Source: UNIV OF WISCONSIN submitted to
GENOMIC SELECTION FOR YIELD, SIZE AND PROCESSING QUALITY IN THE POTATO CHIP MARKET
Sponsoring Institution
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Project Status
TERMINATED
Funding Source
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
1013047
Grant No.
(N/A)
Project No.
WIS01982
Proposal No.
(N/A)
Multistate No.
(N/A)
Program Code
(N/A)
Project Start Date
Oct 1, 2017
Project End Date
Sep 30, 2021
Grant Year
(N/A)
Project Director
Endelman, JE, B.
Recipient Organization
UNIV OF WISCONSIN
21 N PARK ST STE 6401
MADISON,WI 53715-1218
Performing Department
Horticulture
Non Technical Summary
The development of new plant varieties through breeding is a powerful approach to increasing both the quantity and quality of food produced per unit area. One of the promising new technologies to improve the efficiency of plant breeding is genomic selection, which usesDNA sequence information andhistorical data to make statistical predictionsforcomplex traits. Significant progress has been made toward understanding and implementing genomic selection for livestock and major crops such as corn and wheat. Research has demonstrated that the size of the population used to fit the statistical model, and its relationship to the selection candidates, are important determinants of the prediction accuracy.The focus of this proposal is potato, for which breeding progress has lagged behind other species due to its outbred, tetraploid genetics and large number of complex traits required for the market.The goal of this project is to implement genomic selection in the University of Wisconsin potato breeding program, as a model fordozens of otherpublic and private potato breeding programs worldwide. More than100 new potato chip varieties will be evaluated each year under commercial production conditions and genotyped with high-density DNA markers. When combined with previous data, our prediction model will contain nearly 1000 potato chip varieties. Cross-validation studies will be used to determine the prediction accuracy of the model for yield, tuber size, and processing qualitybefore it is fully implemented in the UW breeding program.
Animal Health Component
0%
Research Effort Categories
Basic
20%
Applied
60%
Developmental
20%
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
2011310108150%
2031310108125%
2041310108125%
Goals / Objectives
The goal of this proposal is to integrate genomic selection into the University of Wisconsinpotato chip breeding program, so that improved varieties can be developed more efficiently. Specific objectives are toDevelop 129 field-year 3 (FY3) potato chip breeding lines per year for three years (2017-2019) and genotype them with the potato Infinium SNP array.For each FY3 cohort, measure total yield, size distribution, specific gravity, internal defects, and chip color at the Hancock Research Station.Determine the genomic prediction accuracy for FY3 breeding lines.Implement genomic selection for the 2020 FY3 cohort.
Project Methods
Objective 1To identify 129 FY3 entries, 250 will be selected from the FY2 trial based on visual inspection of unearthed tubers at the Rhinelander Research Station. A five-tuber sample from each plot will be stored at 55oF before conducting the fry evaluation in November. Specific gravity will be measured by the water displacement method and raw 1 mm slices will be fried in vegetable oil at 360oF for 2 minutes to produce finished chips. Chips will be crushed and lightness (L*) measured by reflectance using a HunterLab D25 NC Spectrophotometer. The 129 FY2 entries with the highest specific gravity and lightness will be selected for the FY3 trial. At the time of seed cutting (April of each year), a small seed piece will be set aside to grow plants in the Walnut Street Greenhouse for genotyping. Genomic DNA will be extracted using the Qiagen DNeasy Plant Mini Kit, followed by quantity and quality control with the Implen N60 NanoPhotometer. DNA will be shipped on dry ice to Geneseek (Lincoln, NE) for SNP genotyping with the potato Infinium array.Objective 2The FY3 and FY4 entries will be evaluated in a single trial at the Hancock Research Station each year, using an augmented design with 4 repeated checks. There will be a single 15-plant plot for each entry, with 1 ft. in-row spacing and 3 ft. between rows. Fertilization, pest control, and hilling will be managed according to best practices by the research station staff. The trial will be mechanically harvested the first week of September and graded using the AgRay Vision system at the Hancock Research Station, which estimates the weight of each tuber via X-rays. The total yield and tuber size distribution will be calculated from the AgRay data, and tuber appearance will be scored (1-9) at grading time. A 30-tuber sample from each plot will be taken at grading and shipped to the Rhinelander station for post-harvest evaluation of specific gravity, chip color, and internal defects. An additional 5-tuber sample will be taken at gradingand stored at the Hancock Research Station at 48oFuntil the first week of June, for a 9-month chip color measurement. The top 27 entries from the FY3 trial will be selected for further testing as FY4 entries with the next FY3 cohort at the Hancock Station.Objective 3Genomic predictions will be made using a mixed model with random effects for additive and dominance genetic effects.Using the ASReml-R software, variance components will be estimated by restricted maximum likelihood (REML) and the reliability of the FY3 phenotypes will be calculated from the prediction error variance. The accuracy of the genomic predictions will be determined by cross-validation, using earlier cohorts to predict later ones. The prediction accuracy is the correlation between the predicted and observed values, divided by the square-root of the reliability.Objective 4The 2020 FY3 cohort will be harvested as seedling tubers when the project begins, advance to the FY1 stage in 2018, the FY2 stage in 2019, and be planted at Hancock in 2020. DNA will be extracted in the summer of 2020 and sent for SNP genotyping. By Jan. 1, 2021, genomic predictions for all traits (yield, size, specific gravity, fry color after 9 mos., hollow heart) will be made according to the methods described in Objective 3.Because the results for chip color after 9 months of storage are not available until June, the fry data collected earlier in the storage season will be used as a correlated trait in the prediction.

