Progress 12/01/06 to 11/30/11
Outputs
OUTPUTS: Five students were funded under this project. As of this point in time Student number one has graduated with a Masters degree having done research on the economic value of animal identification, Student number two finished a Masters degree doing research on the economic value of continuity of business strategies involved with moving feed into quarantined areas and is in a job with USDA APHIS in Washington. Student number three was studying for a PhD and after almost 2 years in the program was unable to pass the required qualifying exams and was dismissed from the program falling back into the Master's degree program but in the process resigned from the national needs fellowship. This student completer his degree doing his remaining research in a manner not funded by this program but still in the area of bio security doing risk analysis in a food safety context, and completed his MS degree in summer 2010. (Joy, Nathaniel A. (2010) A duration analysis of food safety recall events in the United States: January, 2000 to October, 2009. M.S. thesis, Texas A&M University.) The fourth student was enrolled in the PhD program and took first-year course work. Unfortunately at that time she decided not to pursue further studies in agricultural economics and resigned the national needs fellowship. She subsequently transferred to the PhD program in animal science. The fifth began the program in fall 2010 and is proceeding in an on time manner. During the process of running the students through the program we developed a course they take in conjunction with others and run a number of informal seminars. During the project a masters level course in bio security economics was taught involving more than 20 students. One of our students joined USDA APHIS for two Summer internships gaining valuable experience on biosecurity topics and is now employed by USDA APHIS on a permanent basis working in this general area. The other student who graduated under this funding is working on risk matters in the Farm credit system and is seeking other employment. Yet another former fellowship recipient is employed in the financial services industry in a position in risk management and related analysis. PRODUCTS: Two principal products were developed. First a report was developed across management options for foot and mouth disease outbreaks in the Texas High Plains and this included an analysis of a priori and ex post options. Second work was done on animal tracing in Mr. J. Chris Looney's Masters thesis. Subsequently reports and presentations were drawn together with reports delivered to industry groups, DHS personnel, Texas cattle feeders, and USDA personnel along with professional agricultural economists. A journal article has been drafted on this. An important third product is emerging which will involve the continuity of business material but is not yet complete. Preliminary results show in the case of beef cattle it is important to have a priority planning for moving indeed but this is much less so in the case of a major dairy producing area. PARTICIPANTS: Nothing significant to report during this reporting period. TARGET AUDIENCES: materials were disseminated to DHS, USDA, and industry stakeholders and professionals. These were in the forms of reports and presentations. PROJECT MODIFICATIONS: Nothing significant to report during this reporting period.
Impacts
OUTCOMES: Five students were educated in bio security economics and risk analysis. 16 others were educated in conjunction with these students in a class developed to provide training under this program plus the participating faculty improved their knowledge of bio security economics. The educated students and faculty are expected to contribute to the improvement of future decision-making regarding agricultural bio security alternatives. The project also generated applied research findings where an improved method for evaluating the value of the animal tracing was developed and implemented. Results of this are being incorporated into extension programs, material for DHS and USDA in their consideration of implementation in animal tracing. Reports were put in front of the industry. Across these contacts we hope to improve the quality of the economic rationale for any decisions made in animal tracing and quarantine policy.
Publications
- Attavanich, W., D.A. Bessler, and B.A. McCarl, "H1N1 (Swine Flu) Media Coverage on Agricultural Commodity Markets", Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 33(2): 241- 259, 2011.
- Carpenter, T.E., J.M. O'Brien, A.D. Hagerman, and B.A. McCarl, "Epidemic and economic impacts of delayed detection of foot-and-mouth disease: a case study of an outbreak in California", Journal of Veterinary Diagnostic Investigation, 23, 26-33, 2011.
- Egbendewe-Mondzozo, A., M. Musumba, B.A. McCarl, and X.M. Wu, "Climate Change and Vector-borne Diseases: An Economic Impact Analysis of Malaria in Africa", International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 8(3), , 913-930, 2011.
- Hagerman, A.D., B.A. McCarl, T.E. Carpenter, J.O. O'Brien, and M.A. Ward, "Emergency vaccination and control of FMD: Consequences of its inclusion as a US Policy Option", Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, (2011) volume 00, number 00, pp. 1-28, 2011.
