Source: UNIV OF MASSACHUSETTS submitted to
THEORETICAL, EXPERIMENTAL, VALUATION AND EMPIRICAL ISSUES IN THE DESIGN OF ENVIRONMENTAL AND NATURAL RESOURCE POLICIES
Sponsoring Institution
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Project Status
TERMINATED
Funding Source
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
0217206
Grant No.
(N/A)
Project No.
MAS00965
Proposal No.
(N/A)
Multistate No.
(N/A)
Program Code
(N/A)
Project Start Date
Oct 1, 2008
Project End Date
Sep 30, 2013
Grant Year
(N/A)
Project Director
Spraggon, J.
Recipient Organization
UNIV OF MASSACHUSETTS
(N/A)
AMHERST,MA 01003
Performing Department
Resource Economics
Non Technical Summary
While most economists tout the benefits of using incentive-based policies (like emission taxes, emissions markets, and individual transferable quotas), many conceptual details concerning implementation and management of these policies have not been addressed. Recent research suggests that commonly-held notions of efficient incentive-based policies need to be modified to account for the costs of enforcing these policies. Moreover, most theoretical models of incentive-based policies contain assumptions that are not even approximately true in more difficult applications of incentive policies than their current applications. Some examples include the ability of regulators to monitor emissions accurately to support emissions taxes or cap-and-trade programs, and that enforcement authorities cannot be corrupted. These issues are particularly important for the design of global climate change policies, because there is much variation in the effectiveness of environmental and natural resource enforcement institutions around the world. Designing efficient controls for carbon emissions must account for this variation. We intend to use experimental economics, and stated preference surveys to address these issues as well as evaluating alternative regulatory approaches and the management of common property.
Animal Health Component
(N/A)
Research Effort Categories
Basic
(N/A)
Applied
(N/A)
Developmental
(N/A)
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
1336110301011%
6056110301011%
6096110301011%
1336010301011%
6056010301011%
6096010301011%
1337310301011%
6057310301011%
6097310301012%
Goals / Objectives
The projects described in this proposal will result in a substantial body of new knowledge about the efficient design and evaluation of environmental and natural resource policies. This knowledge will be useful to environmental and natural resource regulators, the scholarly community, and for advancing the teaching of environmental and natural resource economics at all levels. Moreover, much of the work proposed has high potential for producing competitive proposal for external funding in the future.
Project Methods
4.1 Theory The methods used for the theoretical part of this proposal are the tools of microeconomic theory and game theory. The theoretical literature on the compliance and enforcement problem for environmental and natural resource policies already provides well-accepted theoretical models of this problem. This research will in most cases be appropriate modifications of these well-accepted models. We also intend to use the methodology of experimental economics (Kagel and Roth, 1994, Friedman and Sunder 1994) to provide empirical tests of the theory under consideration. 4.2 Environmental Valuation To further investigate the presence of hypothetical bias in the SP method we will also use controlled laboratory experiments. These experiments will be based on those used by Murphy, et al. (2008) and by Yadav (2008). A modified version of the Becker-DeGroot-Marschak (BDM) mechanism will be used to value three types of goods, private, publically provided private, and public under three payment conditions (hypothetical, actual, predicted). 4.3 Fisheries Policy This project will proceed in three phases: primary and secondary data collection, estimation of econometric models of firm decisions and simulations of industry structure under alternative regulations. While National Marine Fishery Service data (or analogous sources of national level data) can be used to estimate the production model, primary data is essential to modeling the decision behavior of firms. The data collected in the first phase will be used in estimating relevant models of firm decision-making, and these estimates will then be used to characterize realistic efficiency and distribution of gains (equity) outcomes given the structure of the fishery. 4.4 Common Property Controlled laboratory experiments will also be employed to investigate the key factors associated with the collective management of common property and to design improved public policy. Ostrom et al. (1992) provide the seminal work for common property resource experiments in controlled laboratory environments. Subjects are asked how much of a resource to harvest. Harvesting the resource is both costly for the individual as well as the group. Ostrom's work shows that communication and the ability to punish subjects who harvest too much significantly improve the efficiency of a common property resource. As discussed above we foresee extending this literature by looking at specific common properties such as private nonindustrial forestland in southern New England and fisheries in Colombia. These locales will provide both the opportunity for framed field experiments (Harrison and List 2004) as well as new motivation for laboratory experiments based on the particular attributes of the common property problems in these regions. Surveys and experiments are planned for years 2-5 and IRB approval will be sought at that time and a revised CSREES 2008 will be submitted. PIs Spraggon and Stevens will be conducting those surveys and experiments.

