Source: USDA/ERS submitted to
FOOD MARKETS - FOOD PRICES AND FORECASTING
Sponsoring Institution
Economic Research Service/USDA
Project Status
NEW
Funding Source
USDA INHOUSE
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
0433777
Grant No.
(N/A)
Project No.
5834
Proposal No.
(N/A)
Multistate No.
(N/A)
Program Code
(N/A)
Project Start Date
Oct 1, 2008
Project End Date
Sep 30, 2025
Grant Year
(N/A)
Project Director
Park, T.
Recipient Organization
USDA/ERS
1800 M STREET NW
WASHINGTON,DC 20036
Performing Department
Economic Research Service
Non Technical Summary
As food prices have become more volatile and have increased in real terms in the U.S., the ERS Food Price Outlook has become one of the agency's most impactful data series. ERS produces monthly forecasts of the annual percent changes for food series in the Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index. In addition, ERS conducts analysis of food prices and forecasts.
Animal Health Component
(N/A)
Research Effort Categories
Basic
0%
Applied
100%
Developmental
(N/A)
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
60161103010100%
Knowledge Area
601 - Economics of Agricultural Production and Farm Management;

Subject Of Investigation
6110 - Economy of the United States and sectors thereof;

Field Of Science
3010 - Economics;
Goals / Objectives
ERS develops and monitors indicators of market-level food prices at the farm, wholesale and retail level using Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) data. This field of study is important as food prices are fundamental to research related to the economics of food choices and the dynamics of food market competition. In addition to providing analysis on current and historic price levels, ERS analyzes food prices and provides 12- to 18-month food price forecasts for 7 farm, 6 wholesale, and 19 retail food categories. The forecasting procedures have been updated to employ a vertical price transmission method that incorporates input prices at each stage of production. Where this is not possible, an autoregressive moving average approach is used. The accuracy of the current forecasting methods is compared against benchmark models such as univariate moving average models approach. Measures of forecast accuracy and adjustments are used to evaluate forecast performance and a continual analysis of the overall accuracy and performance of individual forecasts is performed. Food price inflation forecasts are used in a number of ways. Researchers and policy analysts rely on them to anticipate changes that may be necessary in the structure, size, or regulations of various food assistance programs. Professionals working throughout the food industry use ERS's forecasts to project costs, expenditures, or demand for their products and services. Because we analyze individual food categories separately, revealing changes in prices relative to other food categories, with implications for consumer choice, the forecasts inform research and decision-making on dietary quality.
Project Methods
There are several approaches for conducting research on food prices and forecasting: 1. Food Price Research: This includes using food price datasets (ERS Food Price Outlook; Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI, PPI, or Average Price Data; IRI Scanner data; etc.) to analyze topics in food choice and food market competition. 2. Food Price Trend Analysis: Using food price data to provide assessment of shocks to the food market, such as: environmental shocks to commodities (drought, disease, etc.), changes in input costs, or other changes to policies relevant to the food industry. 3. Forecast Model Improvement: Along with a consistently changing retail food price landscape, forecasting methodologies and data availability are also transforming. Therefore, new methods and datasets can be applied to current forecasting techniques to improve accuracy of existing food price forecasts. 4. Expansion of Current Data Product: Work to expand and enhance current Food Price Outlook data product page as well as apply analysis and time series forecasting techniques to new forecasts in the area of food prices and expenditures.

