Progress 10/01/14 to 09/30/19
Outputs Target Audience:The target audience included utility managers throughout Colorado (especially in rapidly growing urban areas along the Front Range), groundwater dependent irrigators in the Republican River Basin, and policy makers throughout the state. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?The projects were part of a partnership with Fort Collins Utilities where graduate students in the Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics worked as interns as part of the project in-order to receive access to utility data. As part of the internship the student's worked closely with utility personnel and gained valuable insight into the inner workings of water utilities. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Multiple presentations, one MS thesis, one PhD Dissertation and two publications. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?
Nothing Reported
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
Completed several projects focused on identifying determinants of municipal and industrial water use.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Suter, J.F., S. Collie, K.D. Messer, J.M. Duke, and H.A. Michael. 2019. Common Pool Resource Management at the Extensive and Intensive Margins: Experimental Evidence. Environmental and Resource Economics. 73: 973-993.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Palm-Forster, L.H., J.F. Suter, K.D. Messer. 2019. Experimental Evidence on Policy Approaches that Link Agricultural Subsidies to Water Quality Outcomes. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 101(1): 109-133.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Zhong, Hua, et al. "Who pays for water scarcity? Evaluating the welfare implications of water infrastructure investments for cities." The Annals of Regional Science (2019): 1-42.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Flyr, Matthew, et al. "Modeling Commercial Demand for Water: Exploring Alternative Prices, Instrumental Variables, and Heterogeneity." Land Economics 95.2 (2019): 211-224.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2019
Citation:
Maas, Alexander, et al. "Complements of the house: Estimating demand-side linkages between residential water and electricity." Water Resources and Economics (2019): 100140.
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Progress 10/01/17 to 09/30/18
Outputs Target Audience:Target audience included utility managers throughout Colorado (especially in rapidly growing urban areasalong the Front Range), groundwater dependent irrigators in the Republican River Basin, and policy makers throughout the state. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?
Nothing Reported
How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Gave a series of talks to stakeholders, including Incentivizing Monthly Groundwater Use Reporting in Colorado's Plains GWMD, University of Nebraska Field Day, August 23, 2018. Hydroeconomic modeling and groundwater management policies, Ogallala Aquifer Summit, Garden City, KS, April 10, 2018. Presented previous water market work to policy makers and academics in Australia. 2018 Henry Schapper Public Lecture: "Acceptability of Environmental Policies in the Lab" School of Agriculture and Environment, University of Western Australia, March 14th 2018. "The Interaction of Markets for Temporary and Permanent Water Transfers: An Experimental Analysis" Agriculture and Resource Economics Unit, School of Agriculture and Environment, UWA, March 16th 2018. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Complete development of multi-region economic model and use it to evaluate how population growth, together with various urban land-use policies impact water allocation, agricultural productivity, and rural economic activity. Demonstrate and distribute the hydroeconomic model to other regions of the Ogallala to be incorporated at other test sites for the project. Work with producers in the Republican River Basin to implement agreed upon groundwater management strategies.
