Progress 07/24/13 to 06/30/18
Outputs
Target Audience:During this reporting period, I reached academics presenting preliminary results in two academic conferences and publishing one journal article. Also, I reached county and city officials, extension educators, NGO rural development personnel and community leaders through workshops. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?
Nothing Reported
How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?I presented the results in one academic conference and wrote one journal article What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?
Nothing Reported
Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals?
I wrote and published a journal article. In this paper, we develop a new, two?dimensional quantitative measure of resilience using observed differences between expected and actual employment in a region following a shock and distinguish the response to the shock from random variation. We demonstrate one application of this metric to US county?level employment data to compare county responses to the 2007-2009 national recession and discuss how different regions of the United States responded to the shock of the Great Recession in terms of resilience
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2018
Citation:
Ringwood, L., Watson, P., and Lewin, P. 2018. A Quantitative Method for Measuring Regional Economic Resilience to the Great Recession. Growth and Change.
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Progress 10/01/16 to 09/30/17
Outputs
Target Audience:During this reporting period, Ireached academics presenting preliminary results in two academic conferences and publishing 1journal article. Also, Ireached county and city officials, extension educators, NGO rural development personnel and community leaders throughworkshops. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?I presented my research at the America Agricultural Economics Association meetings and the North American Regional Science Association meetings. Also, I attended the NorthwestRegional Science Association meeting. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Iintroduced the concept of community resilience andrural wealth building economic development concepts in 2workshops and2 webinars. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Finalize the educational materials that have been developed. Convert the workshop materials into standalone videos with published exercises for public use. Continue to field inquiries from communities about wealth creation concepts as needed. Ensure that partners have access to the training and educational materials as they are finalized and recorded.
Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals?
I wrote and published a journal article. This paper addresses the relationship between inequality and resilience by evaluating the vulnerability (or risk) of urban counties in the U.S. entering recession between 2006 and 2010 and tests whether income inequality contributes to their probability of recession survival. I find that, controlling for other economic, social, and locational differences, areas with increased income inequality entered recession earlier than regions with lower rates of income inequality. The article was published in the journal of Regional Science. I coordinated and facilitated 2workshops, 2 webinars, and 2 regional conference presentation as part of the outreach effort. In all of these outreach and engagement activities over 70 students, extension educators, community leaders and ONG personnelwere introduced to the resilience concept and rural wealth building economic development concepts.
Publications
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Lewin, P., Watson, P, and Brown, A. 2017. Surviving the Great Recession: the influence of income inequality in US urban counties. Regional Studies, 1-13.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Lewin, P., Watson, P, and Brown, A. 2017. Surviving the Great Recession: the influence of income inequality in US urban counties. Western Regional Science Association 56th Annual Meeting. Santa Fe, New Mexico. February 16-18, 2017.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Other
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Jablonski, B., Fannin, M., Lewin, P. Organized session: "Measuring Wealth for Developing and Evaluating Rural Development Policy and Strategy 3.0" co-organized with American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting. Chicago, IL, July 30 August 1, 2017.
- Type:
Other
Status:
Other
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Lewin, P. "The Dollar Game -Play Scenarios to Grow a Local Economy". Enfoques para el Desarrollo Rural. Universidad de Cordoba. Cordoba, Spain. January 9, 2017.
- Type:
Other
Status:
Other
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Lewin, P. "The Future Game -Pacific Northwest". Enfoques para el Desarrollo Rural. Universidad de Cordoba. Cordoba, Spain. January 10, 2017.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Other
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Lewin, P. "The Dollar Game -Play Scenarios to Grow a Local Economy". Northwest Economic Development Institute. Boise, ID, July 18, 2017.
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Progress 10/01/15 to 09/30/16
Outputs
Target Audience:Scholars in regional economics and rural development, extension educators, community leaders, county officials, and legislators. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Dr. Paul Lewin attended: "Next Generation Rural Creative Placemaking Summit", Rural Policy Research Institute (RUPRI), Iowa City, October 12-14, 2016. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest? Dr. Lewin wrote a journal article which is under review. In addition, he presented preliminary results in the following conferences: Rural Policy Research Institute (RUPRI), Spatial Analytics Group (SAG) Meeting. Idaho Association of Natural Resources and Community Development Extension Professionals (IANCDEP), Rathdrum, ID, October 19, 2016. American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting. Boston, MA, July 2, 2016. American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting. Boston, MA, July 1, 2016. Western Regional Science Association 55th Annual Meeting. Hilton Waikoloa Village, The Big Island of Hawai'i, February 17, 2016. American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting. San Francisco, CA, July 27, 2015. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Dr. Lewin willadvance his research on county economic resilience studyingthe viability of entrepreneurs and importance of human capital. He will prepare a journal article on this topic. In addition,Dr. Lewin will delivertwo additional regional workshops for WWNW in Idaho and present ASAP results in Valley Co.
Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals?
Reserach Dr. Lewin is studying the relationship between economic resilience and community capitals. He has focused his efforts on a robust measure of economic reliance that incorporates both the severity of the recession and the duration of the recession in each county in the United States. He alsoused a Cox proportional hazards model to determine factors contributing toward a county's resilience to the external shock of a recession. Emphasis was placed on the urban nature of the county and its levels of human capital,economic structure, and income inequality. Extension and Outreach Dr. Lewin hasincorporatedlessons learned from the WealthWorks Northwest (WWNW) pilot study in Oregon and the Area Sector Analysis Process (ASAP) pilot study in Montana and Nevada into the existing materials to be used in the Idaho efforts. This has required gaining a better understanding of the resources and capacities to support this work in Idaho communities. In the case of WWNW, the first materials that have been fully updated and released include: regional workshop format, presentation, and participant materials; an application for communities who are interested in using WealthWorks in their regions; and two webinars have been created which facilitate the spread of the concept and engagement after the workshops. In addition three workshops were offered in Idaho.In the case of ASAP, Dr. Lewin hasjoint efforts with the AFRI project "Sustainable Rural Development Using the Area Sector Analysis Process" to prepare extension material and deliver the program in Valley, Co Idaho.
Publications
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2016
Citation:
Core- and periphery-community dynamics on the range: A replicated socioeconomic assessment in southwestern Idaho . Western Regional Science Association 55th Annual Meeting. Hilton Waikoloa Village, The Big Island of Hawaii, February 17, 2016.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2016
Citation:
How Regional Economics Has Changed and What We Learned co-presented and organized with Thomas Harris, Steve Deller, Bruce Weber, Michael D. Woods, and Rebekka M. Dudensing. American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting. Boston, MA, July 1, 2016.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2016
Citation:
Measuring Wealth for Developing and Evaluating Rural Development Policy and Strategy 2.0 co-organized with J. Matthew Fannin and Todd M. Schmit. American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting. Boston, MA, July 2, 2016.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2016
Citation:
Area Sector Analysis Process (ASAP) Overview , co-presented with Melissa Hamilton. Idaho Association of Natural Resources and Community Development Extension Professionals (IANCDEP), Rathdrum, ID, October 19, 2016.
- Type:
Journal Articles
Status:
Under Review
Year Published:
2017
Citation:
Lewin, P.; Watson, P.; and Brown, A. Under review. Surviving the Great Recession: The Influence of Inequality in U.S. Urban Counties Regional Studies
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Progress 10/01/14 to 09/30/15
Outputs
Target Audience:Scholars in regional economics and rural development, extension educators, community leaders, county officials, and legislators. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?I did three trainings that were offered to extension educators and specialist that work in rural economic development. Two of these trainings were supported by the by Idaho State Department of Commerce. The third training was supported by the Western Extension Committee. My objective was to help extension educators to advance their skills in how to teach local economic development and make economic theory relevant for community and business leaders. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?I presented preliminary results of my resrach in three academic conferences. In addition, I met with Idaho State Legislators to discuss the importance of human capital and possible strategies to increases education in Idaho. Also, I offered three presentations about the importance of human capital in economic development to county officials and community leaders. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals? Advance research on economic resilience of rural counties and submit a journal paper presenting findings Implement the Area Sector Analysis Process program in one community in Idaho. This program will be supported by the Western Rural Development Center, University of Idaho and University of Nevada. Prepare workshops to teach how local economies work and grow
Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals?