Progress 01/01/01 to 09/30/16

Outputs
This project anticipates trends and emerging issues by conducting high-quality, objective economic research as part of the USDA ERS mission to inform and enhance public and private decision making on economic and policy issues related to food, farming, natural resources and rural America. Findings and impacts are represented through a variety of outputs including reports, journal articles, briefings, and conference presentations. ERS shapes its research program and products to serve those who routinely make or influence public policy and program decisions. Key clientele include White House and USDA policy officials; the U.S. Congress; program administrators/managers; other Federal agencies; State and local government officials; and organizations, including farm and industry groups interested in public policy issues. Current listings of ERS published reports and data products, and journal articles by ERS researchers, can be found at www.ers.usda.gov

Impacts
(N/A)

Publications

  • Fred Kuchler, Abebayehu Tegene, and J. Michael Harris, 2005, "Taxing Snack Foods: Manipulating Diet Quality or Financing Information Programs?", Review of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 27, No. 1, pp. 4-20
  • Fu, Biao, Chiu-Fang Chou, and Jessica Todd, "Soft Drink Consumption, Soda Tax and Socioeconomic Demographics among Six U.S. Cities", pp.
  • George Davis, Andrea Carlson, "How Spurious is the Relationship Between Food Price and Energy Density? A Simple Procedure and Statistical Test", selected paper at AAEA, Seatle, WA, pp.
  • George Davis, Andrea Carlson, "How Spurus is the Relationship Between Food Prices and Energy Density", selected paper at AAEA, Seattle, WA, pp.
  • George Davis, Andrea Carlson, "The Inverse Relationship Between Food Price and Energy Density: Is It Spurious?", Public Health Nutrition, pp.
  • Golan, E., Leibtag, E., Trostle, R., Unnevehr, L., "Commodity Prices and Food Budgets", American Dietetic Association, Chicago, pp.
  • Gregory, C., "Food Prices and Food Security", Roundtable Discussants, Urban Institute, Washington DC, June 7, 2012. pp.
  • Gregory, C., "Value of Processed, Ready-to-Eat Foods: Presentation at ILSI Foundation Planning Workshop", ILSI Conference on Economic, Nutritional and Food Safety Impact of Processed Foods, Ames Iowa, pp.
  • Higgins, N., Brown, Molly; Hintermann, Beat, "A Model of West African Millet Prices in Rural Markets",
  • Jessica E. Todd, "Using the Quarterly Food-at-Home Price Database", presentation to the Scanner Data Conference at ERS, ERS, Washington, D.C., pp.
  • Jessica E. Todd, Ephraim S. Leibtag and Corttney Penberthy, Geographic Differences in the Relative Prices of Healthy Foods, Economic Information Bulletin, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Jessica E. Todd, Lisa Mancino, Ephraim Leibtag and Christina Tripodo, Quarterly Food-at-Home Price Database Methodology Report, Miscellaneous Publication, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Kuchler, F., Tegene, A., 2004, "Will snack taxes reduce obesity?", Amber Waves, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, November, pp.
  • Kuchler, F., Tegene, A., Harris, M., "DUPLICATE", DUPLICATE, DUPLICATE, pp.
  • Kuchler, F., Tegene, A., Harris, M., "Taxing Snack Foods: Manipulating Diet Quality or Financing Information Programs?", presentation at the AAEA Annual Meeting, Montreal, Quebec, July 28, 2003. pp.
  • Kuchler, F., Tegene, A., Harris, M., Taxing Snack Foods: What to Expect for Diet and Tax Revenues, Agricultural Information Bulletin, AIB 747-08, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Kuchler, F., Tegene, A., Harris, M., Taxing Snack Foods: What to Expect for Diet and Tax Revenues, Agricultural Information Bulletin, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Kuhns, A., "2015 Retail Food Price Outlook", USDA Ag Outlook Forum: 2015, Washington, DC, pp.
  • Kuhns, A., "2016 Retail Food Price Outlook", 2016 USDA Ag Outlook Forum, Washington, DC, pp.
  • Kuhns, A., "ERS Research and Data: Food Price Outlook", The Washington Conference, Washington, DC, pp.
  • Kuhns, A., "Food Institute Webinar: 2015 Retail Food Price Outlook", The Food Institute, Washington, DC, pp.
  • Kuhns, A., "How the USDA Forecasts Retail Food Inflation", ERS Price Forecasting Workshop, Washington, DC, pp.
