Source: MICHIGAN STATE UNIV submitted to NRP
SYSTEMS MODELING OF WILDLIFE DYNAMICS ACROSS HETEROGENEOUS LANDSCAPES
Sponsoring Institution
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Project Status
COMPLETE
Funding Source
HATCH
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
1011386
Grant No.
(N/A)
Cumulative Award Amt.
(N/A)
Proposal No.
(N/A)
Multistate No.
(N/A)
Project Start Date
Dec 1, 2016
Project End Date
Nov 30, 2021
Grant Year
(N/A)
Program Code
[(N/A)]- (N/A)
Recipient Organization
MICHIGAN STATE UNIV
(N/A)
EAST LANSING,MI 48824
Performing Department
Fisheries & Wildlife
Non Technical Summary
Wildlife species are an integral component of the economy, society and ecosystems in Michigan and around the world. They provide ecosystem services to humans such as extensive opportunities for consumptive (e.g., hunting, trapping) and non-consumptive recreation (observing, photographing). They are essential to maintain normal ecosystem functions and to achieve sustainable economic development. However, humans have enormous impacts on wildlife. On the other hand, wildlife can also have huge negative impacts on forestry and agriculture industries, such as deer damage to seedlings, fruits, and agricultural crops. Habitat modifications or population changes on local scales may have many unexpected short- and long-term consequences at landscape or regional levels. Wildlife is usually mobile and do not recognize the boundaries of land ownership. Many species (e.g., migratory birds) require different habitats in distant locations for their different life stages. Other species (e.g., polar bears, elephants) may be translocated to distant places by humans. Management of one species at one location could impact human communities and ecosystems at another distant location. With increasing globalization, there are increasing socioeconomic and environmental interactions over distances (telecoupling, such as tourism, wildlife translocation, trade). Unfortunately, previous research and management mainly focused on local spatial scales and short temporal scales. Furthermore, many existing research results are fragmentary. The complex issues facing wildlife researchers and managers may be addressed using a systems approach and modeling tools. Rapid advances in computer and spatial technologies have made it possible to integrate ecological-socioeconomic information for the management and understanding of long-term wildlife dynamics across large-scale heterogeneous landscapes. Thus, this project proposes to (A) Develop systems models that integrate ecological and socioeconomic factors; (B) Provide information for decision-makers and wildlife managers to evaluate long-term management scenarios; and (C) Understand the mechanisms of wildlife dynamics on landscape mosaics. Example projects to be conducted are to: (1) Analyze telecoupling for wildlife conservation (with focus on polar bear conservation in Alaska and the Saint Louis Zoo), and (2) Develop a web-based agent-based model for understanding the interactions among policies, people, and panda habitat in Wolong Nature Reserve (China). The products of this 5-year project will include new understanding of some complex issues and user-friendly computer models that managers and researchers can use to project long-term ecological-socioeconomic consequences of various management alternatives. We will publish our results in peer-reviewed journals and books, and disseminate results at professional meetings, in classrooms, and to the general public through global media coverage.
Animal Health Component
80%
Research Effort Categories
Basic
10%
Applied
80%
Developmental
10%
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
13508501070100%
Knowledge Area
135 - Aquatic and Terrestrial Wildlife;

Subject Of Investigation
0850 - Wildlife habitats;

Field Of Science
1070 - Ecology;
Goals / Objectives
The general objectives of the proposed research are to:(A) Develop systems models that integrate ecological and socioeconomic factors;(B) Provide information for decision-makers and wildlife managers to evaluate long-term management scenarios; and (C) Understand the mechanisms of wildlife dynamics on landscape mosaics.Examples of objectives for specific projects to be conducted under this project number are to:Analyze telecoupling for wildlife conservation (with focus on polar bear conservation in Alaska and the Saint Louis Zoo)Develop a web-based agent-based model for understanding the interactions among policies, people, and panda habitat in Wolong Nature Reserve (China).
Project Methods
The general procedures to achieve the objectives consist of data collection and analysis, model construction and test, sensitivity analysis, and model applications.Data collection and Analysis: The information sources vary from satellite data (e.g. LANDSAT), multi-temporal aerial photo maps, field investigations, interviews and literature to historical and government documents. The models may include information such as habitat (quality, quantity, spatial arrangement, shape, size), demographic variables (e.g., survivorship, growth), movement patterns (e.g, distance, direction, frequency, and timing), and income from sources like harvesting timber, growing crops, and hunting. The costs for these economic activities and social attitudes toward management will also be incorporated into the models.The data will be analyzed and integrated into a geographic information system (GIS), which will be used to identify the spatial relationships among different patches (e.g., distance from habitats to roads). Using least squares and/or maximum likelihood methods, linear and non-linear (e.g., logistic), equations will be established to describe the interactions among various variables. Residuals from the fitted equations will be examined for temporal patterns and relationships, and the equations will be modified if significant lack of fit occurs.Modeling Tools: The models will be programmed in programming languages (e.g., C++, Java) and implemented in workstations and PCs. Geographic information systems will be linked to the systems models in order to analyze and display the spatial patterns of forest and wildlife populations and habitats (Maguire 1991, Liu et al. 1995, Larson 2004). These models will be designed with Object-Oriented Design (OOD) and will be web-based and easy to maintain, update, and apply to other situations. Standard tools provided by ArcIMS will be used to develop the interface, and Hypertext Markup Language (HTML), JavaScript, Java, Perl, and Active Server Pages will be used to support client and server-side functionality.Model Validation: Our models will be validated by a number of qualitative and quantitative methods (Dent 1979, Sargent 1984). Our quantitative measures will include statistical tests and deviance measures. Two thirds of our empirical data will be randomly selected for model development and the remaining third of data will be reserved to validate the models. By drawing the data randomly, we can avoid potential biases that might be introduced by using a temporal or a spatial partition. Model outputs will be tested against the independent data reserved for model validation. Statistical tests include paired t-test, goodness-of-fit test, and root mean square error. Deviance measures that summarize the degree of fit will be used to validate the models by pairing simulated and observed values according to time, location, etc. (Mayer 1993). Qualitative methods will include expert assessments and visual techniques. For instance, expert opinion will determine if the model behavior is a reasonable representation of long-term forest dynamics, because it is possible that some simulated patterns may differ drastically from historical records. Visual techniques, such as maps of forest dynamics and graphic plots of both simulated and observed values against independent variables, will useful and practicable in model validation and complement quantitative measures (Grant and Swannack 2011).In the event that model validation fails, causes may include inadequate functions and links among submodels. Because our models will be developed with an Object-Oriented Design, each submodel can be tested separately. If a submodel performs inadequately, its structure, components, relationships among variables and links with other submodels will be checked and modified. We will use computer tools (e.g., Visual C++ Tracer) to track submodel flows to identify which function or link causes the model failure, and will then make necessary modifications. The revised models will again be validated, and the procedure will be repeated as many times as necessary.Sensitivity Analyses and Uncertainty Analyses: We will use sensitivity analyses and uncertainly analyses to evaluate the importance of components in the models and to further test model behavior. A sensitivity analysis is used to test how a model's output responds to small changes in the components of interest, while uncertainty analysis is employed to identify how model results vary with large variances in parameters (Hodgson 2004, Xu 2004). Sensitivity analyses can help the users to focus their effort on the most sensitive system components. To evaluate the sensitivity of multiple simultaneously changing model components, we will use the methods described in the literature (Haefner 1997). Effects of uncertainty in parameter values will be simulated by choosing a series of values encompassing the full range of the parameter values.Simulation Intervals and Replicates: To determine short- and long-term ecological and economic effects of various management alternatives, each simulation will be run for 10-200 years, with an interval of 1, 5 or 10 years (depending on the questions to be addressed). A caveat is that short-term simulations typically have higher accuracies than long-term simulations because of error propagation (Sampson 2001). We expect our simulations will also reflect this trend in error occurrence. The number of replicate runs for each type of simulation scenario will depend on the variation of results among different runs.Model Applications: Once the models are tested, we will help wildlife managers to understand and apply the models to the real world. We intend to develop a good graphical user interface and to hear the concerns and opinions from the users throughout the processes of model development. The model results will enable decision-makers and managers to compare the outcomes of different management alternatives, select a desirable option, and make necessary changes in the process of adaptive management (Walters 1986).