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
Obj 1 Submitted grant to NSF with colleagues from CSU, University of North Texas, and University of New Mexico to explore the economic implications of de-salinization technologies from groundwater resources. Awarded: NIFA Water for Food. Evaluating Alternative Water Institution Performance in Snow-Dominated Basins: Are Food Production Systems at Risk from Changing Snow Water Availability. PIs: Kimberly Rollins, Adrian Harpold, Gi-Eu Lee,Loretta Singletary, Michael Taylor, Dale Manning, Chris Goemans, Seshadri Rajagopal. 4.9 million. Worked with colleagues in the department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at CSU to analyze the impact of tile drain systems on water quality outcomes. Submitted manuscript with colleagues Dale Manning, Chris Goemans, and Mani Rouhi Rad at CSU based on stated-preferences for increases in groundwater quantities in the Ogallala Region. Submitted manuscript with Dale Manning and Chris Goemans and Ryan Shepler related to conservation practices and preferences concerning groundwater management policies in Colorado Obj2 Worked with researchers at the University of Delaware, Johns Hopkins and Albany State University to develop and initiate a groundwater use reporting program. Worked on grant proposals with Todd Guilfoos at the University of Rhode Island to fund research on the relationship between mental stress and opinions on collective management policies amongst agricultural producers. Awarded: NRT-INFEWS: Interdisciplinary Training, Education and Research for Food-Energy-Water Systems (InTERFEWS) in Semi-Arid Regions. PI: Sybil Sharvelle, Core Participant: Chris Goemans $2,994,781.00 Obj3 Awarded:AFRI. Crop Insurance and Groundwater Consumption in the Ogallala Aquifer Region. PIs: Dale Manning, Chris Goemans $496,805. Worked with researchers at CSU, U. of Nebraska, Kansas State U., and West Texas A&M to develop an integrated hydro-economic model to assess alternative groundwater management. Initiated research with Dale Manning, Chris Goemans, and Mani Rouhi Rad at CSU that explores temporal and spatial spillovers from a groundwater retirement program in Kansas. Submitted manuscript with Dale Manning, Chris Goemans, and Aaron Hrozencik at CSU on information and preferences related to groundwater management in CO's Republican River Basin
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Awaiting Publication
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Palm-Forster, L.H., J.F. Suter, K.D. Messer. Forthcoming. Experimental evidence on policy approaches that link agricultural subsidies to water quality outcomes. American Journal of Agricultural Economics.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Lauer M., M. Sanderson, D.T. Manning, J.F. Suter, A. Hrozencik, B. Guerrero, B. Golden. 2018. Values and groundwater management in the Ogallala Aquifer region. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation 73(5): 593-600.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Monger, R., J.F. Suter, D.T. Manning, J.P. Schneekloth. 2018. Retiring Land to Save Water: Participation in Colorados Republican River Conservation Reserve Enhancement Program. Land Economics 94(1): 36-51.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Guerrero, B., B. Golden, K. Schoengold, J.F. Suter, A. Stoecker, C. Goemans, and D. Manning. 2017. Groundwater Laws Across the Ogallala Aquifer Region. Colorado Water, Nov/Dec: 12-15.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Ronayne, M., T. Sale, J.F. Suter, and D. Shugert. 2017. Evaluating the Energy Cost of Groundwater Production in the Denver Basin Aquifers. Colorado Water, Sep/Oct: 12-15.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Stone, Janine, Marco Costanigro, and Christopher Goemans. "Public Opinion on Colorado Water Rights Transfers: Are Policy Preferences Consistent with Concerns over Impacts?." Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 43.3 (2018): 403-422.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Hrozencik, R. A., et al. 2018. The heterogeneous impacts of groundwater management policies in the Republican River Basin of Colorado. Water Resources Research 53.12: 10757-10778.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Awaiting Publication
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Burkhardt, J., M. Flyr, C. Goemans, L. Hans, A. Neel., A. Maas. Forthcoming. Modelling Commercial Demand for Water: Exploring alternative prices, instrumental variables, and heterogeneity. Land Economics
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Kroll, Stephan and Aric Shafran. 2018. Spatial Externalities in Interdependent Security Games,Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 56/3, 237-257.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Hoag, Dana LK, Chris Goemans, and Anthony Orlando. "Sustainable policies that align irrigation and water quality." Western Economics Forum. Vol. 16. No. 1. Western Agricultural Economics Association, 2018.
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Progress 10/01/16 to 09/30/17
Outputs Target Audience:Target audience included utility managers in northern Colorado along the Front Range, irrigators in the Republican River Basin, and policy makers throughout the state. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?
Nothing Reported
How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?This work was presented to a variety of groups including utility water managers, participants in the Colorado Foundation for Water Education's Water Fluency course, members of Colorado Water Congress, the 2017 UCOWR workshop, as well as to stakeholders at the 2017 Annual OWCAP meeting. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Complete development of multi-region economic model and use it to evaluate how population growth, together with various urban land-use policies impact water allocation, agricultural productivity, and rural economic activity. Demonstrate and distribute the hydroeconomic model to other regions of the Ogallala to be incorporated at other test sites for the project. Work with producers in the Republican River Basin to implement agreed upon groundwater management strategies.