  • Kuhns, A., "Informa: 2015 Retail Food Price Outlook", Informa Economics: Agriculture Policy Roundtable, Washington, DC, pp.
  • Kuhns, A., "Outlook for U.S. Retail Food Prices and Inflation, 2014", Informa Economics: Agriculture Policy Roundtable, Washington, DC, pp.
  • Kuhns, A., "Retail Food Price Transmission and the Drought", Food Marketing Institute - Global Sustainability Summit, Boston, MA, pp.
  • Kuhns, A., Kuhns, R., "Using Macro Variables to Forecast Retail Food Inflation", Federal Forecasters Conference, Washington, DC, pp.
  • Kuhns, A., Kuhns, R., "Using Macro Variables to Forecast Retail Food Price Inflation", Federal Forecasters Conference, pp.
  • Allshouse, J., Frazao, E., "How Much Do Americans Pay for Fruits and Vegetables?", paper presented to the United Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Assn. annual meeting, Washington, D.C., September 7, 2004. 26 pp.
  • Allshouse, J., Frazao, E., Itskowitz, R., How Much do Americans Pay for Fruits and Vegetables?, Agricultural Information Bulletin, AIB-, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Allshouse, J., Frazao, E., Itskowitz, R., How Much Do Americans Pay for Fruits and Vegetables?, Agricultural Information Bulletin, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Andrea Carlson, Mark Lino, WenYen Juan, Kristin Marcoe, Lisa Bente, Hazel A. B. Hiza, Patricia Guenther, Ephraim Leibtag, Development of the CNPP Prices Database, pp.
  • Andrea Carlson; Edward Jaenicke, "Estimates of organic price premiums and associated modeling considerations", presentation at AAEA (FSN/FAMPS session), Seatle, WA, pp.
  • Andrea Carlson; Edward Jaenicke, Organic price premium are not decreasing despite increasing market share, Economic Research Report, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Andrea Carlson; Elizabeth Frazao, "You can eat health and attend school at the same time", seminar presented to ERS distance learning participants, March 27, 2013. pp.
  • Andrea Carlson; Elizabeth Frazao, "You Can Eat Healthy and Go to Law School at the Same Time", presentation to Howard University School of Law students and faculty, Washington, DC, pp.
  • B-H Lin, "Potential Dietary Outcomes of Changing Relative Prices of Healthy and Less Healthy Foods: The Case of Breakfast Cereals", Faculty and graduate students at National Taiwan University, pp.
  • Carlson, A., "True Cost of Healthier Choices panel", panel presentation and discussion at Partnership for a Healthier America, Washington, DC, March 8, 2013. pp.
  • Carlson, A., Frazao, E., "Are Healthy Foods Really More Expensive?", general public interested in farm and public health, webinar hosted by ChangeLab Solutions, August 2, 2012. pp.
  • Carlson, A., Frazao, E., "Do Healthy Foods Cost More? It Depends on How You Measure the Cost", poster presented at AAEA Annual Meeting, Denver, CO, July 25, 2010.
  • Carlson, A., Frazao, E., "The affordability of a healthy diet depends on the food metric", presentation to the Society for Government Economists, Washington, DC, November 15, 2010. pp.
  • Carlson, A., Frazao, E., "The Cost of Convenient Foods Measured in Different Ways", organized symposium at AAEA Annual Meeting, Washington, DC, pp.
  • Carlson, A., Frazao, E., Are Healthy Foods Really More Expensive? It Depends on How you Measure the Price, Economic Information Bulletin, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Carlson, A., Stewart, H., "A Wide Variety of Fruit and Vegetables Available to SNAP Beneficiaries", U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Carlson, Andrea, Edward Jaenicke, : Retail Oorganic price premiums do not exhibit a clear trend during the years 2004-2010, Economic Research Report, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Carlson, Andrea, Elizabeth Frazao, "Food Costs, Diet Quality and Energy Balance in the US", pp.
