Source: UNIV OF HAWAII submitted to
ECONOMIC POTENTIAL OF HAWAII'S FOREST INDUSTRY: EXAMINATION OF CURRENT INVENTORY, COSTS OF PRODUCTION, TECHNICAL EFFICIENCY AND MARKETS
Sponsoring Institution
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Project Status
TERMINATED
Funding Source
Reporting Frequency
Annual
Accession No.
0189232
Grant No.
(N/A)
Project No.
HAW00118-M
Proposal No.
(N/A)
Multistate No.
(N/A)
Program Code
(N/A)
Project Start Date
Jul 1, 2001
Project End Date
Sep 30, 2004
Grant Year
(N/A)
Project Director
Yanagida, J. F.
Recipient Organization
UNIV OF HAWAII
3190 MAILE WAY
HONOLULU,HI 96822
Performing Department
NATURAL RESOURCES & ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
Non Technical Summary
It is important to assess how the forest industry has changed since the last benchmark (1993 GACC report). The purpose of this project is to determine the current economic value of Hawaii's forest industry. The project will also determine technical efficiency/inefficiency from a sample of tree-farms.
Animal Health Component
(N/A)
Research Effort Categories
Basic
10%
Applied
75%
Developmental
15%
Classification

Knowledge Area (KA)Subject of Investigation (SOI)Field of Science (FOS)Percent
1230699310020%
6010650301050%
6040650301010%
6040660301010%
6080699303010%
Goals / Objectives
1) Determine the current economic value of Hawaii's forest industry. 2) Obtain costs of production and input use for small scale tree farms. 3) Develop methodological framework for estimating frontier functions incorporating temporal and spatial features. 4) Estimate efficiency for sample of tree farms. 5) Identify factors contributing to efficiency or inefficiency in production.
Project Methods
Following the 1993 GACC (Governor's Agriculture Coordinating Committee) study, the Hawaii forestry industry will be divided into formal and informal segments. Three surveys will be used: timber survey, landowners survey, and contractors survey. Extrapolation from sample to the population involves estimating the proportion of the industry represented by the sample based on information from industry experts and secondary data sources. Current market sales can be compared with the 1993 GACC study to assess market directions and identify market opportunities based on comparative/competitive advantage and possible niche markets. A second survey will be developed to obtain cost of production data from 30-40 tree farms. Budgets will be constructed for these tree farms. Stochastic frontier function approach or DEA analysis will be used to measure technical efficiency/inefficiency. The choice of estimation procedure will depend on whether farms produce a single product or multiple products. Matching stage of production (age of stand) for each of the key production years is critical. The analysis increases in complexity as the number of tree species grown and products increase. Factors contributing to efficiency/inefficiency will be identified from the one-step procedure used to estimate the original frontier parameters.

Progress 07/01/01 to 09/30/04

Outputs
For Phase I, a set of surveys was conducted to estimate the economic value of the Hawaii forest industry's revenue and employment for 2001. The term forest industry comprises all activities involving locally grown wood including forest management, wood harvest, and wood products development and distribution. The forest industry segments surveyed included landowners, timber processors, general contractors, forestry consultants, manufacturers, nurseries, and retailers. The 2001 Hawaii forest industry revenues were estimated to be $30.7 million with total full time employment at slightly more than 900 full time employees. The largest sector was retailing with revenues of $23.9 million. This 2001 value for the forest industry represents a slight nominal increase since 1991, when the value was estimated at $28.9 million but a real decrease after accounting for inflation. For Phase II, limited responses from tree producers required using a representative farm analysis. Cost of production budgets were constructed for these representative farms. Preliminary technical efficiency analysis was also performed.

