Source: UNIV OF IDAHO submitted to
ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF PLANT DISEASES AND OTHER EXTERNAL FACTORS AFFECTING PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE
Sponsoring Institution
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Project Status
COMPLETE
Funding Source
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
1012804
Grant No.
(N/A)
Cumulative Award Amt.
(N/A)
Proposal No.
(N/A)
Multistate No.
(N/A)
Project Start Date
Jul 1, 2017
Project End Date
Jun 30, 2022
Grant Year
(N/A)
Program Code
[(N/A)]- (N/A)
Recipient Organization
UNIV OF IDAHO
875 PERIMETER DRIVE
MOSCOW,ID 83844-9803
Performing Department
Agri Economics & Rural Sociol
Non Technical Summary
The proposed research will inform the question of how Idaho crops are impacted by diseases, pests, and other pathogens. Analysis of the economic impacts of these, as well as the economics of control and biocontrol will be analyzed. Information regarding the production and economic risks posed by these pests, as well as ways in which farmers and seed certification agencies can respond will be generated.
Animal Health Component
100%
Research Effort Categories
Basic
(N/A)
Applied
100%
Developmental
(N/A)
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
60113103010100%
Knowledge Area
601 - Economics of Agricultural Production and Farm Management;

Subject Of Investigation
1310 - Potato;

Field Of Science
3010 - Economics;
Goals / Objectives
The overarching goal of this project is to examine factors impacting Idaho and Pacific Northwest agriculture through the development of economic models of production systems. This will include, but not be limited to, cost and returns to production, economic consequences of diseases, pests and other pathogens, the economics of new varieties, and the economics of biological control of crop pests.Specific goals include:1. examining the economic consequences of diseases including soil borne, seed borne, and insect vectored pathogens, on the production, sales and trade of impacted crops.2. determine the broader economic consequences of results found in objective 1 on the economy of Idaho and the Pacific Northwest.3. examine the economic feasibility of biocontrol agents in the form of biofumigants, trap crops, and combinations thereof.
Project Methods
Incidence of diseases and other pest problems and other external factors affect production patterns, resource allocations, prices received and paid, and net farm income. The effects of these various issues will be measured quantitatively and the consequences will be examined using a variety of empirical modeling techniques. Theoretical and empirical models of agriculture and related sectors will be developed analyzed, and tested. Careful attention will be paid to model construction and validity, in order to achieve an accurate representation of agricultural production and resource use. External factors such as emerging and re-emerging diseases or new varieties will be incorporated into behavioral and reduced-form models of agricultural production, price formation, and marketing sectors. These models will allow the measurement of the impact of the external factors on resource allocation, the size of agriculture, and price and income levels.Data will be obtained from primary and secondary sources such as field trials carried out by UI faculty in the Plant, Soil and Entomological Sciences and Animal and Veterinary Sciences departments, and federal and state agency publications and web-based databases. A variety of structural econometric, and time series methods will be used to analyze the data. In some cases, theoretical microeconomic models and/or Monte Carlo simulations techniques will be needed to examine situations in which prior data is not relevant due to significant changes in the policy/market environment governing decision making. Other applications will make use of mathematical programming techniques to find optimal production patterns, rotations, and plans for future production.

Progress 10/01/19 to 09/30/20

Outputs
Target Audience:The target audience for this work is other research scientists in the field as well as those involved in the production and marketing of the crops addressed. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?The project has provided opportunities for graduate student education, as well as providing students an opportunity to present research findings in several professional settings. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?This information has been presented at the Potato Expo, the Idaho Seed Potato Conference, the Idaho Potato Conference, Colorado State University, and the Colorado Seed Potato Conference. This includes posters, presentations and interviews on Facebook live streaming. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?I plan to continue refining the calculator, as well as complete work in progress to better examine the interactions between economics, seed potato production and virus loads.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? The overarching goal of this project is to examine factors impacting Idaho and Pacific Northwest agriculture through the development of economic models of production systems. This will include, but not be limited to, cost and returns to production, economic consequences of diseases, pests and other pathogens, the economics of new varieties, and the economics of biological control of crop pests. Specific goals include: 1. examining the economic consequences of diseases including soil borne, seed borne, and insect vectored pathogens, on the production, sales and trade of impacted crops. 2. determine the broader economic consequences of results found in objective 1 on the economy of Idaho and the Pacific Northwest. 3. examine the economic feasibility of biocontrol agents in the form of biofumigants, trap crops, and combinations thereof.

