions by using the webb based decision support tool to make timely harvests, 4) enhanced knowledge and awareness of the value of crop simulation models and associated decision support tools in farm level decision making.
Animal Health Component
50%
Research Effort Categories
Basic
50%
Applied
50%
Developmental
(N/A)
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
11116402020100%
Knowledge Area
111 - Conservation and Efficient Use of Water;

Subject Of Investigation
1640 - Alfalfa;

Field Of Science
2020 - Engineering;
Goals / Objectives
Alfalfa hay is among the top five cash crops in the United States due to its high demand among dairy feeders. However, most of the alfalfa is produced in arid and semi-arid western United States where water for crop production is limited. Making optimum production and marketing decisions under limited resources is not trivial and requires decision support tools that can help farmers predict alfalfa yield and quality as affected by management decisions. Currently there is no supported alfalfa crop simulation model or decision support tool that crop consultants and farmers can use to predict alfalfa yield and quality. The goal of this project will be to develop an alfalfa crop simulation model for predicting alfalfa yield and quality. Then use the developed alfalfa model to develop a web based decision support. Specific objectives will be to: 1) develop an alfalfa crop growth model within DSSAT (Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer), 2) design and implement experiments to generate new data for model development, calibration, and evaluation, 3) integrate the new alfalfa crop model into the iCrop web-based decision support tool and 4) disseminate information and technology through extension programming to growers, crop consultants and extension professionals and nationally through eXtension. The project will be implemented in Montana, Arizona, and California with technical support from Florida.
Project Methods
Objective 1: Develop an alfalfa crop growth model within the DSSAT-CSMLead: Gerrit Hoogenboom, University of FloridaSpecific tasks include the following:· Conduct a detailed literature survey to define temperature, photoperiod, drought, nitrogen and other abiotic stress functions that affect growth and development of alfalfa· Incorporate the literature information into what is referred to as a species file, which is a genetic parameter file that contains responses unique for a certain species.· Modify the source code of the Cropping System Model and incorporate alfalfa as a new crop.· Create unique genetic parameters files for alfalfa, including a cultivar file, an ecotype file, and a species file.· Modify the DSSAT shell and associated data entry and analysis programs for data preparation and simulation of alfalfa.· Obtain key data sets from California, Arizona, and Montana for model calibration.· Enter experimental data files into DSSAT format files, including crop management, crop observations, weather, and soil data.· Conduct initial calibration of the alfalfa model.· Obtain other sources of experimental data, including the alfalfa variety trial data collected by the University of Wisconsin and other key alfalfa producing states (California, Idaho, California, Montana and Arizona)· Conduct an extensive evaluation of the alfalfa model using the variety trial data sets and other experimental datasets such as the California alfalfa response to water dataset (Klocke et al. 2013).· Summarize findings in scientific papers and project reports.· Present research outcomes at symposia and annual meetings of the American Society of Agronomy or the American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers.Objective 2: Design and implement detailed experiments to generate new dataLead: Jessica A. Torrion, Montana State University; Michael Ottman, University of ArizonaSpecific tasks will include the following:· Identify data gaps based on literature review done under objective 1. This will be done by collection of historical data sets available in Montana and Arizona and via variety trials and alfalfa research data from studies conducted in other states.· Design and implement experiments to collect the needed data for at least two years. In Montana, a factorial experiment on genetics (at least 2 cultivars for detailed biophysical measurements plus 5 cultivars where only yield will be measured) x water regimes (50%ET and 100%ET) will be conducted. The experiment will be replicated four times. Experimental plot size for each alfalfa cultivar will be 5 x15 feet and sampling will be done in the center of each plot. Weekly to twice per week phenology data to characterize growth and development will be collected. A soil water balance will be used to monitor seasonal crop water use (ETc) from crop establishment or regrowth to harvest using Allen et al. (1998). Soil matric potential to assess pattern of water depletion and root activity will be monitored. Importantly, characterize canopy growth via leaf area meter, radiation interception, and various stress indices by collecting hand-held multispectral data. Canopy temperature will also be recorded to assess relative degree of water stress with the various genetics using a hand-held infrared thermometer.· Experimental approaches will be similar between Montana and Arizona with the exception that in Arizona only one irrigation level will be used (i.e., 100%ET).· To assess and record alfalfa response to temperature, at least two same alfalfa cultivars will be grown in Arizona and Montana. It is expected that experimental sites in Montana and Arizona will exhibit large differences in temperature variation.· Conduct field days at least once a year in Arizona and Montana designed to show field results but also encourage communication between producers, researchers, and extension specialists. In Montana, annual field day and winter crop update meeting can be used as an avenue for outreach.· Perform statistical analysis using Proc. GLIMMIX in SAS (SAS Institute, Cary NC) for each of the two years of the studies and provide relevant data to objective 1.· Publish experimental results in peer reviewed journals such as Agronomy Journal, Agricultural Systems or Field Crops Research and submit project reports to NIFA.· Present results at professional meetings and alfalfa and forage oriented meetingsObjective 3: Integrate the new DSSAT-CSM with alfalfa crop model into the iCrop web-based decision support toolLead: Isaya Kisekka, University of California DavisSpecific tasks include the following:· Obtain the new DSSAT-CSM source code with alfalfa crop growth module from objective 1.· Compile the source code in Ubuntu/Linux in order for DSSAT to be executed from the cloud/server.· Improve the iCrop front end user interface to reflect changes in inputs and outputs for the new alfalfa module e.g., simulate yield from multiple cuttings, forage quality etc.· Test performance of the new alfalfa module in iCrop using experimental data from objective 2 or variety trial data.· After gaining confidence in the performance of the alfalfa model in iCrop, extend the tool to Arizona and Montana by requesting access to the Arizona Meteorological Network (AZMET) and Montana Agrimet stations.· Soil datasets for the entire states of Montana and Arizona will be obtained from the Global High-Resolution Soil Profile Database for Crop Modeling Applications (Han et al. 2015).· Make changes in the iCrop tool as necessary based on user feedback in California, Arizona and Montana.· Develop user manuals for iCrop specifically for alfalfa.· Present findings at professional meetings.· Publish findings in peer reviewed journals such as Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, Transactions ASABE etc.Objective 4: Disseminate new information and technology through extension programmingLead: Michael Ottman, University of ArizonaSpecific tasks include the following:· Conduct technology dissemination through established University of Arizona Cooperative Extension, University of California ANR and Montana State University Cooperative Extension events such as county extension meetings.· Conduct field days in Arizona and Montana.· Conduct extension trainings on the use of the alfalfa module in DSSAT in California, Arizona and Montana. This activity will be targeted towards other researchers and extension professionals.· Conduct iCrop training in each of three states over the two years by leveraging existing forage meetings. This activity will target producers, crop consultants, and extension professionals.

