Progress 08/01/16 to 07/31/21
Outputs Target Audience:Although the Mental Modeler software was originally developed specifically for use for environmental decision-making/ research it has become popularized as a general modeling for research and for teaching across other disciplines. For example, 200 peer reviewed journal articles or book chapters across many research areas (planning, agricultural science, economics, computer science, psychology, etc.) were published since this Hatch project was started in 2016 (see https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=%22mental+modeler%22&hl=en&as_sdt=0%2C23&as_ylo=2016&as_yhi=2021). Additionally, given the COVID-19 driven large-scale transition to online learning, in April of 2019 the site had ~ 2500 users monthly (mostly students) and in September of 2020 had 7,000 users monthly. Finally, two workshops on using the software have been given to researchers at the Innovations in Collaborative Modeling Field Schools in 2019 and 2021 (see https://modeling.engage.msu.edu/) Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Formal training workshops have been given in 2019 and 2021 in collaboration with Michigan State University's Office of Engagement and Outreach through the Innovations in Collaborative Modeling Field School (see https://modeling.engage.msu.edu/) How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?More generally the following online videos were developed for more general audiences Video 1 Introduction to Systems Thinking and Modeling https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6EZMtAapqCw&t=2s This video provides an introduction to Systems Thinking, including the dimensions and characteristics of Systems Thinkers and the way Systems Thinkers approach both tame and wicked problems. Video 2 Modeling for Systems Thinking https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=km_0_3WYP_g This video provides an overview of how systems modeling can support Systems Thinking. It provides an overview of some of the common qualitative, semi-quantitative and quantitative systems modeling tools. Video 3 What is Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HNEfGppZptU&t=99s This video provides an overview of the history and basics associated with Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping. It provides information on how Fuzzy Cognitive Maps are developed, what they mean, and how structural and functional dimensions of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps can be represented and understood. Video 4 Introduction to Mental Modeler https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UbKzyDctkrY This video provides an overview of how to develop Fuzzy Cognitive Maps using the Mental Modeler software. It provides an overview of the different parts of the software and demonstrates how to make a simple model. Additional resources on how to save and send Mental Modeler files can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v1A_ZGO6fWk Video 5 Evaluating and Improving your Model 1 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Ct3WiZpDgY This video provides an overview of how to reflect on the structure (nodes and edges) and function (dynamics) of your model. It also introduces the idea of 'parsimony' or the idea that the best model is the one that communicates the most information in the simplest manner. Video 6 Evaluating and Improving your Model 2 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R3R-XYjaPGA This video identifies how to reflect about your model, including how to think about major "drivers" of systems change, how to evaluate models in terms of identifying 'leverage points' and how to evaluate model dynamics in terms of evaluating 'trade-offs'. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?
Nothing Reported
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
All three overarching goals of the project were met during this project period as evidenced by increased usage of the Mental Modeler software for teaching and in research and software maintenence.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2021
Citation:
Baqir, L., P. Aminpour, S. Gray, M. Williams, L. B�chi, J. Haggar, P. Grabowski, J. Dambiro.
Mapping farmer perceptions, conservation agriculture practices and on-farm
measurements: the role of systems thinking in the process of adoption. Agricultural Systems. 191, 103171.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2021
Citation:
Furman, K. S., Aminpour, P., Gray, and S. Scyphers. (2021). Mental models for assessing social-
ecological systems following disasters: a case study contextualizing natural and built shorelines after Hurricane Irma. Marine Policy 125, 104334.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Aminpor, P., S. Gray, A. Jetter, J. Introne, and R. Arlinghaus. (2020) The wisdom of stakeholder
crowds in complex social-ecological systems. Nature Sustainability. 3(13), 191-199.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2021
Citation:
Aminpor, P, S. Gray, A. Singer, S. Scyphers, A. Jetter, R. C. Jordan, R. Murphy, and J. H.
Grabowski. (2021) The diversity bonus in pooling local knowledge about complex problems. Proceedings of the National Academies of Sciences. 118 (5).