Progress 10/01/19 to 09/30/20

Outputs
Target Audience:Scientific communities, decision makers, and general public. Changes/Problems:Due to travel restrictions associated with COVID-19, some field work has been postponed. What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Students have been given opportunities to attend and give presentations at professional meetings. Staff members have attended relevant training courses for further knowledge and skills. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?The objectives of the proposed research are to: (A) Develop systems models which integrate ecological and socioeconomic factors; (B) Provide information for decision-makers and wildlife managers to evaluate long-term management scenarios; and (C) Understand the mechanisms of wildlife dynamics on landscape mosaics. The products of this project will include new understanding of some complex issues and user-friendly computer models which managers and researchers can use to project long-term ecological-socioeconomic consequences of various management alternatives. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?I plan to submit a number of grant proposals, write papers for publication, disseminate research findings to the general public, and give presentations at professional meetings.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? Some ecological and socioeconomic data have been collected. A number of presentations have been given at national and international conferences as well as other universities. Twenty-one journal articles and three book chapters have been published and in press. We have quantified how different factors (e.g., socioeconomic, demographic, geographic, and ecological) interactively affect wildlife habitat across human-influenced landscapes. The results provide useful information and insight into a better understanding of human-environment interactions. The tools and data generated will be also useful for similar studies in many other parts of the world as human impacts on landscapes and wildlife continue to increase dramatically.