Progress 10/01/08 to 09/30/13

Outputs
Target Audience: Federal and state environmental and natural resource management agencies who have implemented and/or who are in the process of designing price-based environmental policies. Researchers in environmental and natural resource policy making. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided? The following students have completed MS Thesis or Field Essays under this project. Denny, Matthew. (Field Essay). “Giving too much: The role of beliefs in threshold public goods games.” Faculty Advisor: John Spraggon. 2013 Kelly Miller (Literature Review), “General Deterrence, Audit Uncertainty and Environmental Regulation.” , Faculty Advisor: John M. Spraggon 2013 Gatautis, David J. (Field Essay). ECONOMIC VALUE OF NATIVE BEE POLLINATION TO CONSUMERS: BLUEBERRIES IN THE U.S. Faculty Advisor: Thomas H. Stevens. 2013. Vergara Sobarzo, Lucia Andrea (Thesis). INVESTIGATING THE ABILITY OF PRO-SOCIAL EMOTIONS TO ENHANCE COOPERATIVE BEHAVIOR. Faculty Advisor: John Spraggon. 2012 Brassard, Olivia M. (Field Essay). FACTORS INFLUENCING WOOD BIOMASS ENERGY PRODUCTION IN MASSACHUSETTS – A LITERATURE REVIEW AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF MASSACHUSETTS LANDOWNER SURVEY DATA. Faculty Advisor: Thomas H. Stevens. 2011 Magnoni, Scott (Field Essay). CHOICE ANALYSIS OF ALTERNATIVE ENERGY IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS. Faculty Advisor: Thomas H. Stevens. 2011 How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest? The results have been disseminated to the communities of interest through academic journal articles. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals? Nothing Reported

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? As detailed in the earlier sections a significant number of referred journal have been produced and a significant amount of data has been collected. Additionally five MSc students have been supported through this grant. The research has been disseminated to communities of interest through the publication of the academic journal articles.

Publications

  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2013 Citation: Chavez, Carlos A., and John K. Stranlund. 2013. Who Should Bear the Administrative Costs of an ITQ Fishery? Marine Resource Economics 28(3), 243-261.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Other Year Published: 2013 Citation: C. Rojas. 2013. Focal Points and Collusion in the Lab. Working paper.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Other Year Published: 2013 Citation: Spraggon, John M., John Stranlund and Lucia Andrea Vergara Sobarzo, 2013. The role of public revelation to induce cooperation with public goods. In preparation.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2013 Citation: Stranlund, John K., and Carlos A. Chavez. 2013. Who Should Bear the Administrative Costs of an Emissions Tax? Journal of Regulatory Economics 44(1), 53-79.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Under Review Year Published: 2013 Citation: Stranlund, John K., 2013. A Note on Correlated Uncertainty and Hybrid Environmental Policies. Under review.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Under Review Year Published: 2013 Citation: Stranlund, John, K., James J. Murphy and John M. Spraggon 2012. Price Controls and Banking in Emissions Trading: An Experimental Evaluation. Under review with Journal of Environmental Economics and Management.
  • Type: Journal Articles Status: Other Year Published: 2013 Citation: Denny, Matthew, J., Angela C. M. de Oliveira, and John M. Spraggon, 2013. "Beliefs in Threshold Public Goods Games." In preperation.


Progress 10/01/11 to 09/30/12

Outputs
OUTPUTS: On the theory side of the project two conceptual papers about the efficient design of price-based environmental policies were completed. One deals with the issue of who should pay for enforcement and other administrative costs of emissions taxes. This paper is being revised for resubmission to the Journal of Regulatory Economics. A similar paper deals with the issue of who should pay for the administrative costs associated with a policy of individual transferable quotas in fisheries. This paper is being revised for resubmission to the Marine Resource Economics. On the experimental side of the project, one paper has been submitted, two are in preparation and a new project has been started. A paper was submitted to the Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, detailing the results of experiments which were conducted investigating the impact of banking and price controls in a market with uncertainty in the costs of production. A second paper in the markets for tradable permits project is in progress describing the results of experiments which ascertain the efficacy of tying penalties or audit probabilities to the market price of pollution permits. The MSc. Student who is working on the importance of contribution revelation to the level of contributions of public goods has defended her thesis and is in the process of making final changes. This paper will be prepared for publication during 2013. Finally, 3 pilot experiments were completed in the Spring of 2012 for a project titled "Focal Points and Collusion in the Lab. Additional pilot experiments and a grant proposal are planned for Spring 2013. PARTICIPANTS: We have provided training for two MS degree students. TARGET AUDIENCES: Federal and state environmental and natural resource management agencies who have implemented and/or who are in the process of designing price-based environmental and natural resource policies. Researchers in environmental and natural resource policy making. PROJECT MODIFICATIONS: Nothing significant to report during this reporting period.