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
Along with other researchers at CSU, the project team worked in three major areas (1) expanding previous groundwater model efforts to develop a generalizable modelling framework to be used across the entire Ogallala aquifer, (2) developing a multi-region economicmodel of the South Platte river basin, (3) evaluation of the effectiveness of residential and industrial water conservation policies.As part of the OWCAP project, a general framework for modelling the impact of groundwater policies on producer behavior and aquifer health was developed and coded, as well as integrated with the agronomic and hydrologic models being developed as part of the project. It is worth noting that following the completion of the modelling and outreach work completed in 2016, several groundwater management districts adopted a resolution to reduced annual pumping. Project team members are working with producers to implement pumping policies identified as part of the previous work. Significant progress was made toward completing thecomputable general equilibrium model linking the rural, urban interface, and urban economies of the South Platte. Finally, together with Fort Collins Utilities, researchers in the department worked to analyzetrends in industrial water use and identify demand-siderelationships between water and electricity use for residential customers.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Maas, A. S., Dozier, A. Q., Manning, D., Goemans, C. G. (2017). Water Storage in a Changing Environment: The impact of allocation institutions on value. Water Resources Research.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Dozier, A. Q., Arabi, M., Wostoupal, B. C., Goemans, C. G., Zhang, Y., Paustian, K. H. (2017). Declining agricultural production in rapidly urbanizing semi-arid regions: Policy tradeoffs and sustainability indicators. Environmental Research Letters, 12(8). http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7287/meta
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Maas, A. S., Goemans, C. G., Manning, D., Kroll, S., Brown, T. (2017). Dilemmas, Coordination and Defection: How Uncertain Tipping Points Induce Common Pool Resource Destruction. Games and Economic Behavior.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Maas, A., Goemans, C. G., Manning, D., Kroll, S., Arabi, M., Rodriguez McGoffin, M. (2017). Evaluating the Effect of Conservation Motivations on Residential Water Demand. Journal of Environmental Management, 196, 394-401.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Manning, D., Goemans, C. G., Maas, A. S. (2017). Producer Responses to Surface Water Availability and Implications for Climate Change Adaptation. Land Economics.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Hrozencik, R. A., Manning, D., Suter, J., Goemans, C. G., Bailey, R. T. (in press). The Heterogeneous Impacts of Groundwater Management Policies in the Republican River Basin of Colorado. Water Resources Research.
- Type:
Other
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Suter, J., Manning, D., Goemans, C. G. (2017). Groundwater Laws Across the Ogallala Aquifer Region. Colorado Water.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Kroll, S., & Suter, J. (2017). Introduction to the Special Issue: Experiments on Environmental and Natural Resource Policies. Strategic Behavior and the Environment, 7(1-2), 1-7.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Cherry, T. L., Kallbekken, S., & Kroll, S. (2017). Accepting market failure: Cultural worldviews and the opposition to corrective environmental policies. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 85, 193-204.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Brown, T. C., & Kroll, S. (2017). Avoiding an uncertain catastrophe: climate change mitigation under risk and wealth heterogeneity. Climatic Change, 141(2), 155-166.
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Progress 10/01/15 to 09/30/16
Outputs Target Audience:The target audience included policy makers and irrigated agricultural producers located with the Republican River Basin. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?As part of the OgallalaNIFA CAP grant we have been colloborating with researchers across seven states to expand our hydro-economic modelling approach into their areas. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?The water market modelling effort was presented to stakeholders at the UWIN Front RangeStakeholderWorkshop (August 2, 2016) , as well as to researchersatthe NSF Water Sustainability and Climate Investigator Meeting (March 10th, 2016). Several workshops were held in the fall of 2016 to present projects results and begin discussions surrounding identifying target pumping reductions. Various aspects of the research were also covered in the popular press. Examples include:"CSU-led Team Investigates Water Depeletion in Ogallal Aquifer Region", The Rocky Mountain Collegian, April 25th, 2016; "CSU Ag and Resource Economists Examine Water Trade-Offs", Coyote Gulch, February 26th, 2016;"A Price for the Priceless", Headwaters Magazine, August 30th, 2016. Project findings were also disseminated via thefollowing conference/workshop presentations : "Water Markets in Semi-Arid River Basins in the Face of Growing M&I Demands and Changing Climate", NSF Water Sustainability and Climate Investigator Meeting, March 10th, 2016 (presenter) "Water Pricing and Valuation", Public Policy and American Drinking Water, Marquette Law School, September 7th, 2016 (invited speaker) "Putting Prices into Context: How do Weather and Policy Related Events Impact Effectiveness of Increases in the Marginal Price of Water", 2016 Annual Summer Conference, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, June 10th, 2016 Groundwater Management Policy Evaluation with a Spatial-Dynamic Hydro-Economic Modelling Framework, Aaron Hrozencik, Dale Manning, Chris Goemans, and Ryan Bailey, Camp Resources, August 8th, 2016 What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?We plan to integrate the water market model with a spatially explicit Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model in the coming year which will allow us to better understand how water rights transfers impact the economies of rural and rural-urban interface communities. We also plan to continue our efforts to expand our groundwater modelling efforts.