Publications

  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Awaiting Publication Year Published: 2020 Citation: D�az, Sandra, Noelia Zafra-Calvo Andy Purvis, Peter H. Verburg, David Obura, Paul Leadley, Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, Luc De Meester, Ehsan Dulloo, Berta Mart�n-L�pez, M. Rebecca Shaw, Piero Visconti, Wendy Broadgate, Michael Bruford, Neil D. Burgess, Jeannine Cavender-Bares, Fabrice DeClerck, Jos� Mar�a Fern�dez-Palacios, Lucas A. Garibaldi, Samantha L.L. Hill, Forest Isbell, Colin K. Khoury, Cornelia B. Krug, Jianguo Liu, Martine Maron, Philip J.K. McGowan, Henrique M. Pereira, Victoria Reyes-Garc�a, Juan Rocha, Carlo Rondinini, Lynne Shannon, Yunne-Jai Shin, Paul V.R. Snelgrove, Eva M. Spehn, Bernardo Strassburg, Suneetha M. Subramanian, Joshua J. Tewksbury, James E.M. Watson, Amy E. Zanne 2020 A sustainable future requires holistic actions towards ambitious biodiversity goals. Science (in press)
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Xu, Zhenci, Yingjie Li, Sophia N. Chau, Thomas Dietz, Canbing Li, Luwen Wan, Jindong Zhang, Liwei Zhang, Yunkai Li, Min Gon Chung, and Jianguo Liu 2020 Impacts of international trade on global sustainable development. Nature Sustainability https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-020-0572-z.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Awaiting Publication Year Published: 2020 Citation: Xu, Zhenci, Xiuzhi Chen, Jianguo Liu, Yu Zhang, Sophia Chau, Nishan Bhattarai, Ye Wang, Yingjie Li, Thomas Connor, Yunkai Li 2020 Impacts of irrigated agriculture on food-energy-water-CO2 nexus across metacoupled systems. Nature Communications. (in press).
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Carlson, Andrew K., William W. Taylor, Daniel I. Rubenstein, Simon A. Levin and Jianguo Liu 2020 Global marine fishing across space and time. Sustainability 12, 4714; doi:10.3390/su12114714
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Zhao, Zhiqiang, Meng Cai, Fang Wang, Julie A. Winkler, Thomas Connor, Min Gon Chung, Jindong Zhang, Hongbo Yang, Zhenci Xu, Ying Tang, Zhiyun Ouyang, Hemin Zhang, and Jianguo Liu 2021. Synergies and Tradeoffs among Sustainable Development Goals across Boundaries in a Metacoupled World. Science of the Total Environment751: 141749 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141749
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Yao, Yingying, Jing Sun, Chunmiao Zheng, and Jianguo Liu. 2020 Alleviating water scarcity and poverty in drylands through telecouplings: Vegetable trade and tourism in northwest China. Science of the Total Environment https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140387
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: D�az, Sandra, Josef Settele, Eduardo Brondizio, Hien T. Ngo, Alexander Pfaff, Stephen Polasky, John Agard, Almut Arneth, Patricia Balvanera, Kate A. Brauman, Stuart H. M. Butchart, Kai M. A. Chan, Lucas A. Garibaldi, Kazuhito Ichii, Jianguo Liu, Suneetha M. Subramanian, Guy F. Midgley, Patricia Miloslavich, Zsolt Moln�r, David Obura, Andy Purvis, Jona Razzaque, Belinda Reyers, Rinku Roy Chowdhury, Yunne-Jai Shin, Ingrid Visseren-Hamakers, Katherine J. Willis, Cynthia N. Zayas. 2020 Investments role in ecosystem degradation -- Response. Science 368:377.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Bai, Wenke, Qiongyu Huang, Jindong Zhang, Jared Stabach, Jinyan Huang, Hongbo Yang, Melissa Songer, Thomas Connor, Jianguo Liu, Shiqiang Zhou, Hemin Zhang, Caiquan Zhou, Vanessa Hull 2020 Microhabitat selection by giant pandas. Biological Conservation 247:108615
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Bawa, Kamaljit S., Eben Goodale, Wambura Mtemi, You-Fang Chen, Ranjit Barthakur, Uromi Manage Goodale, Jianguo Liu, Aiwu Jiang, Christos Mammides, Madhava Meegaskumbura, Maharaj K. Pandit, Kun-Fang Cao 2020. China and India: Toward a sustainable world. Science 369:515
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Chan, Kai, David Boyd, Rachelle Gould, Jens Jetzkowitz, Jianguo Liu, Muraca, Barbara; Naidoo, Robin; Olmsted, Paige; Satterfield, Terre; Selomane, Odirilwe; Singh, Gerald; Sumaila, Rashid; Ngo, Hien; Boedhihartono, Agni; Agard, John; Aguiar, Ana Paula; Armenteras, Dolors; Balint, Lenke; Barrington-Leigh, Christopher; Cheung, William; D�az, Sandra; Driscoll, John; Esler, Karen; Eyster, Harold; Gregr, Edward; Hashimoto, Shizuka; Hern�ndez Pedraza, Gladys; Hickler, Thomas; Kok, Marcel T. J.; Lazarova, Tanya; Mohamed, Assem; Murray-Hudson, Mike; O'Farrell, Patrick; Palomo, Ignacio; Saysel, Ali; Seppelt, Ralf; Settele, Josef; Strassburg, Bernardo; Xue, Dayuan; Brond�zio, Eduardo, 2020 Levers and leverage points for pathways to sustainability. People and Nature 2(3):693-717. DOI: 10.1002/pan3.10124.
  • Type: Book Chapters Status: Awaiting Publication Year Published: 2020 Citation: Liu, Jianguo 2020 Telecoupling. In: The International Encyclopedia of Geography: People, the Earth, Environment, and Technology. Wiley (in press).
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Tang, Ying, J. A. Winkler, A. Vi�a, F. Wang, J. Zhang, Z. Zhao, T. Connor, H. Yang, Y. Zhang, X. Zhang, X. Li and J. Liu 2020 Expanding ensembles of species present-day and future climatic suitability to consider the limitations of species occurrence data. Ecological Indicators. 110:105891 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.105891.
  • Type: Book Chapters Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Liu, Jianguo. 2020 Pandas and People in China. pp 269-273, In Shepherding Nature: The Challenge of Conservation Reliance (eds., J. Michael Scott, John A. Wiens, Beatrice Van Horne, and Dale D. Goble). Cambridge University Press
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: McElwee, Pamela, �lvaro Fern�ndez-Llamazares, Yildiz Aumeeruddy-Thomas, D�niel Babai, Peter Bates, Kathleen Galvin, Maximilien Gu�ze, Jianguo Liu, Zsolt Moln�r, Hien T. Ngo, Victoria Reyes-Garc�a, Rinku Roy Chowdhury, Aibek Samakov, Uttam Babu Shrestha, Sandra D�az, and Eduardo S. Brond�zio 2020 Working with Indigenous and Local Knowledge (ILK) into Large-Scale Ecological Assessments: Reviewing the Experience of the IPBES Global Assessment. Journal of Applied Ecology 57:1666-1676, DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.13705
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Awaiting Publication Year Published: 2021 Citation: La Rue, Elizabeth, Jason Rohr, Jonathan Knott, Walter Dodds, Kyla Dahlin, James Thorp, Jeremy Johnson, Mayra Rodriguez-Gonzalez, Brady Hardiman, Michael Keller, Robert Fahey, Jeff Atkins, Flavia Tromboni, Michael SanClements, Geoffrey Parker, Jianguo Liu, and Songlin Fei. 2020 Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment (in press)
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Chung, Min Gon, Kelly Kapsar, Kenneth A. Frank, and Jianguo Liu 2020 The spatial and temporal dynamics of global meat trade networks. Scientific Reports 10, 16657 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-73591-2
  • Type: Other Status: Awaiting Publication Year Published: 2021 Citation: Tromboni, Flavia, Jianguo Liu, Emanuele Ziaco, David D. Breshears, Kimberly L. Thompson, Walter K. Dodds, Kyla M. Dahlin, Elizabeth A. LaRue, James H. Thorp, Andr�s Vi�a, Marysa M. Lagu�, Alain Maasri, Hongbo Yang, Sudeep Chandra, and Songlin Fei. 2020 Macrosystems as metacoupled human and natural systems. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment (in press)
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Zhao, Zhiqiang, Meng Cai, Thomas Connor, Min Gon Chung, Jianguo Liu 2020 Metacoupled tourism and wildlife translocations affect synergies and trade-offs among sustainable development goals across spillover systems. Sustainability 12, 7677; doi:10.3390/su12187677
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Bicudo da Silva, Ramon Felipe, James D.A. Millington, Emilio F. Moran, Mateus Batistella, and Jianguo Liu 2020 Three decades of land-use and land-cover change in mountain regions of the Brazilian Atlantic Forest. Landscape and Urban Planning 204:103948
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Dou, Yue, Ramon Felipe Bicudo da Silva, Paul McCord, Julie G. Zaehringer, Hongbo Yang, Paul R. Furumo, Jian Zhang, J. Crist�bal Pizarro and Jianguo Liu 2020 Understanding how smallholders integrated into pericoupled and telecoupled systems. Sustainability 12(4): 1596
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Kleemann, Janina, Matthias Schr�ter, Kenneth J. Bagstad, Christian Kuhlicke, Thomas Kastner, Dor Fridman, Catharina J.E. Schulp, Sarah Wolff, Javier Mart�nez-L�pez, Thomas Koellner, Sebastian Arnhold, Berta Mart�n-L�pez, Alexandra Marques, Laura Lopez-Hoffman, Jianguo Liu, Meidad Kissinger, Carlos Antonio Guerra, and Aletta Bonn 2020 Quantifying interregional flows of multiple ecosystem services  a case study for Germany. Global Environmental Change 61:102051
  • Type: Book Chapters Status: Awaiting Publication Year Published: 2020 Citation: Liu, Jianguo 2020 Systems integration for tackling complex human-nature interactions. In Lessons in Leadership: Integrating Courage, Vision, and Innovation for the Future of Sustainable Fisheries (edited by William W. Taylor and Andrew Carlson), AFS Press. (in press).
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Gu, Yifan, Yufeng Wu, Jianguo Liu, Ming Xu, and Tieyong Zuo 2020 Ecological civilization and government administrative system reform in China. Resources, Conservation and Recycling 155, April 2020, 104654. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2019.104654
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Dou, Yue, Guolin Yao, Anna Herzberger, Ramon Felipe Bicudo da Silva, Qian Song, Ciara Hovis, Mateus Batistella, Emilio Moran, Wenbin Wu and Jianguo Liu 2020 Land-use changes in distant places: Implementation of a telecoupled agent-based model. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 23 (1) 11. DOI: 10.18564/jasss.4211
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: D�az, Sandra, Josef Settele, Eduardo S. Brond�zio, Hien T. Ngo, John Agard, Almut Arneth, Patricia Balvanera, Kate A. Brauman, Stuart H. M. Butchart, Kai M. A. Chan, Lucas A. Garibaldi, Kazuhito Ichii, Jianguo Liu, Suneetha M. Subramanian, Guy F. Midgley, Patricia Miloslavich, Zsolt Moln�r, David Obura, Alexander Pfaff, Stephen Polasky, Andy Purvis, Jona Razzaque, Belinda Reyers, Rinku Roy Chowdhury, Yunne-Jai Shin, Ingrid Visseren-Hamakers, Katherine Willis, Cynthia N. Zayas 2019 Pervasive human-driven decline of life on Earth points to the need for profound change. Science 366, 10.1126/science.aax3100 https://science.sciencemag.org/content/366/6471/eaax3100