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2021
Citation:
Schwerner, H., P., Aminpour, S. Funk S. Gray, C. Reza*, and C. Mollimon (2021). Modeling
Social-ecological knowledge diversity. (2021) Conservation Science and Practice 3 (5), e396.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2021
Citation:
Hedelin, B, S., Gray, S. Woehlke, T. BenDor, A. Singer, R.C. Jordan, P. Giabbanelli , P. Glynn,
K. Jenni, A Jetter, N. Kolagani, B. Laursen, K. Leong, L. Schmitt Olabisi, E. Sterling, and M. Zellner (2021). Whats left before participatory modeling can fully support real-world environmental planning processes: A case study review. Environmental Modeling and Software. 143. 105073.
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Progress 10/01/19 to 09/30/20
Outputs Target Audience:Although the Mental Modeler software was originally developed specifically for use for environmental decision-making/research it has become popularized as a general modeling for research and for teaching across other disciplines. For example, 60 peer reviewed journal articles or book chapters across many research areas (planning, agricultural science, economics, computer science, psychology, etc.) were published in 2019-2020. Additionally, given the COVID-19 driven large-scale transition to online learning, in April of 2019 the site had ~ 2500 users monthly (mostly students) and in September of 2020 had 7,000 users monthly. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Training sessions and outreach presentations were given at the Ohio State University and Oberlin College prior to COVID-19. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Publications (see 2020 journal reporting) and research presentations. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?
Nothing Reported
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
Major goals of this proposal/project remain unchanged.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Barnhagen, C., P. Howard, and S. Gray. A birds eye view: Fruit grower interest in adoption of raptor nest boxes. Agroecology and Sustainable Food Systems
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Barnhagen, C., P. Howard and S. Gray. Farmer mental models of biological pest control: Associations with adoption of conservation practices in blueberry and cherry orchards. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems
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Progress 10/01/18 to 09/30/19
Outputs Target Audience:The overarching goal of this project is to continue to develop, promote and support a USDA-funded decision-supportframework, tailored software (www.mentalmodeler.org) and web-based portal that addresses unique sector-specificdecision-making needs of a range of natural resource user and management groups in the US (e.g. agriculture, fishingindustry, forestry industry and conservation groups) allowing them to understand, communicate and share information aboutnatural resource management issues. In this reporting period several federal agences including NOAA, the Bureau of landmanagement (BLM) and US Fish and Wildlife have adopted the software for use in their conservation planning. Additionallyan increasing number of scientific researchers are using the software in their research and the software is now also beingused to teach introductory systems-based modeling in undergradaute STEM classrooms Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?I have given 6 academic presentations built around the software and two formal Mental Modeler workshops How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?
Nothing Reported
What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?
Nothing Reported
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
With regard to Goal 1 a majority of this year was spent transitioning the software from Adobe Flash (which is no longer supported) to the more sustainable HTML5 (Java-based code) to ensure the software will remain functional into perpetuity. With regard to Goal 2 I have given two Mental Modeler workshops and co-developed/co-lead a participatory modeling workshop (see https://modeling.engage.msu.edu/) With regard to Goal 3 I have authored/co-authored new manuscripts that use the software in the undergraduate STEM classroom and also extended the use of the software into the medical/health fields (see publication products).