  • Carlson, Andrea, Elizabeth Frazao, "Measuring Food Prices: A US economist's perspective", invite paper at International Society for Behavioral Nutrition and Physical Activity (ISBNPA), Edinburgh, Scotland, UK, June 3, 2015. pp.
  • Christian A. Gregory and Alisha Coleman-Jensen, "Do High Food Prices Increase Food Insecurity In the United States?", Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, pp.
  • Christian Broda, Ephraim Leibtag, and David E. Weinstein, 2009, "The Role of Prices in Measuring the Poor�s Living Standards", Journal of Economic Perspectives, 23(2), pp. 77-97
  • Datar, A., Sturm, R., 2006, "Childhood Overweight and Elementary School Outcomes", International Journal of Obesity, pp. 1449-1460
  • Dong, D., Harry Kaiser, 2010, "Investigating Household Food Interpurchase Behavior through Market Segmentation", Agribusinee: An International Journal, 26(3), pp. 389-404
  • Dong, D., Leibtag, E., Promoting Fruit and Vegetable Consumption: Are Coupons More Effective Than Pure Price Discounts?, Economic Research Report, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Dong, D., Stewart, H., 2012, "Modeling a Household's Choice Among Food Store Types", American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 94 (3), pp. 702-717
  • Dong, D., Stewart, H., Households Find Ways to Stretch Their Milk Dollar When Budgets are Tight, Economic Research Report, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Elitzak, H., Fruit and Vegetable Retail Prices: Most and Least Expensive, pp.
  • Elitzak, H., Fruits and Vegetables Retail Prices Visualization, pp.
  • Elizabeth Frazao, Andrea Carlson, and Hayden Stewart, Energy-adjusted food costs make little economic sense, pp.
  • Frazao, E., Comparing Costs of Fruits and Vegetables to Other Snack Foods, Agricultural Information Bulletin, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Leibtag, E., "2011 Ag Outlook Food Price Briefing", pp.
  • Leibtag, E., "ERS Retail Food Price Forecasts Methods for WIC Food Products", pp.
  • Leibtag, E., "Factors Affecting Retail Food Prices in 2010 and Beyond", Conference participants, New York, November 30, 2010. pp.
  • Leibtag, E., "Retail Food Price Outlook: 2007", pp.
  • Leibtag, E., "The Impact of Nontraditional Retailers on Retail Dairy Prices and the Dairy CPI", presented at AAEA Annual Meeting, Long Beach, CA, July 24, 2006. pp.
  • Leibtag, E., "Trends in Retail Food Markets: 2006 Food Price Outlook", Poultry Industry Executives, Atlanta, GA, pp.
  • Kuhns, A., Leibtag, E., Volpe, R., How the USDA Forecasts Retail Food Inflation, pp.
  • Kuhns, A., Levin, D., Beaulieu, E., "The WIC Food Package: Store Formats", Istitute of Medicine Workshop: Review of WIC Packages, Washington, DC, pp.
  • Kuhns, R., Kuhns, A., Patrick, K., "Using Dynamic Factor Models to incorporate information from many predictors: An application to forecasting fresh fruit prices", pp.
  • Kumcu, A., Volpe, R., "Disaggregated Retail Food Price Indices Using Homescan Data: An Application to Income Levels and SNAP Benefits", AAEA, Washington, DC,
  • Leibtag, E., "2006 Retail Food Price Outlook", Presentation at the Food Institute seminar on the impact of higher costs on retail food markets., St. Paul, MN, December 6, 2005. pp.
  • Leibtag, E., "Trends in US Retail Food prices and Inflation", pp.
  • Leibtag, E., 2006, The Impact of Big-Box Stores on Retail Food Prices and the CPI, Economic Research Report, U.S. Department of Agriculture, December, 35 pp.