Impacts
The theoretical work contributes to our knowledge of how to design price-based environmental and natural resource policies, which will be fundamental to our approach to mitigating climate change. The first of the experimental papers is also focused on this issue. The tradable emission permit market project informs various aspects of policy. The banking and price controls paper highlights the tradeoffs in stability between prices and pollution. If price volatility is controlled this leads directly to larger fluctuations in the amount of pollution which is emitted which may be costly if the damages from pollution are convex. The second experiment tradable emission market paper focusses on the optimal control of emission when market prices are uncertain. Initial results suggest that both tying penalties and audit rates to prices reduce non-compliance over a fixed fine and audit rate but tying audit rates to prices reduces noncompliance by significantly more than when fines are tied to prices. The importance of contribution revelation paper suggests that probabilistic monitoring may increase contributions to public goods more efficiently than perfect monitoring. This suggests that the threat of an audit may be more valuable than an actual audit. The main objective of the "Focal Points and Collusion in the Lab" experiments is to explore under what conditions price ceilings can foster collusion among firms. While the empirical literature has found price ceilings to be supportive of collusion, the experimental literature has failed to do so. We argue that these at odds results are due to experimental designs that fail to capture key assumptions of the underlying theory. The results will be very informative for policy makers as they try to understand the market conditions that are more conducive to collusion. All of these results will be very informative for policy makers as they try to understand how to better manage and regulate markets.

Publications

  • No publications reported this period


Progress 10/01/10 to 09/30/11

Outputs
OUTPUTS: On the theory side of the project two conceptual papers about the efficient design of price-based environmental policies were completed. One deals with the issue of who should pay for enforcement and other administrative costs of emissions taxes. This paper is published as a working paper, and will be revised in the near future for submission to a refereed journal. The second paper deals with how enforcement costs affect the design of an emissions market with price controls. This paper is being revised for resubmission to the Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. On the experimental side of the project, one paper has been published, another accepted for publication, and three more are in progress. The first is a paper which examines compliance in dynamic laboratory pollution markets was published in the Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. A second paper investigating the role of information and monitoring on collusion has been accepted at the RAND Journal of Economics. Experiments were conducted for a paper which investigates the impact of banking and price controls in a market with uncertainty in the costs of production. This paper will be written and submitted to a journal in Spring 2012. Data collection has also been completed for a fourth paper investigating the importance of contribution revelation to the level of contributions of public goods. The MSc. Student who is leading this project expects to defend her dissertation at the end of January. PARTICIPANTS: Nothing significant to report during this reporting period. TARGET AUDIENCES: Federal and state environmental and natural resource management agencies who have implemented and/or who are in the process of designing price-based environmental policies. Researchers in environmental and natural resource policy making. PROJECT MODIFICATIONS: Nothing significant to report during this reporting period.

Impacts
The theoretical work contributes to our knowledge of how to design price-based environmental policies, which will be fundamental to our approach to mitigating climate change. The first of the experimental papers is also focused on this issue. The second experiment paper suggests that certain prediction of theories of how firms collude receive more support than others. Specifically, the more cognitively demanding (although mathematically feasible) outcomes are almost never present in the data while the more appealing and intuitive almost always come show up in the results. The third set of experiments suggests that price collars may be a useful regulatory tool for limiting price volatility in emission trading markets. The fourth experimental paper will inform our understanding of how to increase contributions to public goods. All of these results will be very informative for policy makers as they try to understand how to better manage and regulate markets.

Publications

  • C. Rojas. 2011. "The Role of Demand Information and Monitoring on Tacit Collusion." RAND Journal of Economics, SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1014671.
  • Stranlund, John K.; James J. Murphy, and John M. Spraggon. 2011. "An Experimental Analysis of Compliance in Dynamic Emissions Markets." Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 62, 414-429.
  • Stranlund, John K., and L. Joe Moffitt. 2011. "Enforcement and Price Controls in Emissions Trading." Revision requested from the Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. Stranlund, John K., and Carlos A. Chavez. 2010. "Who Should Bear the Administrative Costs of an Emissions Tax" http://people.umass.edu/resec/workingpapers/documents/ResEcWorkingPap er2011-3.pdf