Progress 10/01/17 to 09/30/21

Outputs
Target Audience:The primary audience has been other plant breeders, which have learned about the methods developed in this project through presentations at scientific meetings and through the publication of a software package. The concept of genomic selection has also been communicated to stakeholders in the potato industry. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?The project supported the training of one MS and one PhD student in both field and molecular plant breeding methods, as well as research experience for several undergraduate students. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?PI Endelman has givenmany presentations about this project, and theuse of genomic selection more broadly, to both scientific audiences and potato industry stakeholders (growers and agronomists). The list of scientific meetings includes those organized by thePlant and Animal Genome, the National Association of Plant Breeders, the Potato Association of America, the European Association of Potato Research,the University of Sao Paulo (Brazil), and the ICAR-Central Potato Research Institute (India). What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals? Nothing Reported

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? Impact Statement We achievedthe overarching goal of the proposal, which was to integrate genomic selection into the University of Wisconsin potato chip breeding program. Genomic selection combines historical data with genome-wide markers to predict the breeding value of new germplasm more quickly, which enables reducing the time to parent selection. This reduction is generally considered the most effective way to accelerate genetic improvement for crops and livestock. Genomic prediction models for total yield, vine maturity, specific gravity, and chip color, based on data from 6 years and over 900 genotypes, were made publicly available through the R software package StageWise. These data and models were used to shorten the University of Wisconsin breeding cycle, from the traditional 6-8 years down to 4 years. Based on our dissemination of these results and methods, other US potato breeding programs (including Texas, Minnesota, Maine, and New York) have begun restructuring their programs to reap similar benefits. Outreach to the wider breeding community has contributed to improved knowledge about using genomic selection for many different crops. Objective 1. Develop 129 field-year 3 (FY3) potato chip breeding lines per year for three years (2017-2019) and genotype them with the potato Infinium SNP array. Over 400 FY3 breeding lines were developed in this project and genotyped with over 10,000 markers on the potato SNP array. High quality estimates of allele dosage were made with a normal mixture model, using R packages fitPoly and polyBreedR. When combined with the genotyped breeding lines from two previous years, as well as entries in the National Chip Processing Trial, the size of the training population for genomic selection was 944 clones. Objective 2. For each FY3 cohort, measure total yield, size distribution, specific gravity, internal defects, and chip color at the Hancock Research Station. Field trials were planted in April of each year and harvested in September. Total yield and tuber size were measured using the AgRay Vision system, which is a conveyor system to estimate tuber weight and geometry by X-ray (with a calibrated model). Specific gravity and internal defects were measured on a 10-15 tuber sample within 1 week of harvest. Fry color was measured after 6 months of cold storage. In each year, the plot-based heritability for the traits was estimated from the variance components of a random effects model. For total yield, the heritability ranged from 0.70 to 0.83. The results forspecific gravity weresimilar, while fry color wasmuch lower in one year, ranging from0.25 to 0.74. Objective 3. Determine the genomic prediction accuracy for FY3 breeding lines. Prediction models were developed for four traits--total yield, vine maturity, specific gravity, and fry color--using a two-stage, BLUP methodology. In Stage 1, the genotypic value of each clone was estimated as a fixed effect, within each year separately. In Stage 2, the genomic breeding value across all years was predicted. The additive relationship matrix based on markers (G) was blended with that estimated from pedigree (A) to optimize the prediction model. The optimal blend varied across traits, from zero pedigree contribution for specific gravity to a 50:50 contribution for yield. The accuracy of predictions for the 2020 FY3 breeding lines was estimated by the square-root of the reliability, which is based on the prediction error variance. The results for total yield ranged from 0.77 to 0.84, which was similar to specific gravity at 0.80 to 0.89. The range for fry color was larger: 0.64 to 0.96. Objective 