Progress 09/01/17 to 08/31/20

Outputs
Target Audience:The target audience for our project were alfalfa growers, seed dealers, extension specialists, researchers, and feeders. Findings from our project were presented at several international and national conferences as well as local extension meetings and field days. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?One postdoc research associate was trained as part of this project. The postdoc was trained in crop modeling and decision support development. One PhD student also recieved crop modeling training as part of this grant. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Findings were disseminated through extension and professional meetings as listed below: No. Conference/ meeting Title of presentation Audience 1 AgMIP Global workshop, April 24th, 2018 San Jose CA Introducing the CROPGRO Perennial Forage Model for Tropical and Temperate Grasses and Legumes Researchers, extension specialists, policymakers 2 Montana State University Northwestern Agricultural Research Center Field, Jul 10, 2018 Growing alfalfa on different soil moisture availability Growers, dealers, policy markers 3 Alfalfa and Forage "Tent Talks" Jul 11, 2018, Jason Rovey's Farm, Buckeye, AZ 85326 The Costs Associated with Alfalfa Cutting Frequency Growers, dealers, policy markers 4 USCID 11th International Conference on Irrigation and Drainage, Oct.16-19, 2018, Phoenix, AZ Managing irrigation with limited water using iCrop: Case Study of Alfalfa Researchers, extension specialists, policymakers, private sector representatives 5 International Forage & Turfgrass Breeding Conference, Mar 24th, 2019 Lake Buena Vista FL Evaluating Cultivar and Species Traits with the CROPGRO Perennial Forage Model for Grasses and Legumes Growers, alfalfa seed dealers, researchers, extension personnel, landscapers, policymakers, feeders. 6 2020 Agriculture Faculty Academy Webinar Series Adaptive Irrigation Management Using the Food, Agriculture & Resource Management System (FARMs) Researchers, extension personnel, instructors, private industry 7 International Crop Modeling Symposium 2020, Feb 3-5, 2020, Montpellier, France. Improving the CROPGRO Perennial Forage Model for Ability to Simulate Fall Dormancy Classes of Alfalfa Cultivars Researchers, policymakers, private sector What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals? Nothing Reported