- Hartley, D.M., J.L. Rinderknecht, T.L. Nipp, N.P. Clarke, G.D. Snowder, B.A. McCarl, and others, "Understanding the Potential Impacts of Rift Valley Fever in the United States", Emerging Infectious Diseases', [serial on the Internet]. 2011 Aug http://www. cdc. gov/EID/content/17/8/101088. htm, 2011.
- Hughes-fraire, R., A.D. Hagerman, and B.A. McCarl, "Rift Valley Fever: An Economic Assessment of Agricultural and Human Vulnerability - pr", Selected paper presented at the 2011 Annual Meetings of the Southern Agricultural Economics Association, Corpus Christi, February, 2011.
- Mu, J.E., B.A. McCarl, and X.M. Wu, "Climate Change Influences on the Risk of Avian Influenza Outbreaks and Associated Economic Losses", Selected paper presented at the 2011 Annual Meetings of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, Pittsburgh, July, 2011.
- Mu, J.H., and B.A. McCarl, "Climate, the Risk of Avian Influenza Outbreaks and Potential Economic Loss under Climate Change", Selected paper presented at the 2011 Annual Meetings of the Southern Agricultural Economics Association, Corpus Christi, February, 2011.
- Yu, C.H., S.C. Park, B.A. McCarl, and S.H. Amosson, "Feedlots, air quality and Dust Control- Benefit estimation and incentive design", Selected Poster presented at the 2011 Agricultural and Applied Economics Association Meeting, Pittsburgh, July, 2011.
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Progress 12/01/09 to 11/30/10
Outputs
Five students were funded under this project. As of this point in time Student number one has graduated with a Masters degree having done research on the economic value of animal identification, Student number two is in process with a Masters degree doing research on the economic value of continuity of business strategies involved with moving feed into quarantined areas and is just beginning a job with USDA APHIS in Washington. Student number three was studying for a PhD and after almost 2 years in the program was unable to pass the required qualifying exams and was dismissed from the program falling back into the Masters degree program but in the process resigned from the national needs fellowship. This student completer his degree doing his remaining research in a manner not funded by this program but still in the area of bio security doing risk analysis in a food safety context, and completed his MS degree in summer 2010. (Joy, Nathaniel A. (2010) A duration analysis of food safety recall events in the United States: January, 2000 to October, 2009. M.S. thesis, Texas A&M University.) The fourth student was enrolled in the PhD program and took first-year course work. Unfortunately at that time she decided not to pursue further studies in agricultural economics and resigned the national needs fellowship. She subsequently transferred to the PhD program in animal science. The fifth began the program in fall 2010 and is proceeding in an on time manner. During the process of running the students through the program we have developed a course they take in conjunction with others and run a number of informal seminars. During the project a masters level course in bio security economics was taught involving more than 20 students. One of our students joined USDA APHIS for two Summer internships gaining valuable experience on biosecurity topics and is now joining USDA APHIS on a permanent basis working in this general area. The other student who graduated under this funding is working on risk matters in the Farm credit system and is seeking other employment. Yet another former fellowship recipient is employed in the financial services industry in a position in risk management and related analysis. PRODUCTS: Two principal products were developed. First a report was developed across management options for foot and mouth disease outbreaks in the Texas High Plains and this included an analysis of a priori and ex post options. Second work was done on animal tracing in Mr. J. Chris Looney's Masters thesis. Subsequently reports and presentations were drawn together with reports delivered to industry groups, DHS personnel, Texas cattle feeders, and USDA personnel along with professional agricultural economists. A journal article has been drafted on this. An important third product is emerging which will involve the continuity of business material but is not yet complete. Preliminary results show in the case of beef cattle it is important to have a priority planning for moving indeed but this is much less so in the case of a major dairy producing area. OUTCOMES: Five students were educated in bio security economics and risk analysis. 