  • Leibtag, E., Dutko, P., Barker, C., "Are Food Prices Always Lower at Wal-Mart?", Presentation at AAEA, Denver, CO, 36 pp.
  • Leibtag, E., Dutko, P., Barker, C., Patterns of Price Differences between Nontraditional and Traditional Food Retailers, Economic Research Report, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Leibtag, E., Hausman, Jerry, "CPI Bias from Supercenters", pp.
  • Leibtag, E., Kumcu, A., "Regional price variation and the WIC fruit and vegetable cash voucher", paper presentation to Society of Government Economists, Washington, DC, pp.
  • Leibtag, E., Kumcu, A., "Regional price variation and the WIC fruit and vegetable cash voucher", pp.
  • Leibtag, E., Kumcu, A., 2011, The WIC Fruit and Vegetable Cash Voucher: Does Regional Price Variation Affect Buying Power?, Economic Information Bulletin, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, May, pp.
  • Leibtag, E., Mancino, L., 2005, Food Dynamics, Economic Brief, U.S. Department of Agriculture, September, pp.
  • Leibtag, E., Todd, J., Mancino, L., "Determinants of Geographic Variation in U.S. Food Prices", poster presented at AAEA Annual Meeting, Denver, CO, July 25, 2010.
  • Leibtag, E., Volpe, R., "Outlook for U.S. Retail Food Prices and Inflation", Washington, DC, pp.
  • Leibtag, E., Where You Shop Matters: Store Formats Drive Variation in Retail Food Prices, "Where You Shop Matters", U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Levedahl, J., "Price Elasticities of Demand for Food Away from Home (FAFH)", poster presented at 2011 AAEA Annual Meeting, Pittsburg, PA, pp.
  • Levedahl, J., Reed, A., "Net Taxpayer Cost of WIC Infant Formula", selected paper at the 2012 AAEA Annual Meeting, Seattle, Washington, August 12, 2012. pp.
  • Levedahl, J., Reed, A., "Why Are WIC Sole-Source Infant Formula Rebate Contracts Valuable?", selected paper presented at 2013 WAEA Annual Meeting, Monterey, CA, June 26, 2013. pp.
  • Levedahl, J., Reed, A., Steve Clark, Nova Scotia Agricultural College, "Consistent Aggregation in Food Demand Systems", presented at AAEA Annual Meeting, Long Beach, CA, pp.
  • Levin, D., Kuhns, A., "Applying Composite Forecasting Methods to the Food Price Outlook Data Product", pp.
  • Levin, D., Kuhns, A., "Applying Composite Forecasting Methods to the Food Price Outlook Data Product", Presented at 2015 Federal Forecasters Conference, Washington, DC, September 24, 2015. 7 pp.
  • Mancino, L., Leibtag, E., Todd, J., "Geographic and time variation in U.S. food prices: Implications for diet quality", Pre-conference workshop at IAAE meetings, Beijing, China, pp.
  • Mancino, L., Todd, J., Leibtag, E., "Food Prices and Food Choices", Presentation made as part of an organized session at the AAEA Annual Meeting, pp.
  • Miguel Henry-Osorio and Diansheng Dong, "Assessing U.S. Household Demand for Dietary Fiber: A Dynamic Panel Tobit Approach", poster presented at AAEA, Seattle, Washington, August 12, 2012.
  • Molly Brown and Beat Hintermann, "A Model of West African Millet Prices in Rural Markets", pp.
  • Muth, Mary K, et. al., "Price, Nutrition, Time, and Other Trade-offs: A Web-Based Food Value Analysis Application to Compare Foods at Different Levels of Preparation and Processing", pp.
  • Natalie Valpiani, Parke Wilde, Beatrice Rogers, and Hayden Stewart, "Patterns of fruit and vegetable availability and price-competitiveness across four seasons are different in local food outlets and supermarkets.", Public Health Nutritoin, pp.