Progress 10/01/18 to 09/30/19

Outputs
Target Audience:Scientific communities, decision makers, and general public. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Students have been given opportunities to attend and give presentations at professional meetings. Staff members have attended relevant training courses for further knowledge and skills. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?The objectives of the proposed research are to: (A) Develop systems models which integrate ecological and socioeconomic factors; (B) Provide information for decision-makers and wildlife managers to evaluate long-term management scenarios; and (C) Understand the mechanisms of wildlife dynamics on landscape mosaics. The products of this project will include new understanding of some complex issues and user-friendly computer models which managers and researchers can use to project long-term ecological-socioeconomic consequences of various management alternatives. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?I plan to submit a number of grant proposals, write papers for publication, disseminate research findings to the general public, and give presentations at professional meetings.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? Some ecological and socioeconomic data have been collected. A number of presentations have been given at national and international conferences as well as other universities. Twenty-eight journal articles and six book chapters have beenpublished and in press. We have quantified how different factors (e.g., socioeconomic, demographic, geographic, and ecological) interactively affect wildlife habitat across human-influenced landscapes. The results provide useful information and insight into a better understanding of human-environment interactions. The tools and data generated will be also useful for similar studies in many other parts of the world as human impacts on landscapes and wildlife continue to increase dramatically.

Publications

  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Carlson, Andrew, Julie Zaehringer, Rachael Garrett, Ramon Felipe Bicudo Silva, Paul Furumo, Andrea Raya Rey, Aurora Torres, Min Gon Chung, Yingjie Li, Jianguo Liu. 2018 Toward rigorous telecoupling causal attribution: a systematic review and typology. Sustainability, 10, 4426; doi:10.3390/su10124426
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Chung, Min Gon, Thomas Dietz, and Jianguo Liu 2018 Global relationships between biodiversity and nature-based tourism in protected areas. Ecosystem Services 34, Part A: 11-23
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Chung, Min Gon, Tao Pan, Xintong Zou, and Jianguo Liu 2018. Complex interrelationships between ecosystem services supply and tourism demand: general framework and evidence from the origin of three Asian rivers. Sustainability 10, 4576 ; doi:10.3390/su10124576
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Accepted Year Published: 2019 Citation: Xu, Zhenci, Sophia N. Chau, Jian Zhang, Yingjie Li, Thomas Dietz, Jinyan Wang, Xiuzhi Chen, Shaohua Wu, Julie A. Winkler, Fan Fan, Shuxin Li, Anna Herzberger, Ying Tang, Yunkai Li, Jianguo Liu. Assessing progress towards sustainable development over space and time. Nature
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Other Year Published: 2019 Citation: Ouyang, Zhiyun Changsu Song, Hua Zheng, Stephen Polasky, Yi Xiao, Ian J. Bateman, Jianguo Liu, Mary Ruckelshaus, Faqi Shi, Yang Xiao, Weihua Xu, Ziying Zou, Gretchen C. Daily 2019. A Tractable Approach for Bringing Ecological Information into Decision-Making: Gross Ecosystem Product (GEP) and Ecosystem Assets. PNAS
  • Type: Book Chapters Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Seppelt, Ralf, Ameur Manceur, Jianguo Liu, Eli Fenichel, Stefan Klotz 2019. Synchronized Peak Rate Years of Global Resources Use Imply Critical Trade-Offs in Appropriation of Natural Resources and Ecosystem Services. Pp. 301-307 In Atlas of Ecosystem Services" 978-3-319-96228-3 (Springer Book)
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Xu, Zhenci, Sophia Chau, Franco Ruzzenenti, Thomas Connor, Yingjie Li, Ying Tang, Dapeng Li, Mimi Gong, Jianguo Liu. 2019 Evolution of multiple global virtual material flows. Science of the Total Environment 658: 659-668.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Munroe, Darla K., Mateus Batistella, Cecilie Friis, Nestor Ignacio Gasparri, Eric F. Lambin, Jianguo Liu, Patrick Meyfroidt, Emilio Moran, Jonas �stergaard Nielsen, 2019 Governing flows in telecoupled land systems. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 38:53-59.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Xu, Zhenci, Yingjie Li, Anna Herzberger, Xiuzhi Chen, Mimi Gong, Kelly Kapsar, Ciara Hovis, Julia Whyte, Ying Tang, Yunkai Li, Jianguo Liu. 2019 Interactive national virtual water-energy nexus networks. Science of the Total Environment 673:128-135.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Koellner, Thomas, Aletta Bonn, Sebastian Arnhold, Kenneth J Bagstad, Dor Fridman, Carlos A Guerra, Thomas Kastner, Meidad Kissinger, Janina Kleemann, Christian Kuhlicke, Jianguo Liu, Laura L�pez-Hoffman,Alexandra Marques, Berta Mart�n-L�pez,Catharina J Schulp, Sarah Wolff, Matthias Schr�ter 2019. Guidance for assessing interregional ecosystem service flows. Ecological Indicators 105:92106.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Xu, Zhenci, Xiuzhi Chen, Susie Ruqun Wu, Mimi Gong, Yueyue Du, Jinyan Wang, Yunkai Li, Jianguo Liu 2019 Spatial-temporal assessment of water footprint, water scarcity and crop water productivity in a major crop production region. Journal of Cleaner Production 224: 375-383.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Xu, Zhenci, Di Zhang, Paul McCord, Mimi Gong, Jianguo Liu 2019. Shift in a national virtual energy network. Applied Energy 242:561569
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Chung, Min Gon, Anna Herzberger, Kenneth A. Frank, and Jianguo Liu 2019 International tourism dynamics in a globalized world: A social network analysis approach. Journal of Travel Research https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0047287519844834
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Herzberger, Anna, Min Gon Chung, Kelly Kapsar, Kenneth Frank, Jianguo Liu 2019 Telecoupled food trade affects pericoupled trade and intracoupled production. Sustainability 11(10), 2908 https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/11/10/2908
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Qin, Boqiang, Hans W. Paerl, Justin D. Brookes, Jianguo Liu, Erik Jeppesen, Guangwei Zhu, Yunlin Zhang, Hai Xu, Kun Shi, Jianming Deng 2019. Why Lake Taihu continues to be plagued with cyanobacterial blooms through 10 years (20072017) efforts. Science Bulletin, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scib.2019.02.008
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Xu, Weihua, Stuart L. Pimm, Ao Du, Yang Su, Xinyue Fan, Li An, Jianguo Liu, Zhiyun Ouyang 2019 Transforming protected area management in China. Trends in Ecology and Evolution DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2019.05.009