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
Along with other researchers at CSU, the project team work centered on two major themes: (1) modelling water market activity, and associated impacts, under alternative insitutional settings and (2) estimating the acceptability and impacts of groundwater policies in the Republican River Basin. A spatially explicit water rights market model of the South Platte River Basin was developed. An overview of the project was accepted for publication in Environmental Research Letters("Declining agricultural production in rapidly urbanizing semi-arid regions: Policy tradeoffs and sustainability indicators" ). We continued our work in the Republican River Basin, completing our analysis of the impacts of groundwater policies on producers and aquifer health. We also conducted a survey of producers throughout the region to elicit their preferences for alternative management strategies designed to reduce groundwater pumping. Results from the hydro-economic analysis, as well as the survey, were summarized in a final project report to the State of Colorado and presented in a series of workshops to groundwater management districts in the Republican River Basin. Based on this work, the Water Presentation Partnership ( a working group consisting of representatives from each of the groundwater management districts) is working towards adopting a resolution that would set target reductions in groundwater pumping of 25 percent. As part of a larger group, we also received funding to expand this analysis to the entire Ogallala.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2016
Citation:
Miao, Haoran, et al. "The impact of information on behavior under an ambient?based policy for regulating nonpoint source pollution." Water Resources Research 52.5 (2016): 3294-3308.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Maas, A., Dozier, A., Manning, D. T., & Goemans, C. (2017). Water storage in a changing environment: The impact of allocation institutions on value. Water Resources Research.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Other
Year Published:
2016
Citation:
RA Hrozencik, D Manning, C Goemans, J Suter, R Bailey. (2016). Groundwater Management Policy Evaluation with a Spatial-Dynamic Hydro-Economic Modelling Framework, 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, 2016, Boston, Massachusetts
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Other
Year Published:
2015
Citation:
Goemans, Christopher, Who Wins and Who Loses? Water Markets Under Imperfectly Competitive Conditions, Upper Colorado River Basin Forum, October 29th, 2015, Grand Junction, Co.
- Type:
Book Chapters
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2016
Citation:
Goemans, Christopher, Alexander Maas. 2016. Northern Water Conservancy District. in Ronald Griffins Water Resource Economics: The Analysis of Scarcity, Policy, and Projects. , second ed., The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, USA, 2016.
