Source: UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI submitted to
FOOD AND AGRICULTURAL POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
Sponsoring Institution
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Project Status
TERMINATED
Funding Source
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
0196531
Grant No.
2003-34149-13495
Project No.
MO-SSSG0090
Proposal No.
2003-06282
Multistate No.
(N/A)
Program Code
AT
Project Start Date
Sep 1, 2003
Project End Date
Aug 31, 2004
Grant Year
2003
Project Director
Westhoff, P.
Recipient Organization
UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI
(N/A)
COLUMBIA,MO 65211
Performing Department
SOCIAL SCIENCES
Non Technical Summary
The Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) provides economic analysis of agricultural policy issues. We provide information to help public decision makers evaluate farm policy options and do this by using its modeling system that was developed to estimate the impacts of policy alternatives on agricultural commodity markets, farm, income, government outlays, and other indicators of interest to policy makers.
Animal Health Component
(N/A)
Research Effort Categories
Basic
50%
Applied
25%
Developmental
25%
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
6106110301075%
6116120301025%
Goals / Objectives
The Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) provides objective economic analysis of agricultural policy issues. The two main objectives are to provide information to help public decision makers eveluate farm policy options and amd deveop capacity to conduct quantitative analysis of agricultural policy issues.
Project Methods
FAPRI assess' the implications of retaining current policies for agricultural markets and for food producers, consumers and taxpayers. We analyze the consequences of alternatie policies in response to requests from Congress and other decision makers and report results in an understandable and timely manner. In order to accomplish this we maintain and expand domestic and international data banks. It is also necessary to develop and improve models that can be used to project agricultural market outcomes and food sector indicators under a variety of policy scenarios. FAPRI also uses formal and informal networds of experts to inform analysis and review preliminary results. We work with member of Congress and their staff to identify policy alternatives requiring analysis. FAPRI will use its modeling system to estimate the impacts of policy alternatives on agricultural commodity markets, farm income, government outlays and other indicators of interest to policy makers. FAPRI's policy analysis system relies on large-scale quantitative models of agricultural markets, the expertise of FAPRI analysts to develop madeling systems and outside reviewers. These models include thousands of equations intended to represent the behavior of food producers, consumers, and trders around the world. Many of these equations use time series data and others are generated using the pricipals of economic theory and physical relations known to exist. FAPRI neither supports nor opposes specific policy proposals, but will provide information useful to policy makers.

Progress 09/01/03 to 08/31/04

Outputs
This project is a continuing project and a line item with USDA CSREES. This termination report is for the phase of the project that terminated 8/31/2004. This non-competitive grant is on-going and this termination report allows us to comply with the accounting system at the University of Missouri. This system requires a new account code to be assigned for this grant each year. The phase of the project covered is from 9/1/2003 to 8/31/2004.

Impacts
The Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) provides objective economic analysis of agricultural policy issues. The project funded by the special grant has two major objectives. 1. Provide information to help public decision makers evaluate farm policy options. This is accomplished by: a) assessing the implications of retaining current policies for agricultural markets and for food producers, consumers, and taxpayers; b) analyzing the consequences of alternative policies in response to requests from Congress and other decision makers; and c) reporting results in an understandable manner and a timely fashion. 2. Develop capacity to conduct quantitative analysis of agricultural policy issues. This is accomplished by: a) maintaining and expanding domestic and international data banks; b) developing and improving models that can be used to project agricultural market outcomes and food sector indicators under a variety of policy scenarios; and c) using formal and informal networks of experts to aid in design and implementation of analysis and review preliminary results.

Publications

  • Julian Binfield, Trevor Donnellan, Kevin Hanrahan, and Patrick Westhoff. "Luxenberg CAP Reform Agreement: Implications for EW and Irish Agriculture." FAPRI-Ireland Publication. Dublin: Teagasc, October 2003.
  • Julian Binfield, Trevor Donnellan, Kevin Hanrahan, and Patrick Westhoff. "Missouri Farm Financial Outlook 2004." FAPRI-Ireland Publication. Dublin: Teagasc, November 2003.
  • Melvin Brees. "Decisive Marketing: Soybeans: Short Crop = Volatile Market." University of Missouri Extension Publication, Columbia, Missouri, November 2003.
  • Melvin Brees. "Decisive Marketing: Signals to Sell Cash Corn?" University of Missouri Extension Publication, Columbia, Missouri, December 2003.
  • Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute. FAPRI 2004 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book. FAPRI-UMC Technical Data Report 01-04, FAPRI, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, March 2004.
  • Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute. "FAPRI 2004 U.S. and World Agricultural Outlook." FAPRI Staff Report #01-04. FAPRI, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa, January 2004.