4. Implement genomic selection for the 2020 FY3 cohort. Based on the high expected accuracies, we felt confident implementing genomic selection using a multi-trait index. Equal economic weights were given to yield, specific gravity, and fry color. Seven breeding lines from the 2020 FY3 cohort were selected as potential parents, in addition to more advanced lines with an established history of crossing. Although most potato clones can be used as female parents, our experience is that fewer than 20% can be effectively used as male parents due to low pollen shed or sterility. As a result, good male parents from the previous cohort are retained to ensure success. All 7 clones selected by the genomic prediction model were successfully used as female parents to produce true seeds. Greenhouse minitubers for nearly 1300 offspring from this group of parents were grown in the summer of 2021, at the conclusion of the project.

Publications

  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2022 Citation: Endelman JB. 2022. Fully efficient, two-stage analysis for genomic selection and GWAS. Plant and Animal Genome XXIX (Virtual), Jan. 8-11, 2022.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2021 Citation: Endelman JB. 2021. R/StageWise: Two-stage analysis of multi-environment trials for genomic selection. Annual Meeting of the Potato Association of America (Virtual), July 26-28, 2021.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2021 Citation: Endelman JB. 2021. Genomic selection in potato. International Potato e-Conference. ICAR-Central Potato Research Institute, Shimla, India. November 23, 2021.


Progress 10/01/19 to 09/30/20

Outputs
Target Audience:A wide audience of plant breeders were reached during this period. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?The project has supported the training of an MSstudent in both field and molecular breeding methods. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?On April 24, 2020, Endelman presented results from this project as an invited speaker at an international, virtual symposium on plant breeding, which was sponsored by Corteva Agriscienceand organized by plant breeding graduate students across the US. Several hundredpeople attended the symposium. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?1. The 2020 FY3 cohort will be genotyped, phenotyped, and added to the prediction model. 2. New methods for the genomic prediction of specific combining ability will be completed and added to the polyBreedR software. 3. Parental lines will be selected based on the genomic prediction model, crossed in winter 2021, and used to start the next breeding cycle.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? Genomic selection uses historical data and genome-wide DNA markers to predict complex traits affected by many genes. Thegoal of this project is to develop this capacity in the potato chip breeding program at UW-Madison, and to share our experiences with others. A major impact during this period was the formation of a national coalition of potato breeders to implement the methods pioneered in this project on a wider scale. Our proposal to theUSDA Specialty Crop Research Initiative was selected for funding (2020-51181-32156). Objective 1.57 clones from the 2019 FY3 cohort were genotyped with version 3 of the potato SNP array. Of the 21,000 markers on the array, 11,043 were used for analysis based on our ability to reliably estimate allele dosage. Ten clones from the 2017-18 FY3 cohorts were entered in the 2020 National Chip Processing Trial, which provides the opportunity to study their performance in 9 states across the US. Objective 2. Data for total yield, size distribution, and specific gravity were compiled in early October. Clones were stored at 45oF until March and then fried to measure chip lightness using a Hunter colorimeter. Objective 3.Genomic predictions were made using the G-BLUP method, and the accuracy of the predictions was estimated from the prediction error variance (using the inverse coefficient matrix from the mixed model equations). The average prediction accuracy for the 2019 FY3 cohort was 0.73 for total yield, 0.82 for specific gravity, and 0.77 for chip color. These accuracies are 0.1-0.2 higher than the 2018 FY3 cohort. Objective 4. Genomic-estimated breeding values for yield, specific gravity, and chip color were combined with other information, such as the presence of R genes for disease resistance and phenotypic data for other traits, to select 15 parents for the winter 2020 crossing block. Male fertility was assessed based on pollen shed and fruit formation upon selfing. This identified three clones as good male parents, and the remainder were used as potential female parents. Cross-pollination was successful for 15 different parental combinations, leading to the production of over 19,000 true potato seeds to begin the next breeding cycle.

