Source: UNIV OF MASSACHUSETTS submitted to
PRODUCT REFORMULATION, CONSUMER BEHAVIOR, AND HEALTH
Sponsoring Institution
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Project Status
NEW
Funding Source
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
1028067
Grant No.
2022-67023-36401
Project No.
MASW-2021-10833
Proposal No.
2021-10833
Multistate No.
(N/A)
Program Code
A1641
Project Start Date
Jan 1, 2022
Project End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Grant Year
2022
Project Director
Rojas, C. A.
Recipient Organization
UNIV OF MASSACHUSETTS
(N/A)
AMHERST,MA 01003
Performing Department
Dept: Resource Economics
Non Technical Summary
Improvements in diet quality can be achieved by a combination of more nutritious products (i.e. reformulation) and healthier consumer choices. Although product reformulations have been at the forefront of policy discussions and have often been voluntarily adopted by firms, there have been scant efforts to quantify them and analyze their effects. We propose to study food reformulation and several of its economic and policy implications in the U.S. A key component of the proposal is the assembly of a large dataset documenting product reformulations over the last seventeen years and across all regions of the U.S. The assembled dataset will be used to: a) quantify and document the major product and nutrient reformulations in the U.S., b) document and investigate potential dietary and nutritional disparities across subpopulations, c) investigate potential policy-induced causes of product reformulations and of changes in consumer behavior and health outcomes, and d) develop a theoretical oligopoly model for manufacturers and test its predictions on the observed levels of reformulation. Our results will be useful for policy makers in the ongoing debate as to how more effectively improve diet quality and reduce disparities in nutritional intake and health. In particular, the results will point towards areas in which reformulation vis-à-vis improvements in consumer choices may be a more effective policy tool (or vice versa).
Animal Health Component
0%
Research Effort Categories
Basic
(N/A)
Applied
100%
Developmental
(N/A)
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
60350103010100%
Knowledge Area
603 - Market Economics;

Subject Of Investigation
5010 - Food;

Field Of Science
3010 - Economics;
Goals / Objectives
The overarching goal of this proposal is to study reformulation and consumer choices in the packaged food industry in the U.S. and their implications for diet disparities and health outcomes. To accomplish this goal, we formulate objectives along the four areas discussed in the Introduction section.1. Construct a comprehensive purchase, nutrient, and health dataset, and identify major reformulations in consumer-packaged goods.(a)Merge barcode-level nutrition data to household data on purchases and health.(b)Identify nutrients and product categories that underwent major reformulations.2. Document and investigate potential dietary and nutritional disparities across subpopulations.(a) Use the dataset constructed in (1) to examine how diet quality and nutritional components change over time for a wide range of data subsamples, including those based on income, race, ethnicity, presence of children, and rurality.(b) Document any potential dietary or nutrition disparities across subsamples.(c) Document the extent of product reformulations across food retailing channels (including dollar stores, convenience stores, and more traditional food retailers).(d) Investigate whether dietary disparities across subpopulations are linked to the potential asymmetric impact of product reformulations on food-retailing channels and consumers' food environments.3. Investigate potential policy-induced causes of product reformulations and of changes in consumer behavior and health outcomes.(a) Conduct an event study examining the effect of the FDA rulings on trans fats on product reformulations, consumer behavior and health outcomes.(b) Conduct an event study examining the effect of the FDA added sugar mandate on product reformulations, consumer behavior and health outcomes.4. Develop a theoretical oligopoly model for manufacturers and test its predictions on the observed levels of reformulation
Project Methods
1. Data assembly: we will merge scanner databases and nutrition databases at a granual (barcode) level. The process will rely on both manual as well as automated (big data) processes.2. Econometric analyses: will be used to study quantify the role of reformulation in improving diets as well as measurements of the effects of such reformulations on health outcomes.3. Writing of manuscripts: will consist in synthesizing the research questions, data assembly, and econometric results for both academic and non-academic audiences

Progress 01/01/23 to 12/31/23

Outputs
Target Audience:General public (working paper available on the WWW) and scientific presentations at universities (seminars). Changes/Problems:Aside from some issues with access to the databases via ADRF (the provider), the post-doc that was hired for the project had to leave the job for a better opportunity. We will try to re-hire, but at the moment, this lack of personnel has stalled the project somewhat. What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?The main opportunity has been to learn Python and SQL languages, which are the tools needed to work with the dabases available in this project. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?There is a working paper (see prior sections) posted online to which anyone has access to. Also, the work has been presented at two department seminars (North Carolina and Wyoming). The audiences here were attendees with special interest in the economics of food reformulation. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?Continue to analyze food reformulation efforts by manufacturers, in particular sugary products. We expect to produce two manuscripts (one of reformulation and food inflation and another on reformulation of sugary products). We also expect that the trans fat working paper would be published at a peer reviewed journal

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? The bulk of the work focused on securing access to the ADRF databases that this grant permitted access to. This access has been difficult given the data provider's limitations and transition issues that it faced. We have finally been able to streamline our access, query the data in an efficient manner and start processing analyses of the data. A major accomplishment was the preparation of a manuscript that documents the reformulation of manufacturers in reducing trans fat content in the US. A second ongoing project/analysis is looking at how product size reformulaiton (i.e., package shrinkage) is related to inflation and sugary products.

Publications

  • Type: Other Status: Other Year Published: 2023 Citation: C. Rojas, A. Espin, E. Jaenicke and E. Page, "Food manufacturers compliance with the FDAs trans fat ban: evidence from scanner data." Working Paper, SSRN # 4674387. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4674387


Progress 01/01/22 to 12/31/22

Outputs
Target Audience: Nothing Reported Changes/Problems:Access to sales data (IRI database provided by USDA) has faced problems as USDA has switched platform providers and the new provider did not provide a solution for accessing a good portion of the data. This has significantly delayed the project. What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided? Nothing Reported How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest? Nothing Reported What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?continue on merging nutrition and sales data and start conducting initial analyses.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? The nutrition dataset was purchased and we gained access to sales dataset. Nutrition dataset has been cleaned.

Publications