Publications

  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Fuller, K.B. Christopher S. McIntosh and N. Zidack. 2020. Valuing Disease Prevention in a Vegetatively Propagated Annual Crop: Benefits from the Montana Seed Potato Certification Program Plant Disease 104:2060-2067.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Koirala, S., P. Watson, Christopher S. McIntosh and L-M Dandurand. 2020. Economic Impacts of Globodera pallida on the Idaho Economy American Journal of Potato Research. 97 (214-220) https://doi.org/10.1007/s12230-020-09768-2.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Awaiting Publication Year Published: 2020 Citation: Guang T., L. Lu and Christopher S. McIntosh. 2020. What Factors Affect Consumers Dining Sentiments and their Ratings: Evidence from Restaurant Online Review Data. Food Quality and Preference. Accepted for publication.


Progress 10/01/18 to 09/30/19

Outputs
Target Audience:The target audience consists of growers of commercial and seed crops, extension professionals, and other scientists working in this and closesly related fields. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?The project has provided opportunities for graduate student education, as well as providing students an opportunity to present research findings in several professional settings. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?This information has been presented at the Potato Expo, the Idaho Seed Potato Conference, the Idaho Potato Conference, Colorado State University, and the Colorado Seed Potato Conference. This includes posters, presentations and interviews on Facebook live streaming. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?I plan to continue refining the calculator, as well as complete work in progress to better examine the interactions between economics, seed potato production and virus loads.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? Efforts at identifying the economic impacts of plant diseases were published. Estimated rate of spread for disease in growing crops was developed.

Publications

  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Rosenman, J., Christopher S. McIntosh, Giri Raj Aryal, Phil Nolte. 2019, Planting a Problem  Examining the Spread of Seed-Borne Potato Virus Y Plant Disease, Vol. 103 No. 9: https://doi.org/10.1094/PDIS-11-18-2004-SR.


Progress 10/01/17 to 09/30/18

Outputs
Target Audience:The target audience for my research constist of stakeholder in the industry (producers and seed producers) as well as those in the supply chain (fresh pack,fry processing and dehydration) for potatoes. The audience also includes other scientiests working in this area Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Jeremy Rosenman, Seed Potato Certification and Potato Virus Y: An Economic Assessment. Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology, University of Idaho August 2018 Nicholas Dodds, A Cost Analysis on the use of Solanum Sisymbriifolium as a Trap Crop for Globodera Pallida. Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology, University of Idaho August 2018 How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Some of the results were disseminated through presentations and workshops that the Montana Seed Potato Seminar. Other results will be disseminated in the comin months through posters and presentations at the Potato Expo and the Idaho Potato Conference. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Maunscripts will be submitted for journal publication. Presentations at Agricultural Economic and interdisciplinary conferences will also take place.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? Two Master's thesis were completed in the most recent year. These are leading to papers which are being prepared for publication in appropciate journals.

Publications


    Progress 07/01/17 to 09/30/17

    Outputs
    Target Audience:Target audience is everyone involved in the production of agricultural crops in the state of Idaho and beyond. Also included are other scientists in agricultural economics and plant production/pathology related disciplines. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?This website just went live, so we are anticipating a number of people providing feedback on our efforts. The tool provides a never before demonstrated evaluation of seedborne PVY infection. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?This information has been presented at the Potato Expo, the Idaho Seed Potato Conference, the Idaho Potato Conference, Colorado State University, and the Colorado Seed Potato Conference. This includes posters, presentations and interviews on Facebook live streaming. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?I plan to continue refining the calculator, as well as complete work in progress to better examine the interactions between economics, seed potato production and virus loads.

    Impacts
    What was accomplished under these goals? The PVY calculator was contstuucted and placed on a publicly available website. This allows users to examine how much economic damage may be occurring in their potato crop due to seedborne PVY infections.

    Publications

    • Type: Websites Status: Other Year Published: 2017 Citation: Rosenman, Jeremy, Christopher S. McIntosh and Kate Binzen Fuller. The PVY Calculator. http://msuextension.org/econtools/pvy_calc/