Progress 07/01/04 to 06/30/05
Outputs
This project entailed the creation of a ten year baseline for U.S. agriculture which included both a preliminary and final baseline. The final baseline contained input from experts in the agricultural industry. Throughout calendar year 2004 and into 2005, FAPRI continued to provide analysis for policy decision makers using this baseline as a benchmark. As agriculture is complex and ever changing, the opportunity to analyze U.S. and world agricultural policies arose on numerous occasions. In addition, FAPRI collaborated with researchers at other universities around the world on analysis related to U.S. and world trade. The energy crisis which arose during this project also provided an opportunity for the FAPRI modeling system to assist decision makers as they determined the short and long run impacts on agriculture from increased costs.
Impacts
The information maintained and enhanced by the FAPRI modeling system allows policies and economic shifts to be analyzed and presented to decision makers. While every nuance surrounding a policy cannot be defined, the FAPRI models have provided a realistic analysis to help guide decision makers. As the U.S. continues to compete in a global economy, the ability to accurately assess impacts of agreements, policies, energy resources, and the general economy are vital.
Publications
- FAPRI staff. Documentation of the FAPRI U.S. Models: Crops, Livestock, Dairy and Cost of Production. Technical Data Report 12-04, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, 2004.
- Daniel Madison and Scott Brown. Potential Long-Term Effects of Current American Dietary Trends on U.S. Agriculture. FAPRI University of Missouri Publication, FAPRI UMC 14-04, Columbia, Missouri, December 2004.
- Joan Moss, Julian Binfield, Patrick Westhoff, Philip Kostov, Myles Patton, and Lichun Zhang. Analysis of the Impact of Fischler Reform on Agriculture in the UK and Subsequent Elimination of EU Export Subsidies Plus Increased Market Access. Agriculture and Food Science Centre Report. Belfast: Queens University, December 2004.
- Joan Moss, Myles Patton, Philip Kostov, Lichun Zhang, Julian Binfield, and Patrick Westhoff. Analysis of the Impact of Increased Market Access with the Elimination of Exports Subsidies on Agriculture in Northern Ireland. Agriculture and Food Science Centre Report. Belfast: Queens University, November 2004.
- Joan Moss, Myles Patton, Philip Kostov, Lichun Zhang, Julian Binfield, and Patrick Westhoff. Analysis of the Impact of the Implementation of CAP Reform on Agriculture in Northern Ireland and Subsequent Elimination of EU Export Subsidies. Agriculture and Food Science Centre Report. Belfast: Queens University, November 2004.
- Lori Wilcox. Fertilizer and Fuel Prices and Cost of Production. FAPRI University of Missouri Publication, FAPRI UMC 10-04, Columbia, Missouri, October 2004.
- Patrick Westhoff, Ferdinand Meyer, et al. Final Report for the University of Missouri South African Education Program. FAPRI University of Missouri Publication, FAPRI UMC 07-04 Columbia, Missouri, July 2004.
- Patrick Westhoff, Julian Binfield, Trevor Donnellan, Kevin Hanrahan, and Chad Hart. CAP Reform and the WTO: Potential Impacts on EU Agriculture Selected paper presented at the American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting. Denver, Colorado, July 2004.
- Jay Fabiosa, John Beghin, Stephane De Cara, Amani El-Obeid, Cheng Fang, Murat Isik, Holger Matthey, Alexander Saak, Pat Westhoff, D. Scott Brown, Brian Willott, Daniel Madison, Seth Meyer, and John Kruse. The Doha Round of the WTO and Agricultural Market Liberalization: Impacts on Developing Economies. Review of Agricultural Economics, forthcoming.July 2004.
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Progress 01/01/04 to 12/31/04
Outputs
Congress has continued to call on FAPRI in 2004 to examine a number of issues related to farm bill implementation, international developments, and perennial policy concerns. FAPRI is looking at impacts of proposals to reduce agricultural budgets. Work has been done to make further refinements of the stochastic model. This includes expansion of the model to include additional commodities and activities and respecification of model equations to address shortcomings of the current system. FAPRI continues to make improvements in its models of international agricultural markets. Ongoing work is improving models of European Union agriculture to reflect changing policies and the accession of 10 new member states in 2004. Continuing concerns related to animal diseases and cross-border issues has provided incentives to improve models of U.S. agricultural trade with Mexico and Canada. Ongoing efforts have been focused on development of a segragated, secure website for research
output and resources developed via the UW-FAPRI Dairy Policy Analysis Project. The Interregional Competition Model(IRCM) has been updated with 2004 data and linkages developed to facilitate better regional policy impacts. Current policy modeling options in the IRCM have been updated to include alternative deficiency payment schemes, interstate dairy compacts, proposed import restrictions on mild protein concentrates, butter/skim milk powder tilt options, and FMMO reforms.
Impacts
The Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) provides objective economic analysis of agricultural policy issues. The project funded by the special grant has two major objectives: 1. Provide information to help public decision makers evaluate farm policy options. 2. Enhance capacity to conduct quantitative analysis of agricultural policy issues.
Publications
- Patrick Westhoff, Jacinto Fabiosa, John Beghin, and William Meyers. Challenges in Modeling the Effects of Trade Agreements on the Agricultural Sector. Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 36, August 2004: 383-393.
- Patrick Westhoff, Julian Binfield, Trevor Donnellan, Kevin Hanrahan, and Chad Hart. CAP Reform and the WTO: Potential Impacts on EU Agriculture. Selected paper presented at the American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting. Denver, Colorado, July 2004.
- The President's Budget: Implications of Selected Proposals for U.S. Agriculture. FAPRI-UMC Report #03-05, March 24, 2005.
- FAPRI staff. Documentation of the FAPRI U.S. Models: Crops, Livestock, Dairy and Cost of Production. Technical Data Report 12-04, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, 2004.
- Daniel Madison and Scott Brown. Potential Long-Term Effects of Current American Dietary Trends on U.S. Agriculture. Fapri University of Missouri Publication, FAPRI UMC #14-04, Columbia, Missouri, December 2004.
- Joan Moss, Julian Binfield, Patrick Westhoff, Philip Kostov, Myles Patton, and Lichun Zhang. Analysis of the Impact of Fischler Reform on Agriculture in the UK and Subsequent Elimination of EU Export Subsidies Plus Increased Market Access. Agriculture and Food Science Centre Report. Belfast: Queens University, December 2004.
- Joan Moss, Myles Patton, Philip Kostov, Lichun Zhang, Julian Binfield, and Patrick Westhoff. Analysis of the Impact of Increased Market Access with the Elimination of Exports Subsidies on Agriculture in Norther Ireland. Agriculture and Food Science Centre Report. Belfast: Queens University, November 2004.
- Joan Moss, Myles Patton, Philip Kostov, Lichun Zhang, Julian Binfield, and Patrick Westhoff. Analysis of the Impact of the Implementation of CAP Reform on Agriculture in Northern Ireland and Subsequent Elimination of EU Export Subsidies. Agriculture and Food Science Centre Report. Belfast: Queens University, November 2004.
- Lori Wilcox. Fertilizer and Fuel Prices and Cost of Production. FAPRI University of Missouri publication, FAPRI UMC #10-04, Columbia, Missouri, October 2004.
- Patrick Westhoff, Ferdinand Meyer, et al. Final Report for the University of Missouri South African Education Program. FAPRI University of Missouri publication, FAPRI UMC #07-04 Columbia, Missouri, July 2004.
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