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? Objective 1: Accomplishments Our goal was to adapt the CROPGRO model in DSSAT to stimulate growth, yield, and quality of alfalfa. To accomplish this objective required adapting or developing new algorithms to handle growth characteristics unique to alfalfa. The following code changes were implemented in order to simulate alfalfa forage yield and quality. Added the ability to re-grow based on reserves despite zero LAI. Created memory of poor prior management (low reserves). Created memory and mechanism for winter dormancy. Added new state variable (stolon-rhizome-storage tissue) with TNC and N concentration Added rules for partitioning DM, N, and TNC to storage tissue as a function of day length, photosynthesis, and LAI Added rules for mobilization of C and N reserves from storage for re-growth as a function of day length, photosynthesis, and LAI Fall dormancy classes were established, along with parameters to mimic differential dormancy, reserve allocation, and regrowth. In addition to the above code changes, a new input file called the "MOW" file was created to handle harvest schedules. In adapting the CROPGRO Perennial Forage Model (CROPGRO-PFM), two approaches were followed: 1) adopting biophysical relationships reported in the literature and 2) comparison to experimental data. Detailed field experiments were conducted on different fall dormancy (FD) cultivars under two contrasting climates in Montana and Arizona. Sample comparison between simulated and observed alfalfa growth and yield are shown in Fig. 1 to 4. The fall dormancy effect was created via daylength effects on partitioning to storage reserves in taproot, as well as daylength effects on strength of mobilization from storage reserves to drive re-growth. The critical daylengths for partitioning to reserves in taproot were set at 9.8 h (for maximum rate to storage) and 14.2 h (for minimum rate of allocation to storage). This means that under short days, more assimilate goes to taproot reserves and less to shoot growth. The model has a baseline partitioning to storage along with effects of LAI to refill, but the daylength function modifies the partitioning, and the strength of FD class is set by RDRMT (value varies by FD class, from 0.140 for CUF101 with FD9 to 0.500 for Rugged FD3). The fall dormancy effect also operates via critical daylength effects on the mobilization rate from storage which has critical daylengths for minimum mobilization at 9.9 h, with maximum mobilization rate at 13.9 h, with the strength set by RDRMM which varies slightly by FD class. Just like the partitioning function, the mobilization rate has a baseline rate that is strongest at low LAI and is reduced as LAI increases. The two functions, allocation to storage and mobilization run continuously during simulations but are sensitive to the daylength, LAI, and photosynthetic rates. Based on the growth analysis data, we found it necessary to modify genetic potential light-saturated photosynthetic rate by FD class, with an increase in LFMAX by approximately 0.02 mg m-2 s-1 per FD, ranging from 1.32 mg m-2 s-1 for Rugged (FD3) to 1.46 mg m-2 s-1 for CUF101 (FD9). Apparently, tolerance to freeze and winter survival appears to have a cost in terms of photosynthetic ultra-structure or enzymatic function. The success in creating the fall dormancy effect was, in large part, attributed to the differential growth responses of different FD class cultivars (Rugged, FD3; Cisco II, FD6; and CUF101, FD9) grown and measured in Arizona and Montana. The development of the FD functions was assisted by and made consistent with data from Onedia (FD 3) and Apica (FD 4) cultivars in Canada (Jing et al., 2019), as well as data on Aragon (FD7) grown in Spain. Table 1 below, lists the FD class of cultivars along with the corresponding parameters for strength of allocation to storage (RDRMT), strength of mobilization (RDRMM), and LFMAX (light-saturated photosynthesis). Differences not yet attempted include the fact that rate of leaf node appearance and height also varied among FD classes (being faster and taller for high FD), and that CUF101 had an earlier onset of leaf appearance in the spring. In addition, the leaf to stem ratio appeared to be less for the high FD classes, this is also not modeled yet. Table 1 available at https://www.dropbox.com/s/2p7q1zncy9z5nt6/Final_Alfalfa_Project_Report_11282020.pdf?dl=0 Figure 1 illustrates how the CROPGRO-PFM-Alfalfa model simulates LAI for three FD class cultivars in Arizona. Observed LAI was greater for CUF101 (FD9) than Cisco II (FD6) than Rugged (FD3), especially during the short-days of fall, and the model was able to capture that response with the modifications of the strength of daylength effect on dormancy and mobilization of reserves for regrowth, along with small differences in photosynthetic rate. Figure 2 illustrates the biomass growth dynamics over time, which like the response of LAI, shows that the model modifications succeeded in capturing the greater biomass accumulation of CUF101 (FD9) compared to Cisco II (FD 6) and compared to Rugged (FD 3). Figure 3 shows the model-simulated dynamics of carbohydrate reserves in taproot, rate of re-fill, rate of mobilization for regrowth, and leaf area growth of CUF101 cultivar during seven growth cycles. While there were no measurements of taproot mass or carbohydrates, the pattern does mimic limited published literature on alfalfa. Figure 4 shows biomass growth dynamics overtime for two cultivars, Rugged FD3 and Cisco II (FD6) grown over two harvest cycles at the Montana State University Northwestern Agricultural Research Center. Figures 1, 2, 3 & 4 available at https://www.dropbox.com/s/2p7q1zncy9z5nt6/Final_Alfalfa_Project_Report_11282020.pdf?dl=0. ?Objective 2: Accomplishments Field experiments were successfully established at the Montana State University Northwestern Agricultural Research Center and the University of Arizona Maricopa Agricultural Center that produced useful data that was used in developing the alfalfa model. Full details available at https://www.dropbox.com/s/2p7q1zncy9z5nt6/Final_Alfalfa_Project_Report_11282020.pdf?dl=0 Objective 3: Accomplishments FARMs web application was developed. A major advantage of FARMs is that it can produce in-season yield predictions which are important for adaptive management e.g., evaluating the effect of irrigation on cutting schedule. In FARMs, the portion of the growing season simulated using historical climatic data decreases as simulation time approaches the end of the season. Detailed descriptions of the FARMs web application can be found in Kim and Kisekka, (2020). The FARMs web app can be accessed at https://ciswma.lawr.ucdavis.edu/FARMS-BETA/farms. The following specific tasks were accomplished: DSSAT-CSM source code with CROPGRO-PFM-Alfalfa model was obtained from the GitHub DSSAT repository. Compiled the DSSAT source code in Ubuntu/Linux in order for it to be executed from the server. The front-end user interface of FARMs was improved to reflect changes in inputs and outputs that are unique to the new alfalfa module including yield from multiple cuttings, forage quality. Tested the performance of the new alfalfa module in FARMs using alfalfa variety trial data from the University of California Cooperative Extension . Made changes in the FARMs based on user feedback to reflect alfalfa irrigation management practices in California, Arizona, and Montana. Developed user tutorials for FARMs with specific instructions for setting up a field and alfalfa scenarios, the tutorials are available at http://kisekka.ucdavis.edu/software/farms/ More details available at https://www.dropbox.com/s/2p7q1zncy9z5nt6/Final_Alfalfa_Project_Report_11282020.pdf?dl=0

