Progress 09/14/17 to 09/30/21
Outputs Target Audience:Policy makers, stakeholders and scientists interested in retunrs to agricultural research and the consequences of climate change, and climate change adaptation and mitigation efforts. Changes/Problems:Project is being reoriented in a successor form and there more emphasis will be placed on climate change. What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Two PhD students finished their thesis and over 80 masters and PHD students were taught economic analysis techniques. Ine post doc student learned about climate and water analysis modleing. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Yes practical presentations and reports have been distributed What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?
Nothing Reported
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
Estimates we made on climate change effects on crop yield growth, cattle calving ratess, cattle calf survival rates and milk yields plus winter wheat yields Estimates were made on effects of ozone on US and China crop yields.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2021
Citation:
Cho, S.J., and B.A. McCarl, "Major United States land use as Influenced by an altering climate: a spatial econometric approach", Land, 10, 546.https://doi.org/10.3390/land10050546, 2021.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Awaiting Publication
Year Published:
2021
Citation:
Fei, C.J., K.M. Williamson, R.T. Woodward, B.A. McCarl, and J. Rangel, "Honey Bees, Almonds, And Colony Mortality: An Economic Analysis of the U.S. Pollination Market", Land Economics, forthcoming, 2021.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2021
Citation:
Yi, F., T. Zhou, L. Yu, B.A. McCarl, Y. Wang, and F. Jiang, and Y. Wang, "Heat stress and cognition: Effects on those over 40 in China", Weather and Climate Extremes, 32 (2021): 100308, 2021.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2021
Citation:
Ding, J.X., and B.A. McCarl, "Decadal Climate Variability, Water Availability and Cropping: The Value of Forecast Information in South-Central Texas", Climate Research, 83: https://doi. org/10. 3354/cr01629, 1-14, 2020.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2021
Citation:
Ding, J.X., and B.A. McCarl, "Decadal Climate Variability, Water Availability and Cropping: The Value of Forecast Information in South-Central Texas", Climate Research, 83: https://doi. org/10. 3354/cr01629, 1-14, 2021.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Ding, J.X., and McCarl, B. A, "Economic and Ecological Impacts of Increased Drought Frequency in the Edwards Aquifer", Climate, 8, 2, doi:10.3390/cli8010002, 2020.
- Type:
Book Chapters
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
McCarl, B.A., and Y.Q. Yang, "Economic Considerations When Appraising Nexus Decision-Making", Food-Energy-Water Nexus, edited by Peter Saundry and Ben Ruddell, Springer, 2020.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2021
Citation:
McCarl, Bruce A., Chin-Hsien Yu, and Witsanu Attavanich, "Climate Change Impacts and Strategies for Mitigation and Adaptation in Agriculture", Atmosphere, 12(5), 545; https://doi. org/10. 3390/atmos12050545, 2021.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Gao, C., C.J. Fei, B.A. McCarl, and D. Leatham, "Identifying Vulnerable Households Using Machine Learning", Sustainability, 2020, 12, 6002, doi:10.3390/su12156002, 2020.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Kapilakanchana, M., and B.A. McCarl, "The Effect of Technological Progress, Demand, and Energy Policy on Agricultural and Bioenergy Markets", Atmosphere, 11, 31, doi:10.3390/atmos11010031, 2020.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Kung, C.C., and B.A. McCarl, "The potential role of renewable electricity generation in Taiwan", Energy Policy, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2019.111227, Volume 138, 2020.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Rhodes, L.A., and B.A. McCarl, "An Analysis of Climate Impacts on Herbicide, Insecticide, and Fungicide Expenditures", Agronomy, 10, 745, doi:10.3390/agronomy10050745, 2020.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Rhodes, L.A., and B.A. McCarl, "The Value of Decadal Climate Variability Information to U.S. Agriculture", Atmosphere, 11 (4), 318, https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11040318, 2020.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Thayer, A.W., A.M. Vargas, T.E. Lacher, and B.A. McCarl, "Disconnect within Agriculture and Ecosystem Climate Effects, Adaptations and Policy", Climate, 8, 63, doi:10.3390/cli8050063 www.mdpi, 2020.
- Type:
Books
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
McCarl, B.A., A.W. Thayer, T. Lacher, and A.M. Vargas, Climate Change in Complex Systems Effects, Adaptations, and Policy Considerations for Agriculture and Ecosystems, Printed Edition of the Special Issue Published in Climate, MDPI, www.mdpi.com/journal/climate, 2020.
