Progress 10/28/14 to 09/30/19
Outputs Target Audience:The target audience in this reporting period was largely an academic audience and water policymakers. Through publications I was able to expand the group of people aware of my work and create connections to colleagues that work in water resource economics. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?The work on water quality has enabled myself to learn more about survey methods in developing countries and to incorporate these methods into graduate education at my university.I have been able to develop some computer coding skills withmy students that have worked on these projects as well as training them on the components to write a succesful economics research paper. This include research design of experiments and writing grant proposals. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?The results of this research have been presented at an international water and environmental economicsconferences and published in academic journals. Additionally, they have been discussed and presented with colleagues at the W3190 annual meeting. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?
Nothing Reported
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
I published a paper that evaluated the willingness to pay for point-of-use water quality interventions in Guatamala. This, in conjunction with water testing done at a household level, demonstrated a gap in knowledge about water quality that affects the valuation for water filters and information. I developed models thatevaluatespatial policies that accomplished goals 1 and 3 of the project; in this, groundwater policies were compared in a spatially explicit bio-physical model to evaluate the effectiveness of these policies. I alsoestablished experimentally the connection between cognitive thought processes and cooperative behavior in common pool resources, which is the first paper to do so. This foundational work is informing much of the work I am continuing in the next W4190 group.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Guilfoos, T., Hayden, S., Uchida, E., & Oyanedel-Craver, V. (2019). WTP for water filters and water quality testing services in Guatemala. Water Resources and Economics, 100139.
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Progress 10/01/17 to 09/30/18
Outputs Target Audience:The target audience in this reporting period was largely an academic audience and water policymakers. Through publicationsI was able to expand the group of people aware of my work and create connections to colleagues that work in water resource economics. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?
Nothing Reported
How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?The results were disseminated through the W3190 annual group meeting and through publication in journal Nature Sustainability. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?My plan is to develop grant applications with W3190 group members to investigate groundwater management strategies and cognitive processes.
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
Published a paper that evaluated cognitive elements of common pool resource depletion which addressed goals under objective 1. This relates to the myopic depletion of shared groundwater resources can be affected by the mental scarcity presented in users. This work established experimentally the connection between cognitive thought processes and cooperative behavior in common pool resources, which is the first paper to do so. This may have large policy implications, because it means that incentive and institutions not only lead to depletion of groundwater resources, but mental scarcity also plays a significant role in the sustainability of natural resources. Further work can establish if interventions can overcome this additional hurdle.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Brozyna, C, Guilfoos, T., Atlas, S. (2018) Slow and Deliberate Cooperation in the Commons. Nature Sustainability (4), 184.
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Progress 10/01/16 to 09/30/17
Outputs Target Audience:The target audience in this reporting period was largely an academic audience and water policymakers. Through publications and presentations I was able to expand the group of people aware of my work and create connections to colleagues that work in water resource economics. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?
Nothing Reported
How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?The main avenue of presenting my research has been at conferences and through academic publications. I have been able to publish work in highly visible journals such as theAmerican Journal of Agricultural Economics. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?I look to advance the work begun in this project by continued publications in top journals as well as starting new projects that address how bargaining for environmental goods is affected by uncertainty which affects water users and water policy.
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
Published a paper that evaluated spatial depletion effects which addressedgoals 1 and 2of the project by developing a new model which incorporates exhuastion of groundwater supplies and estimates of welfare from better groundwater policies. I have also developed a new research projectto look at depletion and groundwater markets to understand how the design of groundwater markets affects welfare.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Nathaniel H Merrill, Todd Guilfoos; Optimal Groundwater Extraction under Uncertainty and a Spatial Stock Externality, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Volume 100, Issue 1, 1 January 2018, Pages 220238, https://doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aax057
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Guilfoos, Todd, and Kenneth J. Kurtz. "Evaluating the role of personality trait information in social dilemmas." Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics 68 (2017): 119-129.