Publications

  • Type: Theses/Dissertations Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Song, L. 2020. Evaluations of F1, F2, and F3 Generations of Diploid Potato Populations. MS Thesis. University of Wisconsin-Madison.
  • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2020 Citation: Endelman, J. 2020. Genomic selection in potato. Plant Sciences Symposia Series. Virtual Symposium, April 24, 2020.


Progress 10/01/18 to 09/30/19

Outputs
Target Audience: Audiences are: potato researchers, growers, and processors, as well as plant breeders working with other crops. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?The project has supported the training of a PhD student in both field and molecular breeding methods. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Project Director Endelman has given several invited presentations about this research: -Genomics-assisted breeding in potato. 2019 National Association of Plant Breeders Annual Meeting, Pine Mountain, GA. Aug. 28, 2019. -Current trends in potato breeding and variety development.UW Extension and WPVGA Grower Education Conference, Stevens Point, WI. Feb. 7, 2019. -Current trends in potato breeding and variety development.Mid-Atlantic Fruit & Vegetable Convention, Hershey, PA. Jan. 31, 2019. -Genomic selection in tetraploid potato. 19th Joint Meeting of the European Association of Potato Research and EUCARPIA, Rostock, Germany. Dec. 6, 2018. -Genomics-assisted breeding for autotetraploid potato. 2nd International Meeting on Plant Breeding, University of São Paulo, Piracicaba, Brazil. Oct. 4, 2018. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?The 2019FY3 cohort from the UW-Madison program will be genotyped with the potato SNP array and phenotyped for yield, tuber size, specific gravity, and fry color. These data will be added to the prediction model and used to implement selection on genomic-estimated breeding values for the 2020crossing block.

Impacts
What was accomplished under these goals? Genomic selection uses historical data and genome-wide DNA markers to predict complex traits affected by many genes. The goal of this project is to develop this capacity in the potato chip breeding program at UW-Madison, and to share our experiences with others. Goal 1. Develop 129 field-year 3 (FY3) potato chip breeding lines per year for three years (2017-2019) and genotype them with the potato Infinium SNP array. Accomplishment: 125 clones from the 2018 FY3 cohort were genotyped with version 3 of the potato SNP array. Of the 21,000 markers on the array, 12,448 were used for analysis based on our ability to reliably estimate allele dosage. Goal 2. For each FY3 cohort, measure total yield, size distribution, specific gravity, internal defects, and chip color at the Hancock Research Station. Accomplishment: Data for total yield, median tuber weight, and specific gravity were compiled in early October. Clones were stored at 45oF until March and then fried to measure chip lightness using a Hunter colorimeter. Goal 3. Determine the genomic prediction accuracy for FY3 breeding lines. Accomplishment: Genomic predictions were made using the G-BLUP method, and the accuracy of the predictions was estimated from the prediction error variance (using the inverse coefficient matrix from the mixed model equations). The average prediction accuracy for the 2018 FY3 cohort was 0.61 for total yield, 0.57 for median tuber weight, 0.56 for specific gravity, and 0.62 for chip color. Goal 4. Implement genomic selection for the 2020 FY3 cohort. Accomplishment: Genomic-estimated breeding values for yield, size, specific gravity, and chip color were combined with other information, such as the presence of R genes for disease resistance and phenotypic data for other traits, to select 10 parents for the winter 2019 crossing block. Male fertility was assessed based on pollen shed and fruit formation upon selfing. This identified two clones as good male parents, and the remainder were used as female parents. Cross-pollination was successful for 13 different parental combinations, leading to the production of over 10,000 true potato seeds to begin the next breeding cycle.