16 others were educated in conjunction with these students in a class developed to provide training under this program plus the participating faculty improved their knowledge of bio security economics. The educated students and faculty are expected to contribute to the improvement of future decision-making regarding agricultural bio security alternatives. The project also generated applied research findings where an improved method for evaluating the value of the animal tracing was developed and implemented. Results of this are being incorporated into extension programs, material for DHS and USDA in their consideration of implementation in animal tracing. Reports were put in front of the industry. Across these contacts we hope to improve the quality of the economic rationale for any decisions made in animal tracing and quarantine policy. Similar activities are anticipated for the continuity of business strategies. DISSEMINATION ACTIVITIES: Materials were disseminated to DHS, USDA, and industry stakeholders and professionals. These were in the forms of reports and presentations. FUTURE INITIATIVES: As stated above the project will go on to evaluate continuity of business. We will also develop journal manuscripts from the two completed studies. We are funding an additional student
Impacts
Hopefully the research findings and reports generated under the project will contribute to the quality of decision-making regarding animal tracing and continuity of business. We have educated four students and number of others through the class and seminar activities. Faculty members' capabilities have also been improved. At least two of the students hope to go to work for USDA in the bio security area and the third one is seeking employment in that general area. The fourth student has moved on to animal science but retains the education obtained during her initial graduate studies. It is anticipated that during the future activities of these directly funded students plus the students and faculty who interacted with them that they will contribute to the United States national need for improved bio security and more generally in risk analysis.
Publications
- Hagerman, A.D., and B.A. McCarl, "Economic Impact of a Livestock Attack", Handbook of Science and Technology for Homeland Security, 4 Volume Set edited by John G. Voeller, ISBN: 978-0-471-76130-3 Hardcover 2888 pages, April, 2010.
- Hagerman, A.D., and B.A. McCarl, "Show Me The Money: Implications from Economic-Epidemic Impact Analyses", Presented at 2010 FAZD Center Industry Summit College Station, TX, April 13, 2010.
- McCarl, B.A., "Morphing Research into Policy Advice", Presented at Agricultural and Applied Economics Research: What Makes It Relevant for Policy Advice Organized Symposia, AAEA Meeting, Denver, July, 2010.
- McCarl, B.A., A.D. Hagerman, and R. Hughes-Fraire, "Investment Strategies for Addressing Zoonoses", Presented at Farm Foundation Meeting Zoonoses: Understanding the Animal Agriculture and Human Health Connection, September, 2010.
- Hughes-Fraire, R., B.A. McCarl, and A.D. Hagerman, "Investment Strategies for Addressing Zoonoses", Proceedings of Farm Foundation Meeting: Zoonoses: Understanding the Animal Agriculture and Human Health Connection, Washington DC, September, 2010.
- Hagerman, A.D., J.C. Looney, B.A. McCarl, D.P. Anderson, and M.A. Ward, "Rapid Effective Trace-Back Capability Value in Reducing the Cost of a Foot-and-Mouth Disease Event", Presented at the Southern Agricultural Economics Association Meetings, Orlando, February, 2010.
- Hagerman, A.D., T.E. Carpenter, and B.A. McCarl, "The Role of Risk Attitude in Preference Rankings of Vaccine Use for FMD Eradication in the United States", Presented at International Foot and Mouth Symposium in Australia, 2010.
- Hagerman, A.D., B.A. McCarl, and H-I. Lin, "The Role of Risk Attitude in Preference Rankings of Vaccine Use for Foot and Mouth Disease Eradication in the United States", AAEA 2010 meeting selected poster, Denver, 2010.
- Hughes-Fraire, R., A.D. Hagerman, B.A. McCarl, and H. Gaff, "Assessment of US Agriculture Sector and Human Vulnerability to a Rift Valley Fever Outbreak", Poster at FAZD Annual Meeting, College Station, July, 2010.
- Mu, J.H., and B.A. McCarl, "Avian Influenza Outbreaks and Poultry Production Mitigation Strategies in the United States", Presented at the First Joint EAAE/ AAEA Seminar (115th EAAE Seminar), Freising, Germany, September 15 - 17, 2010.