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Progress 10/01/19 to 09/30/20
Outputs Target Audience:Have worked with IPCC, USDA, EPA and parties in SOuthh Cental Texas and in New Mexico. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?training throught sponsored dissertaion work was carried out for 5 graduating and 8 ongoing PhD students. Traing was carried out on modeling technical progress and climate change effects. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Journal articles, professional presentations, conference presentations, policy bries and a wab page have been employed. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Continue work on climate change effects on technological progress and productivity.
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
Major work was done under objective 3 on technical progress and climate change. Estimates are that over 50% of the gains in rice yields are due to CO2 enrichment. Also an examination of yield growth possibilities shows climate change is a major depressing factor and needs to be matched by adaptation and R&D investments.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Awaiting Publication
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Ding, J.X., and B.A. McCarl, "Decadal Climate Variability, Water Availability and Cropping: The Value of Forecast Information in South-Central Texas", Climate Research, forthcoming, 2020.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Ding, J.X., and McCarl, B. A, "Economic and Ecological Impacts of Increased Drought Frequency in the Edwards Aquifer", Climate, 8, 2, doi:10.3390/cli8010002, 2020.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Gao, C., C.J. Fei, B.A. McCarl, and D. Leatham, "Identifying Vulnerable Households Using Machine Learning", Sustainability, 2020, 12, 6002, doi:10.3390/su12156002, 2020.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Kapilakanchana, M., and B.A. McCarl, "The Effect of Technological Progress, Demand, and Energy Policy on Agricultural and Bioenergy Markets", Atmosphere, 11, 31, doi:10.3390/atmos11010031, 2020.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Kung, C.C., and B.A. McCarl, "The potential role of renewable electricity generation in Taiwan", Energy Policy, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2019.111227, Volume 138, 2020.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Rhodes, L.A., and B.A. McCarl, "An Analysis of Climate Impacts on Herbicide, Insecticide, and Fungicide Expenditures", Agronomy, 10, 745, doi:10.3390/agronomy10050745, 2020.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Rhodes, L.A., and B.A. McCarl, "The Value of Decadal Climate Variability Information to U.S. Agriculture", Atmosphere, 11 (4), 318, https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11040318, 2020.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Thayer, A.W., A.M. Vargas, T.E. Lacher, and B.A. McCarl, "Disconnect within Agriculture and Ecosystem Climate E ects, Adaptations and Policy", Climate, 8, 63, doi:10.3390/cli8050063 www.mdpi, 2020.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Fei, C.J., K.M. Williamson, R.T. Woodward, B.A. McCarl, and J. Rangel, "Honey Bees, Almonds, And Colony Mortality: An Economic Analysis Of The U.S. Pollination Market", Land Economics, forthcoming, 2019.
- Type:
Books
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
McCarl, B.A., A.W. Thayer, T. Lacher, and A.M. Vargas, Climate Change in Complex Systems Effects, Adaptations, and Policy Considerations for Agriculture and Ecosystems, Printed Edition of the Special Issue Published in Climate, MDPI, www.mdpi.com/journal/climate, 2020.
- Type:
Book Chapters
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
McCarl, B.A., and Y.Q. Yang, "Economic Considerations When Appraising Nexus Decision-Making", Food-Energy-Water Nexus, edited by Peter Saundry and Ben Ruddell, Springer, 2020.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Huang, Y.K., P. Piriyathanasak, W. Attavanich, D.B. Han, T. Jithitikulchai, and B.A. McCarl, "Effects of CO2 and Climate on Rice Yields Over Time", AAEA Meetings, Kansas City (Virtual), July, 2020.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Zhang, Y.W., B.A. McCarl, H. Liu, S. Yang, Z. Cao, and Q. Li, "Reducing Pesticides Usage in Metropolitan Settings A Case Study in Shanghai", ICLCA, September 1st 3rd, 2020, Shanghai, China, 2020.
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Progress 10/01/18 to 09/30/19
Outputs Target Audience:Policy makers and stakeholders in agriculture and in the climate change decision making arena Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Training of 10 PhD students directly plus 20 masters of energy and 10 other PHD students in agricultural economics and Information managment. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Through publications and draft policy briefs plus invited speeches. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Further investigate climate change effects on technological progress and on livestock Develop a number of journal articles and policy briefs. Share findings with USDA, USEPA and USDOE personnel.
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
An improved understanding of how climate change and land are interwined that was published in a recent IPCC report. Knowedge was gained on the ways agriculture adapts to climate change. Information was generated on negative effects of climate change on technological progress, milk yields, calf birth weights and calf survival rates.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Awaiting Publication
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Ding, J.X., and McCarl, B.A., "Economic and Ecological Impacts of Increased Drought Frequency in the Edwards Aquifer", Climate, forthcoming, 2019.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Awaiting Publication
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Kapilakanchana, M., and B.A. McCarl, "The Effect of Technological Progress, Demand, and Energy Policy on Agricultural and Bioenergy Markets", Atmosphere, Forthcoming, 2019.