Impacts
Forestry in Hawaii is primarily about protecting the island watersheds, providing habitat for rare and endangered species, and providing recreation for local people and visitors. A small but important local forest industry is based on the harvest of native woods such as koa and ohia, traditional Hawaiian woods such as kamani and milo, and exotic woods such as eucalyptus and mango. These locally harvested timbers are made into high quality bowls, furniture, picture frames, and flooring. The 1993 forest industry study estimated the 1991 value of Hawaii's commercial forest industry to be $28.9 million with more than 800 full-time employees. The estimated value of Hawaii's forest industry in 2001 was approximately $30.7 million. Also, the industry in 2001 employed more than 900 full-time employees. When inflation from 1991 to 2001 is accounted for, the actual value of the Hawaii forest industry fell in real terms. With inflation, the $28.9 million value in 1991 would have grown to $34.8 million in 2001. The estimated industry value of $30.7 million in 2001 represents a 13.4% decrease in value. The Hawaii forest industry remains largely based on retail sales of high-end furniture, largely made from koa. Availability of koa has decreased in the past decade. Current planting efforts, spurred by the high prices of tropical hardwood, will nonetheless take many years to produce marketable timber. While it is crucial to the long-term health of Hawaii's forest industry to continue the investments in tree planting, economic results of this investment will take years to materialize.

Publications

  • Yanagida, J.F., Friday, J.B., Illukpitiya, P., Mamiit, R. and Edwards, Q. 2004. The Economic Value of Hawaii's Forest Industry in 2001. Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Management. University of Hawaii.


Progress 10/01/02 to 09/30/03

Outputs
Phase I deals with determining the economic value of Hawaii's forest industry. Surveys were sent to the various sectors of Hawaii's forest industry (note numbers of surveys sent are shown in parentheses): retailers (866), landowners (1200), general contractors (455), manufacturers (69), nurseries (101), timber processors (36), and forest consultant (41). Preliminary results indicate an average response rate of 15-20% per sector or surveyed group. Phase II is concerned with estimating the amount of capital in the pipeline (investment in Hawaii's forest industry). A detailed survey seeking responses for production and costs over time was developed and sent to 40 tree producers.

Impacts
Preliminary results indicate that the forest industry in 2001 has grown since the benchmark year 1991. Landowners with timber holdings in Hawaii are primarily small tree farms (10-25 acres) similar to the case in 1991. Approximately 15% of landowners, with land zoned for agriculture and other uses, had timber holdings in Hawaii. There are wide variations in retail sales of locally grown wood products. The distribution of locally grown wood product sales through out the state can be described by these shares: Oahu (39%), Maui (22%), Big Island (21%), Kauai (17%), and other islands (1%). Substantial quantities of wood and wood products are imported from foreign countries and the Mainland. Leading foreign exporters of wood and wood products to Hawaii include China, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, and the Philippines. Primary sources of Mainland wood are from Oregon, California, and Washington. Major competitors with koa include Australian blackwood, maple, African mahogany, teak and bamboo. The most frequently used outlets to sell local wood products are the retail stores, catalog outlets, and galleries/museum shops.

Publications

  • No publications reported this period


Progress 10/01/01 to 09/30/02

Outputs
Current information about the Hawaii forestry industry have been collected. Six surveys were developed which capture the economic activities of this industry. The six surveys are: (i) Landowners' Survey, (ii) Industrial Landowners' Survey, (iii) General Contractors' Survey, (iv) Nursery and Forestry Consultant Survey, (v) Timber Processing and Wood Production Survey, and (vi) Retailers' Survey. These six surveys are being pre-tested before dissemination.

Impacts
Preliminary information collected from industry participants indicate that the industry is larger than the industry described in the 1993 GACC report (Hawaii's Forests: An Inventory and Analysis of Economic Potential). Instead of four surveys used to gather information for the 1993 GACC report, this research has expanded the number of surveys to capture industry components and increase the depth covered in each survey.

Publications

  • No publications reported this period


Progress 10/01/00 to 09/30/01

Outputs
No progress to report. This project was initiated on July 1, 2001.

Impacts
(N/A)

Publications

  • No publications reported this period