  • Natalie Valpiani, Parke Wilde, Beatrice Rogers, and Hayden Stewart, "Price Differences across Farmers' Markets, Roadside Stands, and Supermarkets in North Carolina", Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, pp.
  • Rachel Griffith, Ephraim Leibtag, Andrew Leicester, and Aviv Nevo, 2009, "Consumer Shopping Behavior: How Much Do Consumers Save?", Journal of Economic Perspectives, 23(2), pp. 99-120
  • Rahkovsky, I., Gregory, C., "Food Prices and Blood Cholesterol", pp.
  • Rahkovsky, I., Gregory, C., "Food Prices and Blood Cholesterol", selected paper presentation at AAEA Annual Meeting, Pittsburgh, PA, pp.
  • Reed, A., "AIDS Model Estimates of Food Demand and the Decline in Farm Value Shares", AAEA Annual Meetings, Pittsburgh, PA, pp.
  • Rahkovsky, I., Gregory, C., 2012, "Food Prices and Blood Cholesterol", Economics and Human Biology, online, pp.
  • Rahkovsky, I., Ricky Volpe, "Market Structure and Food Price Inflation", paper presented at AAEA Annual Meeting, San Francisco, CA, July 27, 2015. pp.
  • Rahkovsky, I., Ricky Volpe, "U.S. Retail Market Structure and Food Price Inflation AAJE submission", pp.
  • Reed, A., "Retail-Food Price Margins and Consumer Product Diversity", ERS members, Washington, DC, pp.
  • Reed, A., "Tests of the Generalized Composite Commodity Theorem in Demand Systems", presented at 2004 AAEA Annual Meeting, Denver, Colorado, pp.
  • Reed, A., Elitzak, H., Michael K. Wohlegenant - North Carolina State University, Retail-Farm Price margins and Consumer Product Diversity, Technical Bulletin, TB-1899, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Reed, A., Hallahan, C., Levedahl, J., "Tests of the Generalized Composite Commodity Theorem in Demand Systems", pp.
  • Reed, A., J. Stephen Clark, Reed, A.J., and J.S. Clark, 2000, Structural Change and Competition in Seven U.S. Food Markets, Technical Bulletin, TB-1881, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, February 2000, Technical Bulletin, TB-1881, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Reed, A., Levedahl, J., "Food Stamps and the Market Demand for Food", American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 92, number 5, pp. 1392-1400
  • Reed, A., Levedahl, J., 2012, "WIC and the Price of Infant Formula", American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 94, Number 3, pp. 687-701
  • Reed, A., Levedahl, J., Hallahan, C., "The Generalized Composite Commodity Theorem and Food Demand Estimation", AJAE, pp.
  • Reed, A., Levedahl, J., Hallahan, C., "The Generalized Composite Commodity Theorem and Food Demand Estimation", Selected paper prepared for presentation at the 2004 AAEA Annual Meeting, Denver, Colorado, August 1, 2004. 24 pp.
  • Reed, A., Levedahl, J., Hallahan, C., 2005, "The Generalized Composite Commodity Theorem and Food Demand Estimation", American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 87, pp. 28-37
  • Reed, A., Levedahl, J., Hallahan, C., The Generalized Composite Commodity Theorem and Demand System Estimation, Workshop/Seminar, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Denver, Colorado,
  • Reed, A., Levedahl, J., J. Stephen Clark, "Tests Of Market Power in US Food Industries", NAREA Members, Bar Harbor, Maine, June 15, 2001. pp.
  • Reed, A., Levedahl, J., J.S. Clark, "Consumer Demand and Tests of Market Power", pp.