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Sterling, E., M. Zellner, K. Leong, K. Jenni, S., R. Jordan, T. BenDor, A. Jetter, L. Schmitt-Olabisi, M. Paolisso, K. Hubacek, P. Bommel, G. Bammer and S. Gray. Try, try again: Lessons learned from success and failure in participatory modeling. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2020
Citation:
Gray, S., E., Sterling, C. Wei, S. Akabas, A. Singer, P. Giabbanelli, R. Jordan, J. Hodbod. P. Aminpour and P. Norris. Assessing (social-ecological) systems thinking using concept mapping techniques . Sustainability
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Cholewicki, J., JM Popovich Jr, P Aminpour, SA Gray, AS Lee, PW Hodges. Development of a collaborative model of low back pain: report from the 2017 NASS consensus meeting. The Spine Journal 19 (6), 1029-1040.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Awaiting Publication
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Hodges, P., J. Cholewicki, J. Popovic, A. Lee, P.Aminpour, and S. Gray. Building a collaborative model of Sacro-iliac joint dysfunction to understand the diverse perspective of experts PM&R Journal: The Journal of Injury, Function and Rehabilitation. (in press)
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Progress 10/01/17 to 09/30/18
Outputs Target Audience:The overarching goal of this project is to continue to develop, promote and support a USDA-funded decision-support framework, tailored software (www.mentalmodeler.org) and web-based portal that addresses unique sector-specific decision-making needs of a range of natural resource user and management groups in the US (e.g. agriculture, fishing industry, forestry industry and conservation groups) allowing them to understand, communicate and share information about natural resource management issues. In this reporting period several federal agences ncluding the National Academies of Science and the FFAR funded work based on the software developed through these funds. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Invited talks at 3 universities for "tutorials" on using the Mental Modeler sofrware for teaching and research How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?
Nothing Reported
What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?With additional funding from NSF, the software will be moved to HTML5 a more sustainable platform than the software's current language.
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
All three goals are ongoing. The sofrware is now been downloaded by 2000+ unique researchers and is accessed > 50 times daily. I receive several emails weekly inquiring about the application of the software to new domains of research far outside my area of context expertise which often leads to new collaborations and a chance for me to learn about the complex problems that other researchers are seeking to address. What is most exciting for me in terms of impact, however, is that I am now seeing journal articles and projects- that I am in no way connected to- emerge from researchers who use my software and modeling methods. Such projects provide evidence of sustainable adoption. For example, two federal agencies including NOAA and USFWS now use Mental Modeler as part of their standard ecosystem and conservation assessment practices which is extremely rewarding professionally. In addition, according to Google Scholar, in the first seven months of 2017, 19 papers were published (to which I had no direct connection) that used the software in many applications in environmental assessment but also applications in areas such as modeling social protest in Brazil, tracking E-learning in students, studying the feasibility of electronic motors, understanding STEM workforce retention for urban youth, soft-systems approaches to modeling smart-energy grids and analysis of entrepreneurship in the high tech industry.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Voinov, A., K. Jenni, S. Gray, N. Kolagani, P. Glynn, P. Bommel, C. Prell, M. Zellner, M.
Paolisso, R.C. Jordan, E. Sterling, L.Schmitt Olabisi, P. Giabbanelli, Z. Sun, C. Le Page, S. Elsawah, T. K. BenDor, K. Hubacek, B. K. Laursen, A. Jetter, L. Basco Carrera, A. Singer, L. Young, J. Brunacini, and A. Smajgl. (2018) Tools and methods in participatory modeling: selecting the right tool for the job. Environmental Modeling and Software. 109: 232-255.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Huang, J., C. Hmelo-Silver, R.C. Jordan, S. Gray, T. Frensley, and G. Newman, Scientific
discourse of citizen scientists: Models as a boundary object for collaborative problem-solving. (2018) Computers in Human Behavior. 87: 480-492.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Metzger, A., S. Gray, E. Douglas, N. Haigh, and P. Kirshen. Categorizing and
clustering knowledge in Fuzzy Cognitive Maps. International Journal of System of Systems Engineering (in press)
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Jordan, R.C., A. Crall, C. Hmelo-Silver, Indiana University, S. Gray, G. Newman Developing
model-building as a scientific practice in collaborative citizen science. Natural Sciences Education (in press)
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Progress 10/01/16 to 09/30/17
Outputs Target Audience:The overarching goal of this project is to continue to develop, promote and support a USDA-funded decision-support framework, tailored software (www.mentalmodeler.org) and web-based portal that addresses unique sector-specific decision-making needs of a range of natural resource user and management groups in the US (e.g. agriculture, fishing industry, forestry industry and conservation groups) allowing them to understand, communicate and share information about natural resource management issues. In this reporting period several federal agences including NOAA, the Bureau of land management (BLM) and US Fish and Wildlife have adopted the software for use in their conservation planning. Additionally an increasing number of scientific researchers are using the software in their research and the software is now also being used to teach introductory systems-based modeling in undergradaute STEM classrooms. Changes/Problems:NA What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?I have given 4 workshops on the Mental Modeler software in the last year at the University of Hawaii, National Autonomous University of Mexico, Columbia University, Michigan State Univeristy. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Through publications, websites, and workshops mentioned previously. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Focus on continued maintanance of the software and lead the NSF project that will inform Goal 2 (evaluate the effectiveness and use of the tool with stakeholders, researchers, natural resource managers and other software users through formal evaluations) identified in the original proposal.