Progress 10/01/09 to 09/30/10

Outputs
OUTPUTS: On the theory side of the project, two conceptual papers about the efficient design of price-based environmental policies were completed. One deals with whether it is efficient to enforce emissions taxes so that firms are compliant, while the other deals with the issue of who should pay for enforcement and other administrative costs of emissions taxes. The latter paper is under review at a refereed journal. On the experimental side of the project, three papers are in progress. The first is a paper which examines compliance in dynamic laboratory pollution markets was completed and is now under review at a refereed journal. The second investigates the role of information and monitoring on collusion is being disseminated via the Social Science Research Network (SSRN), a web-based system designed for researchers to share their work. The third paper is currently in the data collection phase and the empirical analysis and write-up will be completed in the Spring of 2011. This set of experiments investigates the importance of contribution revelation to the level of contributions of public goods. PARTICIPANTS: We have added Dr. Christian Rojas as faculty personnel. Dr. Rojas will contribute to the Hatch project by conducting a series of studies using the methodology of experimental economics. These studies are aimed at understanding the relationship between market conditions and collusion. We have also provided training for one MS degree students. TARGET AUDIENCES: Federal and state environmental and natural resource management agencies who have implemented and/or who are in the process of designing price-based environmental policies. Researchers in environmental and natural resource policy making. PROJECT MODIFICATIONS: Nothing significant to report during this reporting period.

Impacts
The theoretical work contributes to our knowledge of how to enforce price-based environmental policies, which will be fundamental to our approach to mitigating climate change. The first of the experimental papers is also focused on this issue. The second set of experiments suggests that certain prediction of theories of how firms collude receive more support than others. Specifically, the more cognitively demanding (although mathematically feasible) outcomes are almost never present in the data while the more appealing and intuitive almost always come show up in the results. These results will be very informative for policy makers as they try to understand the market conditions that are more conducive to collusion. The third experimental paper will inform our understanding of how to increase contributions to public goods.

Publications

  • C. Rojas. 2010. "The Role of Information and Monitoring on Collusion." Social Science Research Network manuscript.
  • Stranlund, John K. 2010. "Should We Impose Emissions Taxes that Firms Evade"


Progress 10/01/08 to 09/30/09

Outputs
OUTPUTS: On the theory side of the project three conceptual papers about the efficient design of price-based environmental policies were started. These dealt with the safety-valve concept to cap uncertain emission control costs in emission trading programs; the optimal degree of enforcement for emissions taxes, and the issue of who should pay for enforcement and other administrative costs of price-based environmental policies. One of these was submitted to a refereed journal, while the other two are still in progress. In terms of environmental valuation a contingent valuation survey of forest landowners in Southern Vermont and Western Massachusetts was conducted. Two projects have focused on regulation of US fisheries. One project examines the impact on climate change and the corresponding change in viable habitat on the setting of maximum sustainable yield. For this project we are developing the framework to integrate the biological-hydrological models with the socio-economic model of harvesters' decision-making. In the second project we are examining the role of institutions in harvest decisions. We are deriving the theoretical model of profit maximization under various institutional scenarios. PARTICIPANTS: We have added Dr. Angela de Oliveira as faculty personnel. Dr. de Oliveira will contribute to the Hatch project by conducting a series of studies using the methodology of experimental economics. These studies will be aimed at understanding the role that individual heterogeneity plays in the ability of groups to attain socially desirable outcomes (such as improved environmental quality). We have also provided training for two MS degree students. TARGET AUDIENCES: Federal and state environmental and natural resource management agencies who have implemented and/or who are in the process of designing price-based environmental policies. Researchers in environmental and natural resource policy making. PROJECT MODIFICATIONS: Nothing significant to report during this reporting period.

Impacts
Our theoretical results suggest that under certain conditions hybrid trading/tax policies can result in lower emissions than trading policies alone. The results of the contingent value survey suggest that it would cost about $700 per acre to entice about one-half of Massachusetts and 33% of Vermont responders to permanently conserve their forest land. Policies that promote early development of management plans and cooperation with neighbors are recommended because these activities appear to increase the likelihood that landowners will convey conservation easements. Education and a strong environmental ethic also improve the chances that respondents would sell conservation easements. The fisheries research suggests that fishermen may suffer welfare losses under individual transferable quotas if the processing sector in imperfectly competitive and that there is empirical evidence of changes in contracting practices, harvest rates and shares of crew remuneration.

Publications

  • Stranlund, John K. 2009. "A Safety Valve for Emissions Trading." University of Massachusetts-Amherst, Department of Resource Economics, Working paper 2009-4.
  • Brandt, S. & Ding, N. (2008). Impact of property rights on labor contracts in commercial fisheries. Ocean and Coastal Management, 51(11), 740-748.
  • LeVert, M., Stevens, T., & Kittredge, D. (2009). Willingness-to-sell conservation easements: A case study. Journal of Forest Economics, 15(4), 261-275.
  • McEvoy, D., Brandt, S., Lavoie, N., & Anders, S. (2009). The effects of ITQ management on fishermen's welfare when the processing sector is imperfectly competitive. Land Economics, 85(3), 470-484.