- Type:
Book Chapters
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Sinnarongnd, N., C.C. Chen, B.A. McCarl, and B.L. Tran, "Estimating the Potential Effects of Climate Change on Rice Production in Thailand", Paddy and Water Environment, 17 (4), 761769, 2019.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Wang, M.Z., M. Wlodarz, and B.A. McCarl, "Asset Fixity and Economic Competitiveness of US Ethanol Production", Biomass and Bioenergy, 122, 37-44, 2019.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Mu, J.E., and B.A. McCarl, "Economic Impacts of Avian Influenza Disease Mitigation Strategies in USA due to Texas outbreaks", International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, 21.3 (2018):205-214, 2018.
- Type:
Book Chapters
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Almut, A., F. Denton, F. Agus, A. Elbehri, K. Erb, B. Osman-Elasha, M. Rahimi, M. Rounsevell, A. Spence, R. Valentini, R. Hillerbrand, E. Aldrian, B.A. McCarl, M.J. Sanz-Sanchez, and Y. Bai, "Chapter 1: Framing and Context", Special Report on Climate Change & Land, 2019.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Awaiting Publication
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
McCarl, B.A., and Y.Q. Yang, "Economic Considerations When Appraising Nexus Decision-Making", Food-Energy-Water Nexus, edited by Peter Saundry, forthcoming, 2019.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Daher, B., R.H. Mohtar, K. Portney, E.N. Pistikopolis, and B.A. McCarl, "Texas A&Ms Water-Energy-Food Nexus Initiative", Presented at NEXUS 2018:WATER, FOOD, ENERGY AND CLIMATE CONFERENCE, Nexus Partnerships:Sharing Experiences and Lessons Learned, University of North Carolina, April, 2019.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
McCarl, B. A, "Recent Studies on the Social Economic Impacts of Climate Change Plus a little on DCV", Presented at the Conference on Pan-Pacific Anthropocene (CoPPA) Taipei, Taiwan, May 14, 2019
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
McCarl, B.A., "Economic Studies on Climate Change: Approaches and Recent Results", Presented at the Taiwan Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research, Taipei, May 13, 2019.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
McCarl, B.A., "Optimization as part of the applied economists tool box", Presented at Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing China, May, 2019.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
McCarl, B.A., and C.J. Fei, "Climate Stresses on the Food Energy Water Nexus in a Water Scarce Area", Presented at Impacts of Climate Change on Food Security, Environment and Economy, Hotel BAREVE, Jeju, Korea, May, 2019.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Modarresi, S., B.S. Abada, A. Vargas, S. Chellam, X. Le, and B.A. McCarl, "Water Energy Nexus for Life: a Case Study in the Texas Colonias", MIT Applied Energy A+B Symposium, 2019.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Thayer, A.W., and B.A. McCarl, "Climate Change and Texas High Plains Agriculture: effects and adaptation", Presented at Agricultural and Applied Economics Association Meetings, Atlanta, 2019.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Yu, E.C.H., J.D. Zhu, and B.A. McCarl, "Market Response to Typhoons: the Role of Information and Expectation", Presented at AAEA Annual Meetings, Atlanta, 2019.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
McCarl, B.A., "The Climate Change Challenge Economic Studies Supporting Decision Making", Presented at Nanjing Agricultural University, May 2019, 2019.
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Progress 10/01/17 to 09/30/18
Outputs Target Audience:Work has been directed toward US and international policy makers plus public elements interested in agricultural productivity under climate change plus food-energy-water Nexus Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?A number of students have been trained in methods for and implementation of economic assessment of technical progress and environmental factors. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Through journnal articles and public speaking engagments What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Do analysis on the threats to research productivity from environmental factors.