  • Reed, A., Levedahl, J., Steve Clark, 2003, "Commercial Disappearance and Composite Demand for Food with an Application to U.S. Meats", Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Vol. 28, 1, pp. 53-70
  • Reed, A., Structural Change and Competition in Seven U.S. Food Markets, Technical Bulletin, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Stewart, H., Hyman, J., Buzby, J., Frazao, E., Carlson, A., How Much do Fruits and Vegetables Cost?, Economic Information Bulletin, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Stewart, H., Hyman, J., Carlson, A., Frazao, E., How Much Does it Cost to Satisfy Fruit and Vegetable Recommendations in the Dietary Guidelines?, Economic Brief, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Stewart, H., Hyman, J., Frazao, E., Buzby, J., Carlson, A., "Can Low-Income Americans Afford to Satisfy MyPyramid Fruit and Vegetable Guidelines", Paper presented at Annual Meeting of the Society of Nutrition Education and Behavior, Washington DC, pp.
  • Stewart, H., Hyman, J., Frazao, E., Buzby, J., Carlson, A., 2010, "Can Low-Income Americans Afford to Satisfy MyPyramid Fruit and Vegetable Guidelines?", Journal of Nutrition Education and Behavior, 1(1) placeholder, pp. 1-10 placeholder
  • Sturm, R., Datar, A., 2005, "Body Mass Index in Elementary School Children, Metropolitan Area Food Prices and Food Outlet Density", Public Health, Vol. 119, Issue 12, pp.
  • Sturm, Roland and Datar, Ashlesha, 2005, Metropolitan Area Food Prices and Children�s Weight Gain, CCR-14, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, December. pp.
  • Sweitzer, M., Mary K. Muth, Derick Brown, Kristen Capogrossi, Shawn Karns, Peter Siegel, Chen Zhen, "Findings from the Report on the Properties of IRI Scanner Data", Presentation at IRI Workshop, Washington, DC, pp.
  • Sweitzer, M., Mary K. Muth, Derick Brown, Kristen Capogrossi, Shawn Karns, Peter Siegel, Chen Zhen, Michael Lovenheim, Christine Coyer, "Exploring Household Expenditures and Medical Information in the IRI Consumer Network Data: Comparing Household Scanner Data with Government Survey Data", Presentation at IRI Workshop, Washington, DC, pp.
  • Reed, A., Levedahl, J., Hallahan, C., 2005, "Reed, A.J., J.W. Levedahl, and C. Hallahan, 2005, "The Generalized Composite Commodity Theorem and Food Demand Estimation," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Volume 87, pp. 28-37.", American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 87, pp. pp. 28-37
  • Tobenna D. Anekwe, Ilya Rahkovsky, The Impact of Food Prices on the Blood Glucose Levels of US Adults with Diabetes, Economic Research Report, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Volpe, R., "Analysis and Trends in U.S. Food Price Inflation, 2011-2012", pp.
  • Volpe, R., "National Brands, Private Labels, and Food Price Inflation", Paper presented at WAEA Annual Meeting, Monterey, CA, pp.
  • Volpe, R., "Outlook for U.S. Retail Food Prices and Inflation in 2011", pp.
  • Volpe, R., "Outlook for U.S. Retail Food Prices and Inflation, 2012", pp.
  • Volpe, R., "Outlook for U.S. Retail Food Prices and Inflation, 2013", pp.
  • Volpe, R., "Projected Food Prices: The Impact of Environmental Constraints", pp.
  • Volpe, R., "Retail Food Price Formation in the United States", OECD FCAN Meeting, Paris, France, pp.
  • Volpe, R., "The 2012 Drought and Impacts for Retail Food Prices", pp.
  • Volpe, R., "The 2012 Drought and Impacts for Retail Food Prices", University of Michigan RSQE, Ann Arbor, MI, pp.
  • Wendt, M., Todd, J., "Do Low Prices for Sugar-Sweetened Beverages Increase Children's Weights?",
  • Wendt, M., Todd, J., Do low prices for foods and beverages increase children�s weight?, Economic Research Report, U.S. Department of Agriculture, pp.
  • Volpe, R., "The Who, When, Why, and How of Retail Food Price Forecasting at the USDA Economic Research Service", Paper presented at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington, DC, pp.