Publications

  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: **Hi Isaya: please refer to the attached project initiation proposal from 2017 information to help update in this final report** notes/details about Publications: Wafa Malik, Kenneth J. Boote, Gerrit Hoogenboom, Jos� Cavero, Farida Dechmi. 2018. Adapting the CROPGRO Model to Simulate Alfalfa Growth and Yield. Agronomy Journal. 110 (5):17771790. Publication Definitions: Publications are the characteristic product of research. Agencies evaluate what the publications demonstrate about the excellence and significance of the research and the efficacy with which the results are being communicated to colleagues, potential users, and the public, not the number of publications. Journal publications: Peer-reviewed articles or papers appearing in scientific, technical, or professional journals. Include any peer-reviewed publication in the periodically published proceedings of a scientific society, a conference, or the like. A publication in the proceedings of a one-time conference, not part of a series, should be reported under Books or other non-periodical, one-time publications. Books or other non-periodical, one-time publications: Any book, monograph, dissertation, abstract, or the like published as or in a separate publication, rather than a periodical or series. Include any significant publication in the proceedings of a one-time conference or in the report of a one-time study, commission, or the like. Other publications, conference papers and presentations: Identify any other publications, conference papers and/or presentations not reported above.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Jing, Q., B. Qian, G. B�langer, A. VanderZaag, G. J�go, W. Smith, B. Grant, J. Shang, J. Liu, W. He, K. Boote, and G. Hoogenboom. 2019. Simulating alfalfa regrowth and biomass in eastern Canada using the CSM-CROPGRO-Perennial forage model. Eur. J. Agron. 113. https://doi.org10.1016/.eja2019.125971
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Submitted Year Published: 2020 Citation: Kim, J., and I. Kisekka. FARMs: A web-based geospatial crop modeling and agricultural water management application. Environmental Modeling and Software. ** SUBMITTED **.


Progress 09/01/17 to 08/31/18

Outputs
Target Audience:We reached growers, extension specialists and researchers through a presentation to the2018 North American Alfalfa Improvement Conference (NAAIC). The conference was held on June 4-6, 2018 in Logan, Utah. The title of the presentation was "A Decision Support Tool for Predicting Alfalfa Yield and Quality Predicting Alfalfa Yield and Quality".? Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided? Nothing Reported How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Yes, at the recentthe2018 North American Alfalfa Improvement Conference in Logan Utah. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Continue developing the alfalfa model in DSSAT to improve simulation regrowtth and forage quality. Continue field experiments in Arizona and Montana. Continue improving iCrop.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? A preliminary alfalfa model has been developed and is undergoing testing and improvement Alfalfa field experiments established in at Maricopa in Arizona and in Kalispell Montana. The preliminary alfalfa model has been integrated into the beta version of iCrop web-based decision support tool.

Publications

  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Accepted Year Published: 2018 Citation: Kisekka, I., M. Ottoman, K. J. Boote, J. A. Torrion and G. Hoogenboom. 2018. Decision Support Tool for Predicting Alfalfa Yield and Quality to Enhance Resource Use Efficiency. North American Alfalfa Improvement Conference, June 4-6, 2018, Logan, Utah.