Publications


    Progress 10/01/17 to 09/30/18

    Outputs
    Target Audience: The target audiences are: Potato researchers, growers, and processors, as well as plant breeders working with other crops. Changes/Problems: Nothing Reported What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?Project Director Endelman mentored a PhD studentto usestatistical ("mixed") models to analyze data from multi-environment trials, which is a critical skill for plant breeders. Thestudentsuccessfully defended her dissertation in Spring 2018 and was awarded a PhD. How have the results been disseminated to communities of interest?Project Director Endelman delivered a presentation about the results from this projectto other professional geneticists and breeders at the Plant and Animal Genome Conference in January 2018. He has also presented on this topic to potato growers and agronomists at several industry-oriented meetings, including the December 2017 meeting of the Potatoes USA National Chip Program and the February 2018 meeting of the Wisconsin Potato and Vegetable Growers Association. What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?The 2018 FY3 cohort from the UW-Madison program will be genotyped with the potato SNP array and phenotyped for yield, size, specific gravity, and fry color. These data will be added to the prediction model and used to implement selection on genomic-estimated breeding values for the 2019 crossing block.

    Impacts
    What was accomplished under these goals? Genomic selection uses historical data and genome-wide DNA markers to predict complex traits affected by many genes. Research in other crops and animals has shown that genomic selection can improve the efficiency of breeding, but it has yet to be implemented in potato breeding programs. 1. The 2017 FY3 cohort from the potato chip breeding program at UW-Madison was genotyped with the potato Infinium SNP array. 2. Phenotype data for the 2017 FY3 cohort for total yield, tuber size, specific gravity, and fry color after 6 months of cold storage was curated and added to the historicaldataset. 3. Many studies use random cross-validation to assess the accuracy of genome-wide prediction. However, in the context of a pedigreed breeding population, this approach leads to training set individuals that are descendants of individuals in the validation set, which is unrepresentative of how genomic selection will be used in practice and may produce unrealistically high accuracies. To avoid this pitfall, pedigree depth was used to partition the population into a set of 168 candidates for selection and a set of 403 clones ancestral to this groupas the training set. The selection candidates were further narrowed by excluding clones with insufficiently reliable data for validation, leaving 54 clones for yield, 132 clones for specific gravity, and 49 clones for fry color (with mean reliability in the range 0.71-0.72 for all traits). Prediction accuracy using pedigree informationwas just over 0.5 for total yield vs. 0.4 for specific gravity and fry color. When genome-wide markers were used, the accuracy for yield increased by 0.03 and fry color by 0.06, but the accuracy for specific gravity decreased by 0.07.

    Publications

    • Type: Journal Articles Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Schmitz Carley CA, Coombs JJ, Clough ME, De Jong WS, Douches, Haynes KG, Higgins CR, Holm DG, Miller Jr. JC, Navarro FM, Novy RG, Palta JP, Parish DL, Porter GA, Sathuvalli VR, Thompson AL, Yencho GC, Zotarelli L, Endelman JB (2018) Genetic Covariance of Environments in the Potato National Chip Processing Trial. Crop Science, published online ahead of print, Nov. 8, 2018. doi: 10.2135/cropsci2018.05.0314
    • Type: Conference Papers and Presentations Status: Published Year Published: 2018 Citation: Endelman, JB. 2018. Genome-wide prediction in tetraploid potato using pedigree and marker information. Plant and Animal Genome XXVI, San Diego, CA. Jan. 14, 2018.