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
The www.mentalmoder.org website has been maintained and updated as new information becomes available (Goal 1) and the new outreach site www.mentalmodeling.org is now live (Goal 3). Formal evaluations of effectiveness of the tool in fostering system thinking and systems-modeling is now underway with a new grant leveraged (from this initial USDA funding) through NSF which runs from 2017-2019.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Gray, S., R. C. Jordan, A. Crall, G. Newman, C. Hmelo-Silver , J. Huang, W. Novak, D. Mellor, T. Frensley, M. Prysby, A. Singer. (2017). Combining participatory modelling and citizen science to support volunteer conservation action Biological Conservation. 208, 76-86.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Singer, A., S. Gray, 1A. Sadler, L. Schmitt Olabisi, K. Metta, 1R. Wallace, M. Claudia Lopez, J. Introne, M. Gorman*, and J. Henderson* (2017).Translating community narratives into semi-quantitative models to understand the dynamics of socio-environmental crises Environmental Modeling and Software. 97, 46-55.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Gray, S., A. Singer, L. Schmitt-Olabisi, J. Introne, and J. Handerson*, Identifying the causes, consequences, and solutions to the Flint Water Crisis through collaborative modeling. Environmental Justice (in press).
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Gray, S., A., Voinov, M. Paolisso, R.C Jordan, Todd BenDor, P. Glynn, B. Hedelin, K. Hubacek J. Introne, 1N. Kolagani, B. Laursen, C. Prell, L. Schmitt-Olabisi, A. Singer, E. Sterling, M. Zellner. Purpose, Processes, Partnerships, and Products: 4Ps to advance participatory socio-environmental modeling. Ecological Applications. (in press).
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Frensley, T., A. Crall, M. Stern, R.C. Jordan, S.A. Gray, M. Prysby, G. Newman, C. Hmelo-
Silver. Bridging the benefits of online and community supported citizen science: A case
study on motivation and retention with volunteers. Citizen Science: Theory and Practice
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Giabbanelli, P., S.A. Gray, and P. Aminpour. 2017. Combining fuzzy cognitive maps with agent-
based modeling: frameworks and pitfalls of a powerful hybrid modeling approach to understand human-environment interactions Environmental Modeling and Software. 95:320-325.
- Type:
Websites
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
http://www.mentalmodeling.org/
- Type:
Book Chapters
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Gray, S.A. and S. Scyphers. 2017. Innovations in Collaborative Science: Advancing citizen
science, crowdsourcing and participatory modeling to understand and manage marine social-ecological systems. In Levin, PS and M. Poe Editors. Conservation in the Anthropocene Ocean: Interdisciplinary Science in Support of Nature and People. Elsevier, San Diego
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Progress 08/01/16 to 09/30/16
Outputs Target Audience:The audience for this project are (1) academic researchers engaged in the natural resource science and agricultural sciences and (2) federal natural resource management agency personnel Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?
Nothing Reported
How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?
Nothing Reported
What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Educational materials will be published online through the website in the next year of the project.
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
The project has been active for 2 months and while initial work has begun, the goals of this project have not yet been accomplished. However, the website is on the web (www.mentalmodeler.org) and drafting of educational materials has begun.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Awaiting Publication
Year Published:
2016
Citation:
Gray, S., R. C. Jordan, A. Crall, G. Newman, C. Hmelo-Silver , J. Huang, W. Novak, D. Mellor,
T. Frensley, M. Prysby, A. Singer. 2016. Combining participatory modelling and citizen science to support volunteer conservation action (in press) Biological Conservation
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