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Yang, Hongbo, Andr�s Vi�a, Julie Ann Winkler, Min Gon Chung, Yue Dou, Fang Wang, Jindong Zhang, Ying Tang, Thomas Connor, Zhiqiang Zhao, and Jianguo Liu 2019 Effectiveness of protected areas in reducing deforestation. Environmental Science and Pollution Research https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-05232-9
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Tian, Zhaoxue, Xuehua Liu, Zhiyong Fan, Jianguo Liu, Stuart L. Pimm, Lanmei Liu, Claude Garcia, Melissa Songer, Xiaoming Shao, Andrew Skidmore, Tiejun Wang, Yuke Zhang, Youde Chang, Xuelin Jin, Minghao Gong, Lingguo Zhou, Xiangbo He, Gaodi Dang, Yun Zhu, Qiong Cai 2019 The next widespread bamboo flowering poses a massive risk to the giant panda. Biological Conservation 234: 180-187.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Awaiting Publication Year Published: 2019 Citation: Ma, Zhijun, Ying Chen, David Melville, Jun Fan, Jianguo Liu, Kun Tan, Richard Fuller, Xiangming Xiao, and Bo Li 2019 Dilemma for Chinas nature reserves with a decrease in area despite an increase in number. Conservation Biology (in press)
  • Type: Book Chapters Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Liu, Jianguo, Anna Herzberger, Kelly Kapsar, Andrew Carlson, Thomas Connor. 2019 What is telecoupling? Pp. 19-48. In: Telecoupling: Exploring land-use change in a globalised world. (Eds. Cecilie Friis and Jonas �stergaard Nielsen). Palgrave Macmillan Publishers Ltd.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Awaiting Publication Year Published: 2019 Citation: Connor, Thomas, Andres Vi�a, Julie Winkler, Vanessa Hull, Ying Tang, Ashton Shortridge, Hongbo Yang, Zhiqiang Zhao, Fang Wang, Jindong Zhang, Zejun Zhang, Caiquan Zhou, Wenke Bai, and Jianguo Liu 2019 Interactive spatial scale effects on species distribution modeling. Scientific Reports (in press).
  • Type: Book Chapters Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Mandle, Lisa, Zhiyun Ouyang, James Salzman, Ian Bateman, Carl Folke, Cong Li, Jie Li, Shuzhuo Li, Jianguo Liu, Stephen Polasky, Mary Ruckelshaus, Bhaskar Vira, Alvaro Uma�a Quesada, Weihua Xu, Hua Zheng, and Gretchen C. Daily 2019. Transformative Pathways to Inclusive Green Development. Pp. 3-16. In Illuminating Pathways to Green Growth (edited by Lisa Mandle, Zhiyun Ouyang, James Salzman, and Gretchen Daily). Island Press, Washington DC.
  • Type: Book Chapters Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Ruckelshaus, Mary, Gretchen Daily, Stuart Anstee, Katie Arkema, Onon Bayasgalan, Carter Brandon, Becky Chaplin-Kramer, Helen Crowley, Marcus Feldman, Annette Kilmer, Cong Li, Jie Li, Shuzhuo Li, Michele Lemay, Jianguo Liu, Carl Obst, Zhiyun Ouyang, Steve Polasky, Enkhtuvshin Shiilegdamba, Samdanjigmed Tulganyam, Ray Victurine, Greg Watson, Weihua Xu, Hua Zheng. 2019. Amplifying Transformations to Inclusive, Green Growth. pp. 17-27. In Illuminating Pathways to Green Growth (edited by Lisa Mandle, Zhiyun Ouyang, James Salzman, and Gretchen Daily). Island Press, Washington DC
  • Type: Book Chapters Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Ouyang, Zhiyun, Changsu Song, Christina Wong, Gretchen Cara Daily, Jianguo Liu, James Salzman, Lingqiao Kong, Hua Zheng. 2019. Designing policies to enhance ecosystem services: Chinas experience on mainstreaming ecosystem services for green growth. pp. 177-194. In Illuminating Pathways to Green Growth (edited by Lisa Mandle, Zhiyun Ouyang, James Salzman, and Gretchen Daily). Island Press, Washington DC
  • Type: Book Chapters Status: Awaiting Publication Year Published: 2019 Citation: Liu, Jianguo. 2019 Pandas and People in China. In Shepherding Nature: The Challenge of Conservation Reliance (eds., J. Michael Scott, Dale D. Goble, John A. Wiens, and Beatrice Van Horne). Cambridge University Press (in press)
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Xu, Weihua, Xinyue Fan, Jungai Ma, Stuart L. Pimm, Lingqiao Kong, Yuan Zeng, Xiaosong Li, Yi Xiao, Hua Zheng, Jianguo Liu, Bingfang Wu, Li An, Lu Zhang, Xiaoke Wang, Zhiyun Ouyang. Hidden loss of wetlands in China. Current Biology 29:1-7.
  • Type: Other Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: D�az, S., Settele, J., Brond�zio, E., Ngo, H., Gu�ze, M., Agard, J., Arneth, A., Balvanera, P., Brauman, K., Butchart, S., Chan, K., Garibaldi, L., Ichii, K., Liu, J., Subrmanian, S., Midgley, G., Miloslavich, P., Moln�r, Z., Obura, D., Pfaff, A., Polasky, S., Purvis, A., Razzaque, J., Reyers, B., Chowdhury, R., Shin, Y., Visseren-Hamakers, I., Wilis, K. and Zayas, C. (2019) Summary for policymakers of the global assessment report on biodiversity and ecosystem services of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. Project Report. IPBES, Paris, France. Available from: http://eprints.uwe.ac.uk/41375
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Wang, Shuai, Bojie Fu, �rjan Bodin, Jianguo Liu, Mengmeng Zhang, Xiaoyan Li 2019 Alignment of social and ecological structures increased the ability of river management. Science Bulletin
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Carlson, Andrew, William Taylor, and Jianguo Liu 2019 Using the telecoupling framework to improve Great Lakes fisheries sustainability. Aquatic Ecosystem Health & Management.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Chung, Min Gon, Hana Kang, Thomas Dietz, Patricia Jaimes, Jianguo Liu 2019 Activating values for encouraging pro-environmental behavior: The role of religious fundamentalism and willingness to sacrifice. Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Kapsar, Kelly E., Ciara L. Hovis, Ramon Felipe Bicudo da Silva, Erin K. Buchholtz, Andrew K. Carlson, Yue Dou, Yueyue Du, Paul R. Furumo, Yingjie Li, Aurora Torres, Di Yang, Ho Yi Wan, Julie G. Zaehringer and Jianguo Liu 2019. Telecoupling research: The first five years. Sustainability 11, 1033; doi:10.3390/su11041033
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Awaiting Publication Year Published: 2019 Citation: Yang, Hongbo, Frank Lupi, Jindong Zhang and Jianguo Liu 2019 Hidden cost of conservation: A demonstration using losses from human-wildlife conflicts under a payment for ecosystem services program. Ecological Economics (in press)
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Awaiting Publication Year Published: 2019 Citation: Ju, Rui-Ting, Xiao Li, Jia-Jia Jiang, Jihua Wu, Jianguo Liu, Donald Strong, and Bo Li 2019 Emerging risks of non-native escapes in aquaculture call for policy improvements in China and other developing countries. Journal of Applied Ecology (in press)
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Chung, Min Gon, and Jianguo Liu 2019 Telecoupled impacts of livestock trade on non-communicable diseases. Globalization and Health 15:43. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12992-019-0481-y
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2019 Citation: Yang, Di, Ho Yi Wan, Ta-Ken Huang and Jianguo Liu 2019 The role of citizen science in conservation under the telecoupling framework. Sustainability 11, 1108; doi:10.3390/su11041108