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
Under objective 3 work has been done on how environmental factors such as climate change, and weather as influcenced by the ocean have influenced productivity and the need to adaptation through research. these factors significantly increase the need for research investment. Work has also been done on shifts in crop mixes and needed adaptatio actions plus the effects of subsdy policies.these factors also significantly increase the need for research investment.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Fei, C.J., and B.A. McCarl, "Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture", US CLIVAR Variations, Summer 2018 " Vol.16, No.3, 2018.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Jithitikulchai, T., B.A. McCarl, and X.M. Wu, "Decadal Climate Variability Impacts on Cropping", Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 2018.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Kung, C.C., and B.A. McCarl, "Sustainable Energy Development under Climate Change", Sustainability, 2018.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Mu, J.E., J.T. Abatzoglou, B. Sleeter, B.A. McCarl, and H. Zhang, "Adaptation with Climate Uncertainty: An Examination of Agricultural Land Use in the United States", Land Use Policy, 77 (2018) 392401, 2018.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Schneider, U.A., L. Rasche, and B.A. McCarl, "Assessing Economic Impacts of Pesticide Regulations", Agriculture, vol.8 (4), pages 1-13, April, 2018.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Yi, F., and B.A. McCarl, "Damages of Surface Ozone: Evidence from Agricultural Sector in China", Environmental Research Letters, 2018.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Yi, F., and B.A. McCarl, "Increasing the Effectiveness of the Chinese Grain Subsidy: A Quantitative Analysis", China Agricultural Economic Review, 2018.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Yu, E.C.H., and B.A. McCarl, "The Water Implications of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Through Land Use, Land Use Change, and Forestry", Sustainability, 2018.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Zhang, H., J.E. Mu, and B.A. McCarl, "Adaptation to Climate Change via Adjustment in Land Leasing: Evidence from Wheat Farms in the U.S. Pacific Northwest", Land Use Policy, 2018.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Zhang, Y.W., J.E. Mu, M. Musumba, B.A. McCarl, X. Gu, and Y. Zhou, "The Role of Climate Factors in Shaping Chinas Crop Mix: An Empirical Exploration", Sustainability, 2018.
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Progress 09/14/17 to 09/30/17
Outputs Target Audience:Washinton Policy Makers, International Policy Makers, Citizens, Other professionals Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Training of PhD level graduate students in applied research and environmental issues How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?via jounral articles and invited talks plus selected papers What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?continue researching and writing on relevant topics
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
Examined climate change adaptation needs relevant to second and third goals
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Cho, S.J., and B.A. McCarl, "Climate change influences on crop mix shifts in the United States", Scientific Reports, volume 7, Article number: 40845, 2017.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Fei, C.C., B.A. McCarl, and A. Thayer, "Estimating the impacts of climate change and potential adaptation strategies for the production, transportation, and trade of cereal production in the United States", Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 15 June, https://doi. org/10. 3389/fevo. 2017. 00062, 2017.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Fei, C.C., B.A. McCarl, and X.X. Fan, "Adaptation: An Agricultural Challenge", Climate, 5, no. 3 (2017): 56, 2017.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Awaiting Publication
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Jones, J.P.H., M.L. Wang, Z.M. Wang, and B.A. McCarl, "Policy Uncertainty and US Ethanol Industry", Sustainability, forthcoming, 2017.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Awaiting Publication
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
McCarl, B.A., and T.W. Hertel, "Climate Change as an Agricultural Economic Research Topic", Agricultural Economics Policy Perspectives, forthcoming, 2017.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
McCarl, B.A., Y.Q. Yang, K. Schwabe, B.A. Engel, A.H. Mondal, C. Ringler, and E.N. Pistikopoulos, "Model Use in FEW Nexus Analysis: A Review of Issues", Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports, 4(3), 144-152, 2017.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
McCarl, B.A., Y.Q. Yang, R. Srinivasan, E.N. Pistikopoulos, and R.H. Mohtar, "Data for WEF Nexus Analysis: A Review of Issues", Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports, 4(3), 137-143, 2017.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Mu, J.E., and B.A. McCarl, "Economic Impacts of Avian Influenza Disease Mitigation Strategies in U. S", International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, forthcoming, 2017.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Zhang, Y.W., Y. Luan, U. Kleinwechter, and B.A. McCarl, "Climate Factors and Pesticide Usage in China: An Empirical Investigation", Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, https://doi. org/10. 1007/s11027-017-9755-y, 2017.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Seo, H.S., T. Kim, M.K. Kim, and B.A. McCarl, "Behavioral Response to Trend-Adjusted APH Program: Extensive and Intensive Margins", Agricultural Finance Review, 77 (3): 17, 2017.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Awaiting Publication
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Yu, C.H., J.E. Mu, J.X. Ding, and B.A. McCarl, "Relationships between Typhoons, Climate and Crime Rates in Taiwan", Natural Hazards, forthcoming, 2017.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Zhang, H., J.E. Mu, and B.A. McCarl, "Adapting to Climate Change through Fallow Rotation", Climate, 5, 64, doi:10. 3390/cli5030064, 2017.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Awaiting Publication
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Zhang, Y.W., J.P.H. Jones, and B.A. McCarl, "An Overview of Mitigation and Adaptation Needs and Strategies for Livestock Sector", Climate, forthcoming, 2017.
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