Progress 01/01/03 to 12/31/03

Outputs
The passage of the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act brought debate over the writing of the 2002 farm bill to a close, but Congress continued to call on FAPRI in 2003 to examine a number of issues related to farm bill implementation, international developments, and perennial policy concerns. In response to a Congressional request and an invitation to testify before the Commission on the Application of Payment Limitations for Agriculture, FAPRI analyzed the potential impacts of a policy that would more strictly limit government payments to any single farming operation. FAPRI's testimony before the Commission and additional information provided later identified what types of producers were likely to be affected by tighter payment limitations, and the potential range of consequences for agricultural markets and taxpayers. FAPRI was also asked to perform a detailed analysis of the state of the U.S. dairy industry and the potential impact of removing current federal dairy subsidies and regulations. The analysis provided a frame for policy debate on particular options In 2003, FAPRI was also able to provide analysis and information regarding a wide variety of other policy issues. In response to a request from the House Committee on Agriculture, FAPRI provided extensive information about the types and sources of financial risk faced by U.S. farmers, and the quantitative impacts of government farm programs on producer income under various market conditions. FAPRI also provided analysis to Congress of the impacts for markets and international trade negotiations of the latest reforms to the European Union Common Agricultural Policy. Other analyses examined the impacts of bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) on the cattle industry, and the Australian free trade agreement.

Impacts
The Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) provides objective economic analysis of agricultural policy issues. The project funded by the special grant has two major objectives. 1. Provide information to help public decision makers evaluate farm policy options. This is accomplished by: a) assessing the implications of retaining current policies for agricultural markets and for food producers, consumers, and taxpayers; b) analyzing the consequences of alternative policies in response to requests from Congress and other decision makers; and c) reporting results in an understandable manner and a timely fashion. 2. Develop capacity to conduct quantitative analysis of agricultural policy issues. This is accomplished by: a) maintaining and expanding domestic and international data banks; b) developing and improving models that can be used to project agricultural market outcomes and food sector indicators under a variety of policy scenarios; and c) using formal and informal networks of experts to aid in design and implementation of analysis and review preliminary results.

Publications

  • Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute. FAPRI Analysis of Stricter Payment Limitations. FAPRI-UMC Report 5-03, FAPRI, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, June 2003.
  • Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute. FAPRI Analysis of Stricter Payment Limitations: Additional Information. FAPRI-UMC Report 6-03, FAPRI, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, June 2003.
  • Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute. Risk Management and United States Agricultural Policy. FAPRI Policy Working Paper 1-03, FAPRI, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, July 2003.
  • Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute. Reforming the CAP: A Partial Equilibrium Analysis of the MTR Proposals. FAPRI-UMC Report 8-03, FAPRI, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, August 2003.
  • Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute. Analysis of the 2003 CAP Reform Agreement. FAPRI Policy Working Paper 2-03, FAPRI, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, September 2003.
  • Julian Binfield, Trevor Donnellan, Kevin Hanrahan, and Patrick Westhoff. "Luxemberg CAP Reform Agreement: Implications for EW and Irish Agriculture." FAPRI-Ireland Publication. Dublin: Teagasc, October 2003.
  • Julian Binfield, Trevor Donnellan, Kevin Hanrahan, and Patrick Westhoff. "Missouri Farm Financial Outlook 2004." FAPRI-Ireland Publication. Dublin: Teagasc, November 2003.
  • Melvin Brees. "Decisive Marketing: Soybeans: Short Crop = Volatile Market." University of Missouri Extension Publication, Columbia, Missouri, November 2003.
  • Melvin Brees. "Decisive Marketing: Signals to Sell Cash Corn?" University of Missouri Extension Publication, Columbia, Missouri, December 2003.
  • Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute. FAPRI 2004 U.S. Baseline Briefing Book. FAPRI-UMC Technical Data Report 1-04, FAPRI, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, March 2004.
  • Testimony Patrick Westhoff. "FAPRI Analysis of Stricter Payment Limitations." Testimony to the Commission on the Application of Payment Limitations, Washington, D.C., June 2003.
  • Scott Brown. "Current State of the Dairy Industry." Testimony to the House Agriculture Subcommittee on Department Operations, Oversight, Nutrition, and Forestry, Washington, D.C., May 2003.
  • Womack, Abner, "The Midwest Alliance for Agroterrorism Countermeasures." Testimony for the U. S. Senate Committee on Governmental Affairs, Washington, D. C., November 2003.