Progress 10/01/17 to 09/30/18

Outputs
Target Audience:Scientific communities, decision makers, and general public. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Students have been given opportunities to attend and give presentations at professional meetings. Staff members have attended relevant training courses for further knowledge and skills. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?The objectives of the proposed research are to: (A) Develop systems models which integrate ecological and socioeconomic factors; (B) Provide information for decision-makers and wildlife managers to evaluate long-term management scenarios; and (C) Understand the mechanisms of wildlife dynamics on landscape mosaics. The products of this project will include new understanding of some complex issues and user-friendly computer models which managers and researchers can use to project long-term ecological-socioeconomic consequences of various management alternatives. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?I plan to submit a number of grant proposals, write papers for publication, disseminate research findings to the general public, and give presentations at professional meetings.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? More ecological and socioeconomic data have been collected. More than a dozen presentations have been given at national and international conferences as well as other universities (e.g., Inaugural lecturer on China's Environment at Princeton University; Keynote speaker on Global Land Programme Asia Conference in Taiwan). Sixteen papers have been published, in addition to a number of papers which are now in press. We have quantified how different factors (e.g., socioeconomic, demographic, geographic, and ecological) interactively affect wildlife habitat across human-influenced landscapes. The results provide useful information and insight into a better understanding of human-environment interactions. The tools and data generated will be also useful for similar studies in many other parts of the world as human impacts on landscapes and wildlife continue to increase dramatically.