- Mu, J.H., and B.A. McCarl, "Does Negative Information Always Hurt Meat Demand An Examination of Avian Influenza Information Impacts on U. S Meat Demand", Presented at the First Joint EAAE/ AAEA Seminar (115th EAAE Seminar), Freising, Germany, September 15 - 17, 2010.
- Joy, Nathaniel A. (2010) A duration analysis of food safety recall events in the United States: January, 2000 to October, 2009. M.S. thesis, Texas A&M University.
- Carpenter, T.E., J.M. OBrien, A.D. Hagerman, and B.A. McCarl, "Epidemic and economic impacts of delayed detection of foot-and-mouth disease: a case study of an outbreak in California", Journal of Veterinary Diagnostic Investigation, forthcoming, 2010.
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Progress 12/01/08 to 11/30/09
Outputs
Four students were funded under this project. As of this point in time Student number one has graduated with a Masters degree having done research on the economic value of animal identification, Student number two is in process with a Masters degree doing research on the economic value of continuity of business strategies involved with moving feed into quarantined areas. Student number three was studying for a PhD and after almost 2 years in the program was unable to pass the required qualifying exams and was dismissed from the program falling back into the Master's degree program but in the process resigned from the national needs fellowship. This student is doing research not funded by this program in the area of bio security and hopes to obtain a job with a USDA bio security related agency. The four student was enrolled in the PhD program and took first-year course work. Unfortunately at that time she decided not to pursue further studies in agricultural economics resigning the national needs fellowship. She subsequently transferred to the PhD program in animal science. This leaves us with excess money and we have repeatedly but unsuccessfully attempted to reach USDA personnel to ask whether we could put a new student on this funding. We hope to be able to do this in the near future. During the process of running the students through the program we have developed a course they would take in conjunction with others and run a number of informal seminars. One of our students join USDA APHIS for a Summer internship gaining valuable experience on biosecurity topics. That student will join USDA APHIS working in this general area upon graduation. The other student who graduated is working on risk matters in the Farm credit system and is seeking other employment. during the project and a masters level course in by a security economics was taught involving more than 20 students. PRODUCTS: Two principal products were developed. First a report was developed across management options for foot and mouth disease outbreaks in the Texas High Plains and this included a an analysis of a priority next post options. The animal tracing information from Mr. Looney's Masters thesis was incorporated into this. Subsequently a thesis and particular reports and presentations were drawn together with reports done to an old industry groups, DHS personnel, Texas cattle feeders, and USDA personnel along with professional agricultural economists. An important third product is emerging which will involve the continuity of business material but is not yet complete. Preliminary results show in the case of beef cattle it is important to have a priority planning for moving indeed but this is much less so in the case of a major dairy producing area. OUTCOMES: Four students were educated in by a security economics and risk analysis. 14 others were educated in conjunction with the students in a class developed to provide training under this program plus the participating faculty improve their knowledge of bio security economics. The educated students and faculty hopefully will improve future decision-making regarding agricultural bio security alternatives. The project also generated applied research findings where an improved method for evaluating the value of the animal tracing was developed and implemented. Results of this are being incorporated into extension programs, material for DHS and USDA in their consideration of implementation in animal tracing. Reports were put in front of the industry. Across these contacts we hope to improve the quality of the economic rationale for any decisions made in corn animal tracing. Similar activities are anticipated for the continuity of business strategies. DISSEMINATION ACTIVITIES: materials were disseminated to DHS, USDA, and industry stakeholders and professionals. These were in the forms of reports and presentations. FUTURE INITIATIVES: As stated above the project will go on to evaluate continuity business. We will also develop journal manuscripts account of the two completed studies. We hope to be able to use the funding with additional students and weight USDA confirmation that we can do that.
Impacts
Hopefully the research findings and reports generated under the project will contribute to the quality of decision-making regarding animal tracing and continuity of business. We have educated four students and the number of others through the class and seminar activities. Faculty members capabilities have also been improved. At least two of the students hope to go to work for USDA in the bio security area and the third one is seeking employment in that general area. The fourth student has moved on to animal science but retains the education obtained during her initial graduate studies. It is anticipated that during the future activities of see directly funded students plus the students and faculty interacted with them that they will contribute to the United States national need for improved bio security and more generally in risk analysis.