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Progress 10/01/15 to 09/30/16
Outputs Target Audience:The target audience in this reporting period was largely an academic audience and water policy makers. Through publications and presentations I was able to expand the group of people aware of my work and create connections to colleagues that work in water resource economics. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?This project has allowed me to forward graduate students into primary research and authorship roles. The Graduate student supported on this project is the lead author on a groundwater policy paper in Revision and has adopted a career in water economics through a job at the EPA. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?The main avenue of presenting my research has been at conferences and through academic publications. I have been able to publish work in highly visible journals such as Water Resources Research and Land Economics with revisions in the American Journal of Agricultural Economics which includes a range of professional water economists, agriculutural policy makers, hydrologists, and engineers. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?I look to advance the work begun in this project by continued publications in top journals as well as starting new projects that address how bargaining for environmental goods is affected by uncertainty which affects water users and water policy.
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
Published a paper that evaluated spatial policies that accomplished goals 1 and 3 of the project; where simply groundwater policies were compared in a spatially explicit bio-physical model to evaluate the effectiveness of these policies. I also have another journal article in revision that incorporates a unique way to look at spatial depletion of the aquifer and groundwater management, this idea forwards goals 1 and 2, to advance methods to deal with the exhuastion of groundwater supplies and estimates of welfare from better groundwater policies.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2016
Citation:
Guilfoos, T., Khanna, N., & Peterson, J. M. (2016). Efficiency of Viable Groundwater Management Policies. Land Economics, 92(4), 618-640.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2016
Citation:
Miao, H., Fooks, J. R., Guilfoos, T., Messer, K. D., Pradhanang, S. M., Suter, J. F., ... & Uchida, E. (2016). The impact of information on behavior under an ambient-based policy for regulating nonpoint source pollution. Water Resources Research.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2016
Citation:
Booth, P. L., Guilfoos, T., & Uchida, E. (2016). Endowment Effects and Drinking Water Quality. Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, 45(2), 338-366.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2016
Citation:
Kim, C. S., & Guilfoos, T. (2016). The Effect of Cost-share Programs on Ground Water Exploitation and Nonpoint-source Pollution under Endogenous Technical Change. Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, 45(2), 394-417.
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Progress 10/28/14 to 09/30/15
Outputs Target Audience:The target audience in this reporting period was largely an academic audience and water policy makers. Through publications and presentations I was able to expand the group of people aware of my work and create connections to colleagues that work in water resource economics. Changes/Problems:The major challenges with this research agenda and formalizing new models and approaches to statistically estimate the models of behavior. Then apply these models in useful models of water use that have power to explain the coupled system of a dynamic resource and anthropogenic behavior. What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?I have been able to develop some computer coding skills of my students that have worked on these projects as well as training them on the components to write a succesful economics research paper. This include research design of experiments and writing grant proposals. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Mainly through academic conferences and discussions with Water Offices, Directors of Water Research centers such asNebraska andKansas. The presentations have been at conferences with interdisciplinary audiences which also reach engineers, hydrologists, and a host of other disciplines. Also, being a part of a Water Cluster Group at the Universtiy of Rhode Island has also provided an opportunity to expose my research to colleagues also researching water across colleges and departments at URI. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?I am designing an additional experiment that looks at cognitive mechanisms that drive cooperative behavior in a dynamic common pool resource setting and decomposing the effects that lead to biases from a dynamic decision from the biases that are made by sharing a common resource. In addition, I am looking at learning effectst that occur in these experiments that may explain some heuristics that individuals use to make cooperative decisions and how they weigh different pieces of information when making cooperative economic decisions.
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
I have developed a number of papers that are in review that have evaluated alternative water management strategies and applied them to scenario analysis in the High Plain Aquifer. These papers are in review in AJAE andLand Economics currently. In a addition I have designed laboratory experiments that investigate alternative psychological reasons for cooperative actions in a common pool resource such as groundwater. This could lead to the development of institutions that increase cooperative behavior and coalition formation in water sharing situations. Other water use decisions investigated during the period are the types of uncertianty that drive behavioral responses and cooperative behavior.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2015
Citation:
Guilfoos, Todd, and Andreas Duus Pape. "Predicting human cooperation in the Prisoners Dilemma using case-based decision theory." Theory and Decision (2015): 1-32.
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