Publications

  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Liu, Jianguo 2018 An integrated framework for achieving sustainable development goals around the world. Ecology, Economy and Societythe INSEE Journal 1(2):1117.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Liu, Jianguo, Yue Dou, Mateus Batistella, Edward Challies, Thomas Connor, Cecilie Friis, James D.A. Millington, Esther Parish, Chelsie Romulo, Ramon Felipe Bicudo da Silva, Heather Triezenberg, Hongbo Yang, Zhiqiang Zhao, Karl Zimmerer, Falk Huettmann, Michael L. Treglia, Zeenatul Basher, Min Gon Chung, Anna Herzberger, Andrea Lenschow, Altaaf Mechiche-Alami, Jens Newi, James Roche, and Jing Sun. Spillover systems in a telecoupled Anthropocene: Typology, methods, and governance for global sustainability. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 33:5869.
  • Type: Book Chapters Status: Accepted Year Published: 2018 Citation: Liu, Jianguo, Anna Herzberger, Kelly Kapsar, Andrew Carlson, Thomas Connor. What is telecoupling? In Global Land-Use Change: The relevance of telecoupling research. (Eds. Jonas �stergaard Nielsen and Cecilie Friis). Palgrave Macmillan Publishers Ltd. (in press)
  • Type: Book Chapters Status: Accepted Year Published: 2018 Citation: Liu, Jianguo. Pandas and People in China. In Shepherding Nature: The Challenge of Conservation Reliance (eds., J. Michael Scott, Dale D. Goble, John A. Wiens, and Beatrice Van Horne). Cambridge University Press (in press)
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Yang, Hongbo, Frank Lupi, Jindong Zhang, Xiaodong Chen, Jianguo Liu 2018 Feedback of telecoupling: The case of a payments for ecosystem services program. Ecology and Society 23 (2):45.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Accepted Year Published: 2018 Citation: Schaffer-Smith, Danica, Stephanie Tomscha, Karl Jarvis, Dorothy Maguire, Michael Treglia, 2018 Jianguo Liu Network analysis as a tool for quantifying the dynamics of metacoupled systems: an example using global soybean trade. Ecology and Society. (jn press)
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Dou, Yue, Ramon Felipe Bicudo da Silva, Hongbo Yang, Jianguo Liu 2018 Spillover effect offsets the conservation effort in the Amazon. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 28(11): 1715-1732.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: McCord, Paul, Francesco Tonini, and Jianguo Liu. 2018 The Telecoupling GeoApp: A Web-GIS Application to Systematically Analyze Telecouplings and Sustainable Development. Applied Geography 96:1628.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Zhang, Jindong, Thomas Connor, Hongbo Yang, Zhiyun Ouyang, Shuxin Li, Jianguo Liu 2018. Complex effects of natural disasters on protected areas through altered telecouplings. Ecology and Society 23 (3):17.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Wang, Liyan, Anna Herzberger, Liyun Zhang, Yi Xiao, Yaqing Wang, Yang Xiao, Jianguo Liu, Zhiyun Ouyang. 2018. Spatial and Temporal Changes of Arable Land Driven by Urbanization and Ecological Restoration in China. Chinese Geographical Science, egeoscien.neigae.ac.cn.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Zhang, Wei, Lei Zhang, Ying Li, Yuling Tian, Xiaoran Li, Xue Zhang, Arthur P.J. Mol, David A. Sonnenfeld, Jianguo Liu, Zeyu Ping, Long Chen. 2018. Neglected environmental health impacts of China's supply-side structural reform Environment International 115:97-103.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Yang, Hongbo, Thomas Dietz, Wu Yang, Jindong Zhang, and Jianguo Liu 2018 Changes in human well-being and rural livelihoods under natural disasters. Ecological Economics 151:184194.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Carlson, Andrew K., William W. Taylor, Jianguo Liu, Ivan Orlic. 2018. Peruvian anchoveta as a telecoupled fisheries system. Ecology and Society 23(1):35.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Wu, Wenbin, Qiangyi Yu, Liangzhi You, Kevin Chen, Huajun Tang, Jianguo Liu 2018. Global cropping intensity gaps: Increasing food production without cropland expansion. Land Use Policy, DOI10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.02.032.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Martin Schr�ter, Thomas Koellner, Rob Alkemade, Sebastian Arnhold, Kenneth J. Bagstad, Karl-Heinz Erb, Karin Frank, Thomas Kastner, Meidad Kissinger, Jianguo Liu, Laura L�pez-Hoffman, Joachim Maesm, Alexandra Marquesm, Berta Mart�n-L�pez, Carsten Meyer, Catharina J. E. Schulp, Jule Thober, Sarah Wolff, Aletta Bonn. 2018. Interregional flows of ecosystem services: Concepts, typology and four cases. Ecosystem Services, 10.1016/j.ecoser.2018.02.003.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Tang, Ying, Julie A. Winkler, Andr�s Vi�a, Jianguo Liu, Yuanbin Zhang, Xiaofeng Zhang, Xiaohong Li, Fang Wang, Jindong Zhang, and Zhiqiang Zhao. 2018 Uncertainty of future projections of species distributions in mountainous regions. PLoS One 13(1):e0189496.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Liu, Jianguo 2017 Integration across a metacoupled world. Ecology and Society 22(4):29. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-09830-220429.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Liu, Jianguo, Vanessa Hull, H. Charles J. Godfray, David Tilman, Peter Gleick, Holger Hoff, Claudia Pahl-Wostl, Zhenci Xu, Min Gon Chung, Jing Sun, Shuxin Li 2018 Nexus approaches to global sustainable development. Nature Sustainability 1(9):466476.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Sun, J., H. Mooney, W. B. Wu, H. J. Tang, Y. X. Tong, Z. C. Xu, B. R. Huang, Y. Q. Cheng, X. J. Yang, D. Wei, F. S. Zhang and J. G. Liu (2018). "Importing food damages domestic environment: Evidence from global soybean trade." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 115(21): 5415-5419.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Yang, Hongbo, Wu Yang, Jindong Zhang, Thomas Conner and Jianguo Liu. 2018. Revealing pathways from payments for ecosystem services to socioeconomic outcomes. Science Advances 4(3), eaao6652.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Accepted Year Published: 2018 Citation: Liu, Jianguo, Andr�s Vi�a, Wu Yang, Shuxin Li, Weihua Xu, and Hua Zheng 2018 Chinas environment on a metacoupled planet. Annual Review of Environment and Resources (in press).
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Accepted Year Published: 2018 Citation: Hull, Vanessa and Jianguo Liu 2018 Telecoupling: A New Frontier for Global Sustainability. Ecology and Society (in press).