- Type:
Other
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2016
Citation:
Manning, Dale, Aaron Hrozencik, Chris Goemans, Jordan Suter. 2016. An Economic Analysis of Management Strategies to Conserve Groundwater in the Republican River Basin of Colorado, Colorado Water Conservation Board Project Report
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Progress 10/01/14 to 09/30/15
Outputs Target Audience:The target audience included irrigated agricultural producers throughout the southwestern United States (particular focus on Colorado and Nevada), as well as, researchers at the University of Nevada. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?As part of our regional economic modelling efforts we are helping/working with) researchers at the U. of Nevada to complete similar analysis in their state. Our work in the Republican River basin has included a number of workshops/presentations where we have discussed the economics of groundwater use, as well as, potential policies for implementaiton. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Preliminary results of the work in the Republican River basin have been shared with a subset of stakeholders in the area. In addition to the publications and working papers written, the following presentations were given: Suter, November 2014, Common pool resource management at the extensive and intensive margins, University of Nebraska, Lincoln. Kroll, March 2015, The Interaction of Markets for Temporary and Permanent Water Transfers: An Experimental Analysis, Berlin Behavioral Economics Workshop, Berlin, Germany. Kroll, May 2015 (PCQR) and June 2015 (Kiel), Pigouvian Policies in the Lab, Potsdam Center for Quantitative Research (PCQR), Germany, and University of Kiel, Germany. Kroll, July 2015, Environmental Problems and Policies in Economic Lab Experiments: Two Examples, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany. Goemans, Christopher, Janine Stone, and James Pritchett, Value of Agricultural Water: Matching Preferences and Policies, Governor's Forum on Colorado Agriculture, February 2015, Denver, Co Stone, Janine, Marco Costanigro and Christopher Goemans, Saving Colorado Agriculture, One Gallon at a Time: A latent class model of heterogenous preferences for water policies and their impacts. July 2015, WAEA Annual Meeting, San Francisco, CA Maas, Alexander, Andre Dozier, Dale Manning, and Christopher Goemans, The Effect of Water Institutions on the Value of Water Storage in the West: Lessons from the Colorado-Big Thompson Project. July 2015, WAEA Annual Meeting, San Francisco, CA Bauman, Allison, Christopher Goemans, James Pritchett, and Dawn Thilmany, Modeling Imperfectly Competitive Water Markets in the Western US, July 2015, AAEA Annual Meeting, San Francisco, CA Manning, Dale, and Christopher Goemans, Climate Change and Crop Production in the Western United States: The role of surface water irrigation. July 2015, WAEA Annual Meeting, San Francisco, CA What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Scenario analysis using the regional CGE model will be completed and shared/compared with U. of Nevada researchers and disseminated to the broader public. Results from the groundwater work will be distributed to every ground waterirrigator in Colorado's portion of the Republican River basin along with a survey illiciting their preferences for the different policies. Once survey results are collected we will work with regional water districts to identify the prefered policy.
Impacts What was accomplished under these goals?
Allong with other researchers at CSU, Kroll, Goemans, and Suter's work centered on two major themes: (1) estimating the differing impacts on semi-urban and rural communities associated with the reallocation ofland and water to accomondate population growth, and (2) identifying policies to reduce groundwater pumping in Republican River Basin that minimize impacts to the agricultural community andregional economies, as well as, promote long-term sustainable use of the aquifer. Development of a spatially explicit Computable General Equilibirum model (CGE)has begun that will allow us to develop a better understanding of how rural economies evolve after water and/or land have been removed from production. Progress to date was shared with researchers at the U. of Nevada via a series of workshops. They are using our approach to do similar analysis in Nevada. A field-level production model that is connected with a regional hydrologic model was also completed that will allow us to model a series of groundwater pumping policies. The model allows us to estimate the impact of different policies on groundwater levels, agricultural production/profits, and regional economic activity.Potential policies were identified via a series of workshops with Colorado irrigated agricultural producers. As part of this work, Suter, Manning, and Collie completed empirical research related to the influence of well-capacity constraints on groundwater user behavior using data from Kansas. Results from the Kansas study are being integrated into the Colorado work. In the next year we will work with them to elicit preferrences for the different policies given estimates of their impacts frome the model weve developed and eventually implementation.We received additional grant monies to work in both areas.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2015
Citation:
Strong, Aaron and C. Goemans. 2015. "The impact of Real-time Quantity Information on Residential Water Demand." Water Resources and Economics, Volume 10, pages 1-13.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2015
Citation:
Maas, Alex, Andre Dozier, Dale Manning, and Christopher Goemans. 2015. The Value of Stored Water and Trading in the West: Lessons from the Big-Thomspon. Colorado Water, Volume 32, Issue 1, 2015.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2014
Citation:
Li,J., H.A. Michael, J.M. Duke, K.D. Messer, and J.F. Suter. 2014. Impact of risk information in a spatially explicit groundwater environment with contamination risk: experimental evidence. Water Resources Research. 50: 6390-6405
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2015
Citation:
Costanigro, M., O. Deselnicu, S. Kroll. 2015. Food Beliefs: Elicitation, Estimation and Implications for Labeling Policy. Journal of Agricultural Economics. Volume 66, Issue 1, Pgs 108-128.
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