Research: I created a data set containing variables at the county level that reflects stocks of capital available in each of the 3144 counties in the nation. Most of these variables were collected for the period 2005-2013. The variables reflect the stock of the following capitals: Physical, Natural, Financial, Human, Social, Cultural, and Political. I developed a semi-parametric cox model to estimate the factors affecting the probability that a county enters recession using the dataset previously described. I presented preliminary results in three academic conferences Extension I assisted local governments, regional economic development organizations, and community leaders to understand how their local economies work. I prepared and launch one extension program, which will start in 2016, to support communities to use their assets for creating sustainable wealth. This program will be supported by the Western Rural Development Center, University of Idaho and University of Nevada
Publications
- Type:
Theses/Dissertations
Status:
Accepted
Year Published:
2015
Citation:
Brown, Anna. 2015. A Thesis Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science with a Major in Applied Economics in the College of Graduate Studies University of Idaho
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2015
Citation:
Lewin, P. Economic Resilience OECD Annual Conference (pre-conference), Memphis, TN, May 18, 2015
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2015
Citation:
Lewin, P. & Brown, A. Measuring United States County-Level Economic Resilience to a Recession American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting. San Francisco, July 27, 2015.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2015
Citation:
Fannin, J.; Lewin, P.; & Schmit, T. Track session organization: Measuring Wealth for Developing and Evaluating Rural Development Policy and Strategy . American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting. San Francisco, July 27, 2015.
- Type:
Conference Papers and Presentations
Status:
Published
Year Published:
2015
Citation:
Lewin, P. Resiliencia Econ�mica -Un An�lisis Preliminar . VIII Seminario Internacional en Desarrollo Rural y Territorio: Din�micas de cambio y pol�ticas p�blicas. Bogota, Colombia, October 21, 2015
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Progress 10/01/13 to 09/30/14
Outputs
Target Audience: Extension educators, community leaders, county officials, and legislators in Idaho. Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided? I developed three trainings that were offered to extension educators and specialist that work in rural economic development. One of these trainings was supported by the Western Economic development Center, other by Idaho State Department of Commerce, and the last one for University of Idaho Extension. My objective was to help extension educators to advance their skills in how to teach local economic development and make economic theory relevant for community and business leaders. Also, I presented at the National College Access Network Conference. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest? I developed 10 workshops during the last year in different parts of Idaho. The objective of these trainings was to assist local governments, regional economic development organizations, and community leaders to understand how their local economies work. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals? During the next reporting period, I will research how the viability and resilience of rural counties are affected by their human capital. Also, I will develop some workshops to enhance rural counties' social capital.
Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals?
During this year, I assisted local governments, regional economic development organizations, and community leaders to understand how their local economies work. For communities to engage in a dialogue on durable economic growth and job creation it is pertinent that they have a broader understanding of how their community's economy works; particularly with respect to their local dependency on imports or exports and understand the different type of job creation that goes with each. Such an understanding is severely constrained by the abstract character of economic theory, specifically key concepts such as the implications of value-added activities and the indirect or induced impact of distant ownership. As a result, community dialogue usually follows a dominant ideology and often results in unproductive, or even counterproductive measures and investments. To make economic theory relevant for community and business leaders, I develop a curriculum base on scenarios games. This curriculum became an effective tool in demonstrating relevance and help individuals internalize complex relationships. It assists community leaders to understand their economy and define strategies for durable growth. Such an understanding is important with the introduction of valuable new economic development methods such as Rural Wealth Creation and Economic Gardening.
Publications
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Progress 07/24/13 to 09/30/13
Outputs
Target Audience:
Nothing Reported
Changes/Problems:
Nothing Reported
What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?
Nothing Reported
How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?
Nothing Reported
What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals? Since GDP is essentially a function of labor and capital, I need to collect data at the county level of various labor and capital variables. More specifically, capital is measured in terms of the seven community capitals identified by Flora and Flora: natural capital, cultural capital, human capital, social capital, political capital, financial capital, and built capital, as their research has found that communities that focus on and build upon each of these capitals tend to be more successful. Mapping GDP at the county level over the past seven years will allows for the identification of regions that experienced an economic downturn and to measure their recovery. These initial results will be broken into categories ranging from regions that significantly experienced an economic downturn but recovered quickly, significantly experienced an economic downturn but had slow recovery, did not experience much or any economic downturn, and experienced economic growth during the time period.
Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals?
The project just started in July 28, 2013. Between August and Septemeber, I identified some sources of data for this project. While the exact methodology of this analysis is [yet to be determined], the general approach is to map GDP at the county level over the past seven years. This allows for the identification of regions that experienced an economic downturn and to measure their recovery.
Publications
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