Progress 12/01/16 to 09/30/17

Outputs
Target Audience:Scientific communities, decision makers, and general public. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Students have been given opportunities to attend and give presentations at professional meetings. Staff members have attended relevant training courses for further knowledge and skills. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?The objectives of the proposed research are to: (A) Develop systems models which integrate ecological and socioeconomic factors; (B) Provide information for decision-makers and wildlife managers to evaluate long-term management scenarios; and (C) Understand the mechanisms of wildlife dynamics on landscape mosaics. The products of this project will include new understanding of some complex issues and user-friendly computer models which managers and researchers can use to project long-term ecological-socioeconomic consequences of various management alternatives. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?I plan to submit a number of grant proposals, write papers for publication, disseminate research findings to the general public, and give presentations at professional meetings.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? More ecological and socioeconomic data have been collected. More than a dozen presentations have been given at national and international conferences as well as other universities (e.g., keynote talk at international conference on Landscape Ecology conference held in California). Thirteen papers and one book have been published, in addition to a number of papers which are now in press. We have quantified how different factors (e.g., socioeconomic, demographic, geographic, and ecological) interactively affect wildlife habitat across human-influenced landscapes. The results provide useful information and insight into a better understanding of human-environment interactions. The tools and data generated will be also useful for similar studies in many other parts of the world as human impacts on landscapes and wildlife continue to increase dramatically.

Publications

  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2016 Citation: Yang, D., J. Cai, V. Hull, K. Wang, Y.-P. Tsang, and J. Liu. 2016. New road for telecoupling global prosperity and ecological sustainability. Ecosystem Health and Sustainability 2(10).
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2016 Citation: Yang, W., D. W. Hyndman, J. A. Winkler, A. Vi�a, J. M. Deines, F. Lupi, L. Luo, Y. Li, B. Basso, C. Zheng, D. Ma, S. Li, X. Liu, H. Zheng, G. Cao, Q. Meng, Z. Ouyang, and J. Liu. 2016. Urban water sustainability: framework and application. Ecology and Society 21(4).
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2016 Citation: Hull, V., J. D. Zhang, J. Y. Huang, S. Q. Zhou, A. Vina, A. Shortridge, R. G. Li, D. A. Liu, W. H. Xu, Z. Y. Ouyang, H. M. Zhang, and J. G. Liu. 2016. Habitat Use and Selection by Giant Pandas. Plos One 11(9).
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2016 Citation: Wang, F., and J. Liu. 2017. Conservation planning beyond giant pandas: the need for an innovative telecoupling framework. Science China Life Sciences 60(5):551-554.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Xu, W. H., Y. Xiao, J. J. Zhang, W. Yang, L. Zhang, V. Hull, Z. Wang, H. Zheng, J. G. Liu, S. Polasky, L. Jiang, Y. Xiao, X. W. Shi, E. M. Rao, F. Lu, X. K. Wang, G. C. Daily, and Z. Y. Ouyang. 2017. Strengthening protected areas for biodiversity and ecosystem services in China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 114(7):1601-1606.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Sun, J., Y. X. Tong, and J. G. Liu. 2017. Telecoupled land-use changes in distant countries. Journal of Integrative Agriculture 16(2):368-376.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Hulina, J., C. Bocetti, H. Campa Iii, V. Hull, W. Yang, and J. Liu. 2017. Telecoupling framework for research on migratory species in the Anthropocene. Elem Sci Anth 5:5.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Zhang, J. D., V. Hull, Z. Y. Ouyang, R. G. Li, T. Connor, H. B. Yang, Z. J. Zhang, B. Silet, H. M. Zhang, and J. G. Liu. 2017. Divergent responses of sympatric species to livestock encroachment at fine spatiotemporal scales. Biological Conservation 209:119-129.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Zhang, J. D., V. Hull, Z. Y. Ouyang, L. He, T. Connor, H. B. Yang, J. Y. Huang, S. Q. Zhou, Z. J. Zhang, C. Q. Zhou, H. M. Zhang, and J. G. Liu. 2017. Modeling activity patterns of wildlife using time-series analysis. Ecology and Evolution 7(8):2575-2584.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Xu, W. H., Y. Xiao, J. J. Zhang, W. Yang, L. Zhang, V. Hull, Z. Wang, H. Zheng, J. G. Liu, S. Polasky, L. Jiang, Y. Xiao, X. W. Shi, E. M. Rao, F. Lu, X. K. Wang, G. C. Daily, and Z. Y. Ouyang. 2017. Need for a new protected area category for ecosystem services REPLY. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 114(22):E4319-E4320.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Xu, Z. C., Y. Tang, T. Connor, D. P. Li, Y. K. Li, and J. G. Liu. 2017. Climate variability and trends at a national scale. Scientific Reports 7
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Vina, A., and J. G. Liu. 2017. Hidden roles of protected areas in the conservation of biodiversity and ecosystem services. Ecosphere 8(6).
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Kramer, D. B., J. Hartter, A. E. Boag, M. Jain, K. Stevens, K. A. Nicholas, W. J. McConnell, and J. G. Liu. 2017. Top 40 questions in coupled human and natural systems (CHANS) research. Ecology and Society 22(2).
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Yang, H., A. Vi�a, Y. Tang, J. Zhang, F. Wang, Z. Zhao, and J. Liu. 2017. Range-wide evaluation of wildlife habitat change: A demonstration using Giant Pandas. Biological Conservation 213(Part A):203-209.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Carlson, A. K., W. W. Taylor, J. G. Liu, and I. Orlic. 2017. The Telecoupling Framework: An Integrative Tool for Enhancing Fisheries Management. Fisheries 42(8):395-397.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Silva, R., M. Batistella, Y. Dou, E. Moran, S. Torres, and J. Liu. 2017. The Sino-Brazilian Telecoupled Soybean System and Cascading Effects for the Exporting Country. Land 6(3):53.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Hyndman, D. W., T. Xu, J. M. Deines, G. Cao, R. Nagelkirk, A. Vi�a, W. McConnell, B. Basso, A. D. Kendall, S. Li, L. Luo, F. Lupi, D. Ma, J. A. Winkler, W. Yang, C. Zheng, and J. Liu. 2017. Quantifying changes in water use and groundwater availability in a megacity using novel integrated systems modeling. Geophys. Res. Lett. Geophysical Research Letters(5).
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Torres, A., J. Brandt, K. Lear, and J. G. Liu. 2017. A looming tragedy of the sand commons. Science 357(6355):970-971.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2017 Citation: Xu, W., A. Vi�a, L. Kong, S. L. Pimm, J. Zhang, W. Yang, Y. Xiao, L. Zhang, X. Chen, J. Liu, and Z. Ouyang. 2017. Reassessing the conservation status of the giant panda using remote sensing. Nature Ecology & Evolution.doi:10.1038/s41559-017-0317-1.