Publications
- Hagerman, A.D., B.A. McCarl, H-I. Lin, J.C. Looney, D.A. Bessler, W. Huang, Q. Gao, L. Highfield, B. Norby, M.A. Ward, R. Hu, and Y.H. Jin, 2009, "Economic/Epidemic analysis of FMD issues: An Analysis largely in the Texas High Plains", FAZD Center report, 2009.
- Hagerman, A.D., J.C. Looney, B.A. McCarl, D.P. Anderson, and M.A. Ward, 2009, "Rapid Effective Trace-Back Capability Value in Reducing the Cost of a Foot-and-Mouth Disease Event", to be Presented at the Southern Agricultural Economics Association Meetings, Orlando, February, 2010.
- Looney,Chris, 2009, Comparative Cost Analysis of Alternative Animal Tracing Strategies Towards Foot and Mouth Disease Outbreaks in the Texas High Plains, MS Thesis, Texas A&M University, December 2009. (Texas Farm Credit)
- Looney, J.C., A.D. Hagerman, B.A. McCarl, L. Highfield, and M.A. Ward, 2009, "Rapid Effective Trace-Back Capability Effectiveness in Reducing the Cost of a Foot-and-Mouth Disease Event", draft manuscript for submission to a journal, 2009.
- McCarl, B.A., A.D. Hagerman, H-I. Lin, J.C. Looney, D.A. Bessler, W. Huang, Q. Gao, Y.H. Jin, B. Norby, L. Highfield, M.A. Ward, and R. Hu, 2009 "Industry Applications of Modeling Catastrophic Disease Effects in Confined Livestock Operations: Scenarios Modeled Under the Texas High Plains FMD Simulations", Presented at 2009 Department of Homeland Security University Summit, Washington, D.C., March 19, 2009.
- McCarl, B.A., A.D. Hagerman, H-I. Lin, J.C. Looney, M.A. Ward, and L. Highfield, 2009, "Reducing vulnerability to animal disease: strategies, economic consequences and resilience", Presented at 2009 Department of Homeland Security University Summit Washington, D.C. March 17, 2009.
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Progress 12/01/07 to 11/30/08
Outputs
Two MS and two PhD students have been recruited and are on campus. One MS (Chris Looney) and one PhD(Nathan Joy) are in their second year of study. THe other MS (Monica Galli) and PhD (Katheryn Olsen) are in first year. All are making progress toward their degree. Looney is studying the value of animal tracing in a FMD context. Galli is considering studying welfare slaughter and or compensation policy. The others are still in coursework. Galli will spend time with APHIS this summer. Looney should finish this summer. PRODUCTS: Students have been eduated on biosecurity and economic analysis. An economics of biosecurity class has been developed and offered with 6 students in it. OUTCOMES: Students will graduate with biosecurity and economics training. DISSEMINATION ACTIVITIES: Monica Galli will intern with USDA APHIS. Looney works with Farm Bureau. Both are contriuting to presentations that are being made in DHS circles that will be in next years publications. FUTURE INITIATIVES: Have students complete studies and papers/presentations plus be placed in industry, government and acedemia.
Impacts
Trained students will move into industry, government or acedemia and work to improve resiliancy of US agriculture to security threats. Papers by students will be distributed to sector stimulating efforts by others.
Publications
- No publications reported this period
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Progress 12/01/06 to 11/30/07
Outputs
Two students have been admitted on this project: PhD recipient: Nathaniel Joy, BS Economics, Texas A&M University MS recipient: John Christopher Looney, BS Animal Science, University of Arkansas.
PRODUCTS: No products as yet associated with this project.
OUTCOMES: No outcomes associated with this project at this time.
DISSEMINATION ACTIVITIES: No activities at this time.
FUTURE INITIATIVES: Identify and admit 1 PhD and 1 MS National Needs Fellow.
Impacts
No impacts are reported on this project at this time.
Publications
- No publications reported this period
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